Accuscore MLB Pick System

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Skware
    SBR High Roller
    • 08-25-10
    • 117

    #491
    Originally posted by boeing power
    record from aug5-sept6th
    underdog record
    26-20 +11.92 units
    Interesting. Thanks
    Comment
    • boeing power
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 03-23-10
      • 9698

      #492
      i only tracked the dogs that accuscore had with at least a 50% chance of winning though, i will look furhter into the numbers to see value on more dogs

      ex. if a team is +180 and accuscore has them with a 48% of winning then there is a lot of value with this dog but it didnt meet my 50% filter
      Comment
      • CatPulp
        SBR Sharp
        • 11-13-09
        • 265

        #493
        Originally posted by boeing power
        i ran the numbers for betting underdogs since chaz started posting the chart on august 5th these are the filters i used underdogs of +100 or better underdog must be at least 50% to win by accuscore accurscore % must be 7% or better than vegas % record from aug5-sept6th underdog record 26-20 +11.92 units
        Thanks boeing power! This is exactly what I've been looking for
        Comment
        • bdevil
          Restricted User
          • 02-16-10
          • 1807

          #494
          Originally posted by alexy
          CONGRATS. ONE WINNER PLAY IS ENOUGH. I RISKED THE AMOUNT LOST YESTERDAY PLUS ONE UNIT. MAYBE IS NOT A GOOD WAY TO RECOVER LOOSES BUT THIS TIME HAD A HAPPY END. THANKS BDVIL
          For sure it's not a good way to recover, but happy it ended as a winner. Personally i don't play much of these plays i post as i'm still watching the winners. I believe it's a good way to be informed over the future bets you place, but the chart cannot be a 100 % argumented pick as it doesn't include all the aspects which influence the final bet. Sometimes the numbers are on our side. Betting on the underdogs using this system should be more efficient but we have to jump on the train at the right time.
          Comment
          • bdevil
            Restricted User
            • 02-16-10
            • 1807

            #495
            6th of Sep

            WAS - WIN

            We had 1 - 0, up 1 unit.
            Total balance : 27 - 20, + 1.24 units, 57 %.
            Comment
            • clbonham2
              SBR High Roller
              • 05-27-10
              • 125

              #496
              the picks look good
              Comment
              • bdevil
                Restricted User
                • 02-16-10
                • 1807

                #497
                7th of September. Accuscore gives us for today an underdog favourite, and that's SD Padres. We'll wait and see. The plays for today are WAS again, MIL, SD Padres and TOR.

                Comment
                • Skware
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 08-25-10
                  • 117

                  #498
                  Originally posted by bdevil
                  7th of September. Accuscore gives us for today an underdog favourite, and that's SD Padres. We'll wait and see. The plays for today are WAS again, MIL, SD Padres and TOR.
                  Thanks & for including the SD dog

                  My ML LAA VO56% VW53% SIM60% Diff+7 filters apply so may consider .
                  vs. ML LAA VO55% VW54% SIM60% Diff+6 filters do not apply.
                  Comment
                  • bdevil
                    Restricted User
                    • 02-16-10
                    • 1807

                    #499
                    All my odds were taken from Pinnacle, as i always have used only one bookmaker to calculate my odds. Regarding LA Angels, if you use BookMaker (CLE +104 / LAA -124) or The Greek (CLE +105 / LAA -125) then LAA are a play, with a difference of 7 %.
                    Comment
                    • Mully85
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 08-23-10
                      • 56

                      #500
                      Originally posted by boeing power
                      i only tracked the dogs that accuscore had with at least a 50% chance of winning though, i will look furhter into the numbers to see value on more dogs ex. if a team is +180 and accuscore has them with a 48% of winning then there is a lot of value with this dog but it didnt meet my 50% filter
                      Thank You for this information! I would be interested to see what you come up with on your current research. Great job!!
                      Comment
                      • Fishscale
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 08-24-10
                        • 411

                        #501
                        I really like this system but I would never take Correia going up against Clayton Kershaw.
                        Comment
                        • Skware
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 08-25-10
                          • 117

