Om jorge's mlb shack 2011

jorge1 · 03-29-11, 10:39 AM

Basic Strategies for some of you wondering, WHY BASEBALL? IS BASEBALL WORTH IT? Well, IT IS! That being said, let me mention, its Hard, time consuming, and strenuous at times. A long season can mean great profits, or horrible losses. Get a system that works for you, and stick to it!

Here are some things to tickle your brain: (most of this is not my own...ive acquired these ideas and strategies through reading and/or other cappers)

There are 4 corners to every diamond:

1) PITCHER - Look at:
last three starts
pitcher's record against opponent
bullpen availability (check how rested bullpen is)
ERA rankings

2)Streaks
NO PLAY: dogs which have lost 3+ in a row
NO PLAY: dogs playing fave on a winning streak (+3 games)
Look for faves with .600+ coming off a loss
Look at TOP 5 teams coming off losses

3) Weather
look for wind in certain ballparks to wager Over/unders
look for low temps (under 60) to wager UNDERS

4) Intangiables
TRAVEL: look for teams traveling after a night game
EXTENDED TRAVEL: look for teams after a long road trip on their 1st game home
EMOTION: look for team coming off tight games, fierce rivalries, etc.

jorge1 · 03-29-11, 10:44 AM

UNDERDOG SYSTEM:

Eliminate games in which underdog lost +3, or fave won +3 in a row
Eliminate games in which underdog is +170 or worse
Eliminate games in which dog faces a top 20 pitcher (according to Saragin*)

This system is very good...once you weed out all those youll be left with maybe 1-3 dogs daily...its been good to me, but alot of times i diverge from it, then when i back check it, i see its been makin money..so this year, this system sticks for me, along with some other lil filters i got.

STREAK SYSTEM:
SET THE TOP TEAMS TO ALERT MODE. when 1 wins, then bet on its next three games until it loses.
Set the bottom teams to alert. when 1 loses, bet against on its next three games until it loses.

This system sounds simple, but when paired with other filters such as cappin' pitchers, and line movement, it can be VERY efficient.

Okay guys...these are just some of the lil simple techniques I can share...the rest, you gotta ask...lol!

And please, school me as well...constructive criticism always WELCOME!

BOL this season Y'ALL,

JORGE

sonnybaby · 03-29-11, 10:53 AM

good stuff in here my slime

sitgo · 03-29-11, 10:57 AM

Bol , I will be following you, lets make some money

gamble · 03-29-11, 04:48 PM

what up jorge, good to see you got a thread for mlb, might do the same just to keep track, good luck this year

Bcatswin · 03-29-11, 05:00 PM

Nice.

jorge1 · 03-29-11, 05:11 PM

Thanks guys...here are two spring games to kick around...NOT PART OF RECORD!

Pirates +162 .5x

ATL -109 1.0x

jspectyper · 03-29-11, 08:48 PM

Heres to a profitable season

jorge1 · 03-29-11, 10:30 PM

Originally posted by jspectyper

Heres to a profitable season

Good vibes man! thanks...im happy / dreading the season...i just remember all the headaches i got last year from hours and hours of games, and lines, and research...lol...imma keep it simple stupid this season!

So far i have with march madness and made 15 units off 1 units! LOL...that made no sense...

jorge1 · 03-29-11, 10:32 PM

so today i played the following although i didnt get to post:

NYY ML 2x, BOS ML 2x, SEA ML .5x, PIT ML .5x, and ATL 1x...

results:

3-1-1 +3.15x

cool! made profit in spring!

jorge1 · 03-29-11, 10:33 PM

BTW, props to SONNY...killed it today yall...some of the picks i went with were his...

Thanks SONNY...when im not sold on any plays...he is my GO TO GUY!

jorge1 · 03-30-11, 09:58 AM

NYM ML -142 2x

Lets cash sonny!

clint227 · 03-30-11, 10:06 AM

is this the same Jorge that had that girl with the huge ass as his Avatar most of last year?

sonnybaby · 03-30-11, 10:42 AM

props jorge

jorge1 · 03-30-11, 12:22 PM

Originally posted by clint227

is this the same Jorge that had that girl with the huge ass as his Avatar most of last year?

