Thanks for the picks, good luck today.
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Yeah...Paco is my dawg...he is a kool kat man! I learned alot last year, specially about pitchers, and certain little details i didnt know...I took 100 bucks to like 3500 in july i think, when he was hot...august was an off month and september i went from like 400 bucks to 5500 i think...but on my own...
I dunno, im lookin right now...i spent the night in the hospital last night so I didnt look too well at overnight lines...looked at them, but didnt jot anything down (i wrtie EVERYTHING DOWN, lol)...so im lookin...
crazy how i cashed a couple of plays yesterday but then that texas play left me hangin with the 1 run..shit happensComment -
yesterday recap:
4-7 -.6277X
LOOK AT THAT! such a low winning percentage and not even a UNIT loss! Proud of myself for finding value plays!
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btw, its not that my cappin of a game is bad that i have a low percentage, its that i count RL and ML wager separately...so if i lose a ML and a RL then i consider that two losses although its by one team...
so all in all, all is gravy!Comment -
I know most people think its coming sooner or later, the winless-teams' first win..but that is the DUMBEST way to bet ever...if anything, you RIDE the losing streak till its over, and then some...and when they win, fade them very next game again, because one win doesnt mean two...
I think this play works hits over 75% of the time, specially with Haren comin' in after a great start against a pitcher makin' his debut for the season...
LAA ML -105 2x
LAA RL +160 1xComment -
bol my slimeLETS GET ITComment -
time to make money:
TEX ML -117 .75X
TEX RL +180 .25X
CHC RL +140 2.5X
CWS ML +100 .75X
CWS RRL +155 .25x
So riskin' close to 8 units early, just lookin for early winnings..some insight on the plays -
TEX is undefeated and is being priced low because of FELIX the KAT...but this is one of those games he loses...they are undefeated and ive made myself a promise to fade all teams losing more than 3 in a row, and ride all teams winning more than 3 in a row...lots of profit there...
I personally watched CHC game yesterday and they seemed amp..their bats are on, and they are feelin good, while ARI is not feeelin too well...They win this one big, IMO, and tomorrow i consider ARI to avoid the sweep...but ill be surprised if CHC lose this one.
CWS to me is an easy play...KC came out on fire 4-1 but do they have bats for BUEHRLE? i dont think so...AT ALL...this is one of those points when KC streak turns around and they start losing....regardless, its a GREAT price on a ROAD dog that should be a fave,, in my opinion...
BOL TO ALL...2 out of three of these should stick...
BTW, ANGELS just homered for a 2-0 lead, with TB is struglling offensively about that play...imma be riding the unders and fading the TB rays because manny is the type of player that once he is doing bad, WHOLE TEAM sucks! just happens..i dunno why...so to me, they struggle early, and find a rythm in a week or two and go on a short streak...Comment -
all plays are kinda struggling, but hopefully the LAA and the TEX does cash...thatll put us in the POS +++Comment -
gettin murked today...lol...no plays workin...except LAA...SEA just scored two runs in the 6th...we NEED some runs POWER RANGERS!Comment -
Select #1 : MLB Baseball (New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies)
New York Mets 4/6/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Money Line +125 for Game
M Pelfrey - R - Action***J Blanton - R - Action
Risking 35.00 To Win 43.75 USD
Select #2 : MLB Baseball (New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies)
New York Mets 4/6/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Spread -1½ +178 for Game
M Pelfrey - R must Start***J Blanton - R must Start
Risking 15.00 To Win 26.70 USD
Select #3 : MLB Baseball (Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers)
Atlanta Braves 4/6/2011 8:10 PM - (EST)
Money Line -103 for Game
M Minor - L - Action***M Estrada - R - Action
Risking 36.05 To Win 35.00 USD
Select #4 : MLB Baseball (Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers)
Atlanta Braves 4/6/2011 8:10 PM - (EST)
Spread -1½ +155 for Game
M Minor - L must Start***M Estrada - R must Start
Risking 15.00 To Win 23.25 USD
Select #5 : MLB Baseball (Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees)
Minnesota Twins 4/6/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Money Line +150 for Game
C Pavano - R - Action***F Garcia - R - Action
Risking 35.00 To Win 52.50 USD
Select #6 : MLB Baseball (Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees)