                          #502
                          Originally posted by Fishscale
                          I really like this system but I would never take Correia going up against Clayton Kershaw.
                          bdevile please review listed pitchers for
                          SD Padres Latos, M vs Clayton Kersahw, not Correia, K
                          Was Nationals Maya, Y vs. Gee, not Olson, S
                          Comment
                          • Kraghen
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-08-10
                            • 2509

                            #503
                            You might think I'm crazy but I've bet on every underdogs today no matter they chance of winning. I expect to have at least half of my picks to win so that I can make some profit...
                            Comment
                            • boeing power
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 03-23-10
                              • 9698

                              #504
                              underdog system play for sept 7

                              arizona +121 pinny

                              ytd 26-20 +11.92
                              Comment
                              • bdevil
                                Restricted User
                                • 02-16-10
                                • 1807

                                #505
                                The updated chart, took the odds and pitchers from sbrodds, meanwhile things changed as Skware said. Same plays though, SD Padres is the favourite now.
                                Comment
                                • Kraghen
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 07-08-10
                                  • 2509

                                  #506
                                  bdevil I'm using Accurescore as well but I don't know where to find this page you are showing.... could you give me the Accurescore link please? Thanks.
                                  Comment
                                  • boeing power
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 03-23-10
                                    • 9698

                                    #507
                                    i believe he makes this chart himself
                                    Comment
                                    • CatPulp
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 11-13-09
                                      • 265

                                      #508
                                      Originally posted by Kraghen
                                      You might think I'm crazy but I've bet on every underdogs today no matter they chance of winning. I expect to have at least half of my picks to win so that I can make some profit...
                                      Yup, I would have to agree with you... that strategy is crazy.
                                      Comment
                                      • CatPulp
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 11-13-09
                                        • 265

                                        #509
                                        Originally posted by boeing power
                                        i believe he makes this chart himself
                                        Yes, that is correct. bdevil makes his own charts / spreadsheets.... and so can you. I posted a simple calculator a few pages back that you can add to all your most awesome bookie busting calculations.
                                        Comment
                                        • Skware
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 08-25-10
                                          • 117

                                          #510
                                          odds changed

                                          How do you copy and paste a chart/spreadsheet with the line separations and all?

                                          Off topic NFL Week 1 if interested?
                                          PIT +3 TB -3 IND ML -140

                                          YMLMV (so please verify your own Spread & ML)

                                          Difference 7%
                                          Dogs 50% or better +100 or higher
                                          Favs 60% or better -160 or lower
                                          Attached Files
                                          Comment
                                          • boeing power
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 03-23-10
                                            • 9698

                                            #511
                                            thanks for the nfl numbers skware
                                            Comment
                                            • bdevil
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 02-16-10
                                              • 1807

                                              #512
                                              Skware, i type them manually (team names, eu odds, us odds). For the rest I have just the math functions saved and i copy paste them. The AccuScore predictions can be found here : http://www.thespread.com/accuscore/mlb-forecasts.html and also at ESPN Preview of every match, they have also the AccuScore listed : http://scores.espn.go.com/mlb/previe...w-york-yankees .
                                              Comment
                                              • Mully85
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 08-23-10
                                                • 56

                                                #513
                                                Originally posted by Skware
                                                How do you copy and paste a chart/spreadsheet with the line separations and all? Off topic NFL Week 1 if interested?
                                                Thanks for the chart Skware! Are you using the same basic filters as we are using here? Thanks again!
                                                Comment
                                                • Skware
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 08-25-10
                                                  • 117

                                                  #514
                                                  "
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Skware
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 08-25-10
                                                    • 117

                                                    #515
                                                    Originally posted by bdevil
                                                    Skware, i type them manually (team names, eu odds, us odds). For the rest I have just the math functions saved and i copy paste them. The AccuScore predictions can be found here : http://www.thespread.com/accuscore/mlb-forecasts.html and also at ESPN Preview of every match, they have also the AccuScore listed : http://scores.espn.go.com/mlb/previe...w-york-yankees .
                                                    When I type the chart manually it does not look like yours, it looks like garbly goop run on words...hmm