Andreita?

yupppp...thats me

jorge1 · 03-30-11, 02:37 PM

77273318-13/30/11 3:35pm$105.00$100.00
Pending3/30/11 4:10pm Reduced Baseball 984 Tampa Bay Rays -105* vs Toronto Blue Jays (Fixed Price)
77271278-13/30/11 2:55pm$100.00$110.00
Pending3/30/11 3:45pm Reduced Baseball 979 Oakland Athletics +110* vs San Francisco Giants (Fixed Price)77271278-23/30/11 2:55pm$122.00$100.00
Pending3/30/11 4:05pm Reduced Baseball 982 Philadelphia Phillies -122* vs Pittsburgh Pirates (Fixed Price)

jorge1 · 03-30-11, 02:38 PM

I was on OAK and TB, but seeing sonny on PHI made me put that one in too! he is red hot right now! Keep it up sonny...crew, enjoy..this is just preseason so small amounts...not going too crazy after already pocketing 4 units in the early games today...

jspectyper · 03-31-11, 12:19 AM

Jorge who are you likin for opening day? Likin sf and yanks, haven't played anything yet.

jorge1 · 03-31-11, 12:56 AM

what up man..lookin at prices right now..

honestly i like Verlander at +137, NATs at +133 (ACTUALLY I LIKE THE RL on this one +1.5 -130) likin the over in cincy, and the padres at +178!

But thats just me lookin at prices..not even really cappin

ill do that tomorrow..gonna see how sharps do the lines overnight my dawg!

NIGHT!

jorge1 · 03-31-11, 01:50 AM

lets see how well we do with early value here...early leans..takin it light..half a unit on the games, and a quarter unit on this fun prop on opening days...its insane how many games start out wiht runs!

77315574-13/31/11 2:49am$27.50$25.00
Pending3/31/11 1:00pm Props Baseball 2901 ATL/WAS score 1st inn yes -110* vs ATL/WAS no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)77315574-23/31/11 2:49am$25.00$25.00
Pending3/31/11 2:05pm Props Baseball 2903 MIL/CIN score 1st inn yes +100* vs MIL/CIN no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)77315574-33/31/11 2:49am$25.00$26.25
Pending3/31/11 4:10pm Props Baseball 2905 SDG/STL score 1st inn yes +105* vs SDG/STL no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)77315574-43/31/11 2:49am$25.00$28.75
Pending3/31/11 8:00pm Props Baseball 2907 SFO/LOS score 1st inn yes +115* vs SFO/LOS no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)77315574-53/31/11 2:49am$26.25$25.00
Pending3/31/11 1:00pm Props Baseball 2909 DET/NYY score 1st inn yes -105* vs DET/NYY no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)77315574-63/31/11 2:49am$27.50$25.00
Pending3/31/11 4:05pm Props Baseball 2911 LAA/KAN score 1st inn yes -110* vs LAA/KAN no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)77315574-73/31/11 2:49am$50.00$66.00
Pending3/31/11 1:05pm Reduced Baseball 902 Washington Nationals +132* vs Atlanta Braves (D Lowe - R must Start L Hernandez -R must Start)77315574-83/31/11 2:49am$55.50$50.00
Pending3/31/11 1:05pm Reduced Baseball 901 Atlanta Braves/Washington Nationals Under 8½ -111* (D Lowe - R must Start L Hernandez -R must Start)77315574-93/31/11 2:49am$50.00$89.00
Pending3/31/11 4:15pm Reduced Baseball 905 San Diego Padres +178* vs St. Louis Cardinals (T Stauffer - R must Start C Carpenter - R must Start)77315574-103/31/11 2:49am$50.00$68.50
Pending3/31/11 1:05pm Reduced Baseball 909 Detroit Tigers +137* vs New York Yankees (J Verlander - R must Start C Sabathia - L must Start)77315574-113/31/11 2:49am$57.50$50.00
Pending3/31/11 1:05pm Reduced Baseball 909 Detroit Tigers/New York Yankees Under 8 -115* (J Verlander - R must Start C Sabathia - L must Start)

sitgo · 03-31-11, 05:11 AM

How many picks!! Good luck!!