Minnesota Twins 4/6/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Spread -1½ +200 for Game
C Pavano - R must Start***F Garcia - R must Start
Risking 15.00 To Win 30.00 USD
Select #7 : MLB Baseball (Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees)
Minnesota Twins/New York Yankees 4/6/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Total Points UNDER 9½ +135 for Game
C Pavano - R must Start***F Garcia - R must Start
Risking 50.00 To Win 67.50 USD
Select #8 : MLB Baseball (Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles)
Baltimore Orioles 4/6/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Money Line +126 for Game
J Verlander - R must Start***B Bergesen - R must Start
Risking 35.00 To Win 44.10 USD
Select #9 : MLB Baseball (Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles)
Baltimore Orioles 4/6/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Spread -1½ +245 for Game
J Verlander - R must Start***B Bergesen - R must Start
Risking 15.00 To Win 36.75 USD
Select #10 : MLB Baseball (Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Indians)
Cleveland Indians 4/6/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Money Line +150 for Game
D Matsuzaka - R must Start***M Talbot - R must Start
Risking 35.00 To Win 52.50 USD
Select #11 : MLB Baseball (Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Indians)
Cleveland Indians 4/6/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Spread -1½ +260 for Game
D Matsuzaka - R must Start***M Talbot - R must Start
Risking 15.00 To Win 39.00 USD
Select #12 : MLB Baseball (Oakland Athletics at Toronto Blue Jays)
Toronto Blue Jays 4/6/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Money Line +102 for Game
D Braden - L - Action***J Litsch - R - Action
Risking 35.00 To Win 35.70 USD
Select #13 : MLB Baseball (Oakland Athletics at Toronto Blue Jays)
Toronto Blue Jays 4/6/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Spread -1½ +190 for Game
D Braden - L must Start***J Litsch - R must Start
Risking 15.00 To Win 28.50 USD
Select #14 : Reduced Baseball (Reduced Juice - Internet Only)
Cincinnati Reds 4/6/2011 7:10 PM - (EST)
Spread -1½ +122 for Game
N Figueroa - R must Start***E Volquez - R must Start
Risking 50.00 To Win 61.00 USDComment -
Ookin to end the night at plus 4 or 5 units for the day to be at plus 20 units for the season. Bol to all tailin although I doubt anyone is....
Funny thing is ppl start believin in this thread once they see 50 units won or some shit lol. No faith
Oh well...anyone reading have fun with all the plus money I posted tonight. Its all about the value!Comment -
Putting my money where my mouth is. Yankees lose tonight.
Select #1 : MLB Baseball (Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees)
Minnesota Twins 4/6/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Money Line +149 for Game
C Pavano - R - Action***F Garcia - R - Action
Risking 150.00 To Win 223.50 USD
Select #2 : MLB Baseball (Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees)
Minnesota Twins 4/6/2011 7:05 PM - (EST)
Spread -1½ +200 for Game
C Pavano - R must Start***F Garcia - R must Start
Risking 50.00 To Win 100.00 USDComment -
YESTERDAY RECAP:
13-5 +5.4025X
Great night for us!
I keep riding the winning teams and fading the losing teams, and seekin' value plays...early in the season i usually play alot of plays but as we go along i cut it down to 2-3 winning plays a day...for now, there isnt much to go on except for teams that are red hot, or stone cold...so lets keep doin it!
Another profitable day past yesterday, and I know for certain another profitable day comin' up...Comment -
congrats on a great dayComment -
thanks man! thanks for the props...almost no one comes by here, except you, JSPEC, Sonny, but most ppl dont even come through...but its all good...what i care is about success...so, lets keep it up...
thanks for the props! you tailin'?Comment -
Throwin numbers around:
#plays: 86
risked: 78.0270x
to win: 93.8737x
NET GAIN: 21.1540x
this means several things...
risk per play: .9072x
average line value: +120.31
% return: 29.37% return on investment
seein' all this info, thinking about going to flat betting at 1x each ??? nawwww...why fix somethin that aint broke! lol
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good job in here my slime keep it upLETS GET ITComment -
Lunch Time:
CIN ML -140 .75x
CIN RL +155 .75x
TOR ML -120 1x
TOR RL +167 .5x
CLE ML +167 .7x
CLE RRL +315 .3x
MIN ML +134 .7x
MIN RRL +190 .3X
ENJOY NICE LONG DAY FOR HEALTHY PROFITS...DONT WANNA PROFESS BUT WOULD LIKE TO SAY I HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON GAMES TODAY SO SHOULD TURN AWAY WITH 4 - 5 UNITS PROFIT...