                                                    I use thespread.com also for the accuscore SIM% but was unaware of the espn link.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • bdevil
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 02-16-10
                                                      • 1807

                                                      #516
                                                      I don't know what you mean Skware ... How does it look ? Make a print screen in order to understand ...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • bdevil
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 02-16-10
                                                        • 1807

                                                        #517
                                                        7th of Sep

                                                        WAS - LOST
                                                        MIL - WIN
                                                        SD Padres - WIN
                                                        TOR - WIN

                                                        We had 3 - 1, up 1.56 units.
                                                        Total balance : 30 - 21, + 2.80 units, 58 %.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Skware
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 08-25-10
                                                          • 117

                                                          #518
                                                          Originally posted by bdevil
                                                          I don't know what you mean Skware ... How does it look ? Make a print screen in order to understand ...
                                                          Looks like this -

                                                          NFL QB Sprd SprdToMLconversion VO% VW% SIM% Diff ML VO% VW% SIM% Diff
                                                          IND Manning -3 -165 62% 59% 64% 5 -140 58% 55% 64% 9
                                                          HOU Schaub 135 43% 41% 35% -6 110 48% 45% 35% -10
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bdevil
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 02-16-10
                                                            • 1807

                                                            #519
                                                            8th of September, the chart, and the play is ARI.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Skware
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 08-25-10
                                                              • 117

                                                              #520
                                                              Originally posted by bdevil
                                                              8th of September, the chart, and the play is ARI.
                                                              Thanks


                                                              MY ML has 3 Dogs & bdevil's 1 Fav
                                                              of ARI.

                                                              CIN +100 VO50% VW48% SIM55% Diff+7
                                                              COL -120 VO55% VW52% SIM45% Diff-7

                                                              CLE +125 VO44% VW43% SIM51% Diff+8
                                                              LAA -145 VO59% VW57% SIM49% Diff-8

                                                              TEX +113 VO47% VW55% SIM53% DIff+8
                                                              TOR -133 VO57% VW55% SIM47% Diff-8


                                                              YMLMV (so please verify your own ML)

                                                              Difference 7%
                                                              Dogs 50% or better +100 or higher
                                                              Favs 60% or better -160 or lower
                                                              Comment
                                                              • CatPulp
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 11-13-09
                                                                • 265

                                                                #521
                                                                Originally posted by Skware
                                                                Looks like this - NFL QB Sprd SprdToMLconversion VO% VW% SIM% Diff ML VO% VW% SIM% Diff IND Manning -3 -165 62% 59% 64% 5 -140 58% 55% 64% 9 HOU Schaub 135 43% 41% 35% -6 110 48% 45% 35% -10
                                                                You are aware that bdevil is using Excel, right?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • CatPulp
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 11-13-09
                                                                  • 265

                                                                  #522
                                                                  Originally posted by Skware
                                                                  How do you copy and paste a chart/spreadsheet with the line separations and all?
                                                                  Oh, now I understand your question. Bdevil is taking a screenshot of his Excel spreadsheet. He's also probably cropping it in some photo editing software, or at the very least, using MSPaint to import the image, crop it, and save it as a JPEG for uploading.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • bdevil
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 02-16-10
                                                                    • 1807

                                                                    #523
                                                                    True, i'm using CapSnapper 2 to print screen what i want. Then i upload the picture on imageshack and post it here. I explained this in a PM to Skware.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bdevil
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 02-16-10
                                                                      • 1807

                                                                      #524
                                                                      8th of Sep

                                                                      ARI - WIN


                                                                      We had 1 - 0, up 1 unit.
                                                                      Total balance : 31 - 21, + 3.80 units, 59 %.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • bdevil
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 02-16-10
                                                                        • 1807

                                                                        #525
                                                                        9th of Sep, one play, LA Dodgers.
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        Search
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...