Any Systems/ Stratagies/trends for MLB

[SportsAce]

Does anyone have any systems, strategies,or trends that work for them in MLB .

Any help is appreciated .

Thanks

[rkelly110]

Ace, I hit around 65% last year betting +RL favorites. Look for +RL odds that are lower
than the opposing teams ML odds. You could have at least 10 games a day.

It carries the same risk as betting ML faves, but your getting the extra runs.

These are SU bets, no chasing. Hint, don't bet on games lower than -222. (1.45)

[kingofmonash]

good stuff rkelly !!

also look to play all detriot , atlanta , colorado home games, no chasing ( anything above -150 do the runline)

[shinnman]

this looks interesting but i must be missing something, can you explain a little more, maybe give an example

[shinnman]

rkelly can you explain a little more

[daviddaman2]

systems are pretty tough in baseball. Finding solid ones is no easy task. Always curious when people come up with things but very rarely does it pan out.

[stikymess]

Betting against Pitt on the road was a great money maker last year for me. I expect more of the same.

[daviddaman2]

Betting against Pitt on the road was a great money maker last year for me. I expect more of the same.

The Pirates won't set the world on fire this year but they should be improved. McCutchen, Alvarez, Walker are pretty solid young players, all should continue to improve.

[OMGRandyJackson]

Just finishing up a model for this year that is looking very promising. But no SportsAce you cannot have it

[rkelly110]

shinnman, I don't know how much more I can explain. I personally use decimal (euro) odds
to easily pick which games fit the system.

Look at +1.5 RL odds to see if they are lower than the opposing teams ML odds.
If they are, and they are at or above 1.45, that is the bet.

Today, all of the teams (12) had +RL odds lower than the other teams ML.
10 of those teams won. 83% 5 won SU.

It's a real simple system, just look at the odds and place your bets.

[sonnybaby]

shinnman, I don't know how much more I can explain. I personally use decimal (euro) odds
to easily pick which games fit the system.

Look at +1.5 RL odds to see if they are lower than the opposing teams ML odds.
If they are, and they are at or above 1.45, that is the bet.

Today, all of the teams (12) had +RL odds lower than the other teams ML.
10 of those teams won. 83% 5 won SU.

It's a real simple system, just look at the odds and place your bets.

am i missing something

example nats rl was -165 mets ml was -119 the nats won but the rl # was higher than the mets ml # i think all rl's yesterday was higher then ml for the other team could not find one that was lower

[SportsAce]

Thanks for the info guys.

[rkelly110]

am i missing something

example nats rl was -165 mets ml was -119 the nats won but the rl # was higher than the mets ml # i think all rl's yesterday was higher then ml for the other team could not find one that was lower

The -165 means you have to bet $165 to win $100 which means the odds
were lower on the +RL than the Mets ML, where you only had to bet $119
to win $100.

I see where the confusion is coming from. I'm use to using decimal odds.

So using American odds, look for +RL higher than the team they're playing on the ML.

Does that help?

[stikymess]

The Pirates won't set the world on fire this year but they should be improved. McCutchen, Alvarez, Walker are pretty solid young players, all should continue to improve.

Agreed they should impove on last years deadful 17-64 road record. Just a matter of time till McCutchen is a Yankee/Red Sock. Not sold on Correia coming over from San Diego I think that will be a bust. Time will tell.

[rkelly110]

8-3 today so far on the +RL fav. My bets went 5-0 today. This works from now until World series.

[shinnman]

good job rkelly, just so im totally on same page, can you list cpl of your bets

[dvb02]

good job rkelly, just so im totally on same page, can you list cpl of your bets

Yes, that may be helpful.

[Pauulzcappin]

Might fade the Cubs for 500 a pop this season, probably would end with a lot of profit.

[PRiiMO]

im on bookmaker and pinnacle and they only have ML listed. maybe its too early to list the RLs

[hustla]

bet the dogs

[mebaran]

With a major sport like baseball, it's rare you will find a "system" that will work.

[rkelly110]

I'll see what we have for today.

[rkelly110]

If you guys can't bet on the +RL's at the moment, there's not much you can do.
Yesterdays ML's hit 50%, but that's not the norm. Here's todays plays.

NY Mets +1.60 -166 SU
St Louis +1.57 -175 SU
Baltimore +1.58 -175 SU
Tampa +1.62 -160
Chicago WS +1.60 -166
Cincinnati +1.52 -190 SU
Texas +1.52 -190 SU
Colorado +1.57 -175
Chicago Cubs +1.57 -175
San Diego +1.60 -166 SU
Boston +1.60 -166 SU

GL

[PRiiMO]

so its not even worth it to bet on the ML. i wish my sites offered RLs in preseason

[daneault23]

Hey rkelly, you're betting on the teams you mentioned, but on the +1.5 correct, not the ML?

[Sawyer]

Rkell, it works in regular season too? Any chance to make a backtest?

[rkelly110]

daneault, yes that is correct, bet +RL.

Sawyer I only have records from last year and it was hitting at 65%.

This is an odds only system, with a little bit of capping and pick and choose,
you might do better.

[daneault23]

Rkelly, you said you bet this last year. Did you do it the entire season??

[Golfer67]

That system probably will not work in the long run. Betting 10 games a day you will lose substantial juice throughout the season.

I like to bet teams that are on a streak and also look at pitchers

If a pitcher has had 3 or more bad outings, BET ON THEM
If a pitcher has had 3 or more good outings, BET AGAINST

It all comes back to the norm.

[rkelly110]

No daneault, I didn't bet the entire season, but kept track, because I was betting
on JM picks also.

[rkelly110]

Not looking too good for the +RL fav's in pre season. Yesterday hit at 50%, today only 20%.

I was watching that too Golfer, didn't keep a running log. Does it work pretty good?

[ebbearsfb1]

pirates overs... good offense.. lously d, lously pitching

[gryfyn1]

daneault, yes that is correct, bet +RL.

Sawyer I only have records from last year and it was hitting at 65%.

This is an odds only system, with a little bit of capping and pick and choose,
you might do better.

65% dosen't leave you much room though

Looking quick you average Odds were around -170 at those number you need to hit 63% just to be even; at 65% your making very small profit ( less than 1% ROI)

[twoone]

good system thanks

[TRE1968]

ya that +RL wont work betting it blindly too much juice