VicVega91 · 03-31-11, 05:29 AM

Best of luck today !! That is a lot of plays !!

jorge1 · 03-31-11, 07:38 AM

Originally posted by sitgo

How many picks!! Good luck!!

Originally posted by VicVega91

Best of luck today !! That is a lot of plays !!

Its four plays. The rest are just props that im playin around with...usually opening day you have lots of runs in first innings so thought id put .25x on each game...

but actual plays, no..sorry...i dont expect to EVER have this many...max 3-4 a day..MAX

jorge1 · 03-31-11, 10:06 AM

Takin back the WSH play and betting these two:

77319561-13/31/11 11:04am$200.00$246.00
Pending3/31/11 1:05pm Reduced Baseball 901 Atlanta Braves -1½ +123* vs Washington Nationals (D Lowe - R must Start L Hernandez -R must Start)77319561-23/31/11 11:04am$99.75$184.54
Pending3/31/11 2:10pm Reduced Baseball 904 Cincinnati Reds -1½ +185* vs Milwaukee Brewers (Y Gallardo - R must Start E Volquez - R must Start)

WvGambler · 03-31-11, 10:14 AM

Gl Jorge. I'm on Brewers and Braves.

btd · 03-31-11, 10:50 AM

I like your Tigers pick, GL

jorge1 · 03-31-11, 11:10 AM

Originally posted by WvGambler

Gl Jorge. I'm on Brewers and Braves.

Nice...we are opp sides but one of us makes money!

BOL BUD!

Originally posted by btd

I like your Tigers pick, GL

Great value here...these type of plays are the ones that over the long haul bring in the profit...

jorge1 · 03-31-11, 02:48 PM

77328089-13/31/11 3:44pm$102.50.00$117.87
Pending3/31/11 4:10pm Reduced Baseball 911 Los Angeles Angels -1½ +115* vs Kansas City Royals (Jered Weaver - R must Start L Hochevar - R must Start)

jorge1 · 03-31-11, 04:34 PM

Originally posted by jorge1

77315574-13/31/11 2:49am$27.50$25.00 Pending3/31/11 1:00pm Props Baseball 2901 ATL/WAS score 1st inn yes -110* vs ATL/WAS no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)

77315574-23/31/11 2:49am$25.00$25.00 Pending3/31/11 2:05pm Props Baseball 2903 MIL/CIN score 1st inn yes +100* vs MIL/CIN no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)

77315574-33/31/11 2:49am$25.00$26.25 Pending3/31/11 4:10pm Props Baseball 2905 SDG/STL score 1st inn yes +105* vs SDG/STL no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)

77315574-43/31/11 2:49am$25.00$28.75 Pending3/31/11 8:00pm Props Baseball 2907 SFO/LOS score 1st inn yes +115* vs SFO/LOS no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)
77315574-53/31/11 2:49am$26.25$25.00 Pending3/31/11 1:00pm Props Baseball 2909 DET/NYY score 1st inn yes -105* vs DET/NYY no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)

77315574-63/31/11 2:49am$27.50$25.00 Pending3/31/11 4:05pm Props Baseball 2911 LAA/KAN score 1st inn yes -110* vs LAA/KAN no score 1st inn (Fixed Price)

77315574-73/31/11 2:49am$50.00$66.00 Pending3/31/11 1:05pm Reduced Baseball 902 Washington Nationals +132* vs Atlanta Braves (D Lowe - R must Start L Hernandez -R must Start)

77315574-83/31/11 2:49am$55.50$50.00 Pending3/31/11 1:05pm Reduced Baseball 901 Atlanta Braves/Washington Nationals Under 8½ -111* (D Lowe - R must Start L Hernandez -R must Start)