GOOD LUCK.Comment -
Lunchtime dessert:
Pit ml -110 .70x
pit rl +185 .30x
mil ml +102 .70x
mil rl +210 .30xComment -
Cws ml -128 1.5x
cws rl +170 .5x
suck it!Comment -
PHI RL +120 1.57xComment -
I am going to start tailing you real talk....that being said, do you jormaly post all you rv plays at the same time, just asking because I am not always next to a computer...and also are u done for the day. I see u made profits againComment -
Hey bro. Sure come in and check out the plays.
I recommend tailing my plays by bulk to ensure long term profits but by own means its ur own loot so make sure u wanna tail a play if u place it. Because its tail at ur own risk feel me?
That being said ill answer ur quetions:
I don't place at same time. No. I place at random times. Sorry. Sometimes early. Sometimes right before gametime.
I might play one more play today but I dunno yet.Comment -
Oh yea am not going to pick and chose...if I tail its evrything or norhing othwrwise that would be a gamnle itself to pick the right plays from you....well I guess I am just going to have to keep looking for your thread and see if there are plays or not.
thanks...
As for moneyvmanagement whats ur input on that?like 1unit for 1 percent...or let me knowComment -
Select #1 : Reduced Baseball (Reduced Juice - Internet Only)
Florida Marlins 4/7/2011 7:10 PM - (EST)
Spread -1½ +125 for Game
J Lannan - L must Start***J Johnson - R must Start
Risking 257.00 To Win 321.25 USDComment -
Income. Ill write to u later with specifics. Just start tomorrow.
BolComment -
K thanks...will be waitingComment -
incomeraise,
I have mixed feelings on how to advise you as far as money management. I say this because I have my methods and willing to risk certain amounts, but there are general rules of thumb for managing BR long term...
GENERAL RULES OF THUMB: units = 1% of total BR, and i think something like cap it at 10% risk at any one time....
JORGE's RULES: I am willing to risk a lot...so I cap my losses at 20% of BR daily....my units =100 bucks...this is regardless of me having 200 bucks to work with, or 5000...so my units are 100 pesos, amigo....daily, i wouldnt lose more than 20% of my BR even if i went 0-17, dead cold streak or somethin...
I dunno what BR u r workin with, but i guess decide a unit amount, and tail at your own risk..im pretty confident of long term gains, but like ive shown, i grind it out..i REALLY limit large losses in one day...I seek value in every play..i play dogs or RL to always have plus money, which is the ultimate key to my success...ive done the simulations to my habits, and ive figured myself out...
in general, if we are up early, i try to hold on to winnings, and bet less as the da goes by, but like u saw tonight, i took a gamble when i was up a unit, and bet 2 units on FLA, and lost...so i ened up like -1.5x for the day...which is my BIGGEST LOSING day for the season...
have fun, grind it out, talk to me as you wish, and tail AT OWN RISK!
BOLComment -
income, ill try to post plays as early as possible, but i cant guarantee times....if u can, always check for a play 10 min before gametime...i always have them before then for sure, lol...but other than that, ill do my best to post em early...
problem is, once the day goes rollin, i base my wager amounts on how the day is going....if i start with two games ricking 2x each and win, the early games and there is a 4 PM game, i wait to win the two till i place that wager because based on my result is how i wager the next...youll always see (mostly) that if im up i taper off and bet less...i would bet only 1x on that 4 pm game if im already up 4x...and see how that goes and then i put in the 7pm games..so on and so forth...
BOL bud...hit me up with any questions...Comment -
Ok thanks so here is the question lets say my br is 1000 pesos and am following gorge rule so how does it go then?
Cappind daily loss at 20 percent of my current roll or initial roll?
Then in that case what would be a 1 unit play for me?
And last did you put 2 units or 2.5 units on florida..?just making sure I am following you rightComment -
overnight lines that prices WILL change big time...
NYY ML +115 10x
MIN ML -109 1X
MIN RL +185 .5X
COL ML -118 1.5X
COL RL +140 .5X
PHI ML -106 1.5X
PHI RL +160 .5X
LETS SEE HOW THESE PRICES CHANGE BY THE MORNING!
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income raise...HONESTLY, BEST THING ID DO IS DO 3% OF YOUR BR = 1X...
ALSO, tail the NYY bet AT YOUR OWN RISK...only reason im riskin so much is because i already have winnings in the bank of over 20 units for the season, whihc has only been a week long...im willing to take this loss, b to me, this is the best game ive seen price-wise all season...so tail at own risk....i would only do like 2 to 3 units if i were starting out like you...not 10 units...
BOL BRAH...tomorrowComment -
Thank you, I ll follow accordingly and only put 3 units on the yankees thanks for your help and hope to see you crack the 100 units as soon as u plan 2 or even sooner,
thatbwould make me really happy haha
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