77315574-93/31/11 2:49am$50.00$89.00 Pending3/31/11 4:15pm Reduced Baseball 905 San Diego Padres +178* vs St. Louis Cardinals (T Stauffer - R must Start C Carpenter - R must Start)

77315574-103/31/11 2:49am$50.00$68.50 Pending3/31/11 1:05pm Reduced Baseball 909 Detroit Tigers +137* vs New York Yankees (J Verlander - R must Start C Sabathia - L must Start)

77315574-113/31/11 2:49am$57.50$50.00 Pending3/31/11 1:05pm Reduced Baseball 909 Detroit Tigers/New York Yankees Under 8 -115* (J Verlander - R must Start C Sabathia - L must Start)

Originally posted by jorge1

77319561-13/31/11 11:04am$200.00$246.00 Pending3/31/11 1:05pm Reduced Baseball 901 Atlanta Braves -1½ +123* vs Washington Nationals (D Lowe - R must Start L Hernandez -R must Start)

77319561-23/31/11 11:04am$99.75$184.54 Pending3/31/11 2:10pm Reduced Baseball 904 Cincinnati Reds -1½ +185* vs Milwaukee Brewers (Y Gallardo - R must Start E Volquez - R must Start)

Originally posted by jorge1

77328089-13/31/11 3:44pm$102.50.00$117.87 Pending3/31/11 4:10pm Reduced Baseball 911 Los Angeles Angels -1½ +115* vs Kansas City Royals (Jered Weaver - R must Start L Hochevar - R must Start)

so far today

jorge1 · 03-31-11, 06:04 PM

Got the NHL plays from BEAN...thanks bruh...all others look good...i was thinking of doing BOS game UNDER BIG ande when i saw he posted it i was set on it...

77339977-13/31/11 7:00pm$43.75$172.81 Pending2 Team Parlay
Pending3/31/11 7:05pm NHL Hockey 51 Columbus Blue Jackets/Washington Capitals Under 5 +120*
Pending3/31/11 7:05pm NHL Hockey 57 Toronto Maple Leafs/Boston Bruins Under 5 +125*

77339815-13/31/11 6:58pm$50.00$87.50 Pending3/31/11 8:05pm MLB Baseball 907 San Francisco Giants -1½ +175* vs Los Angeles Dodgers (T Lincecum - R must Start C Kershaw - L must Start)
77339815-23/31/11 6:58pm$50.00$70.00Pending3/31/11 8:05pm MLB Baseball 907 San Francisco Giants 1st 5 Innings -½ +140* vs Los Angeles Dodgers (T Lincecum - R must Start C Kershaw - L must Start)

77339725-13/31/11 6:57pm$50.00$50.0Pending3/31/11 8:05pm NBA Basketball 701 Boston Celtics 1st Half -½ +100* vs San Antonio Spurs
77339725-23/31/11 6:57pm$100.00$108.00Pending3/31/11 7:00pm College Basketball 705 Wichita State 1st Half -2 +108* vs Alabama 77339725-33/31/11 6:57pm$309.00$300.00Pending3/31/11 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 701 Boston Celtics/San Antonio Spurs Under 185½ -103*

jorge1 · 03-31-11, 06:29 PM

Cash angels rl!!!!

jorge1 · 03-31-11, 06:30 PM

And here come the pads by two in the 11th!!!! Suckkaaassssssss great value man! Great value!

jorge1 · 03-31-11, 06:36 PM

CASH SDG at +178 ML DOG!

value? what? somebody say dog? or dawg? jajajawho let the dogs out! woot woot!

jorge1 · 03-31-11, 06:40 PM

so far in bases today, fellas, we are 3-2 in props, and 4-3 in picks (that is considering that the BRAVES covered the WSH pick)...

Ill have a recap at the end of the night for accounting purposes! cashin the big plays with 2x on braves, and +178 ML DOGS on PADS, its lookin like a great opening day!

:P