Accuscore MLB Pick System

[Skware]

record from aug5-sept6th
underdog record
26-20 +11.92 units

Interesting. Thanks

[boeing power]

i only tracked the dogs that accuscore had with at least a 50% chance of winning though, i will look furhter into the numbers to see value on more dogs

ex. if a team is +180 and accuscore has them with a 48% of winning then there is a lot of value with this dog but it didnt meet my 50% filter

[CatPulp]

i ran the numbers for betting underdogs since chaz started posting the chart on august 5th these are the filters i used underdogs of +100 or better underdog must be at least 50% to win by accuscore accurscore % must be 7% or better than vegas % record from aug5-sept6th underdog record 26-20 +11.92 units

Thanks boeing power! This is exactly what I've been looking for

[bdevil]

CONGRATS. ONE WINNER PLAY IS ENOUGH. I RISKED THE AMOUNT LOST YESTERDAY PLUS ONE UNIT. MAYBE IS NOT A GOOD WAY TO RECOVER LOOSES BUT THIS TIME HAD A HAPPY END. THANKS BDVIL

For sure it's not a good way to recover, but happy it ended as a winner. Personally i don't play much of these plays i post as i'm still watching the winners. I believe it's a good way to be informed over the future bets you place, but the chart cannot be a 100 % argumented pick as it doesn't include all the aspects which influence the final bet. Sometimes the numbers are on our side. Betting on the underdogs using this system should be more efficient but we have to jump on the train at the right time.

[bdevil]

6th of Sep

WAS - WIN

We had 1 - 0, up 1 unit.
Total balance : 27 - 20, + 1.24 units, 57 %.

[clbonham2]

the picks look good

[bdevil]

7th of September. Accuscore gives us for today an underdog favourite, and that's SD Padres. We'll wait and see. The plays for today are WAS again, MIL, SD Padres and TOR.

[Skware]

7th of September. Accuscore gives us for today an underdog favourite, and that's SD Padres. We'll wait and see. The plays for today are WAS again, MIL, SD Padres and TOR.

Thanks & for including the SD dog

My ML LAA VO56% VW53% SIM60% Diff+7 filters apply so may consider .
vs. ML LAA VO55% VW54% SIM60% Diff+6 filters do not apply.

[bdevil]

All my odds were taken from Pinnacle, as i always have used only one bookmaker to calculate my odds. Regarding LA Angels, if you use BookMaker (CLE +104 / LAA -124) or The Greek (CLE +105 / LAA -125) then LAA are a play, with a difference of 7 %.

[Mully85]

i only tracked the dogs that accuscore had with at least a 50% chance of winning though, i will look furhter into the numbers to see value on more dogs ex. if a team is +180 and accuscore has them with a 48% of winning then there is a lot of value with this dog but it didnt meet my 50% filter

Thank You for this information! I would be interested to see what you come up with on your current research. Great job!!

[Fishscale]

I really like this system but I would never take Correia going up against Clayton Kershaw.

[Skware]

I really like this system but I would never take Correia going up against Clayton Kershaw.

bdevile please review listed pitchers for
SD Padres Latos, M vs Clayton Kersahw, not Correia, K
Was Nationals Maya, Y vs. Gee, not Olson, S

[Kraghen]

You might think I'm crazy but I've bet on every underdogs today no matter they chance of winning. I expect to have at least half of my picks to win so that I can make some profit...

[boeing power]

underdog system play for sept 7

arizona +121 pinny

ytd 26-20 +11.92

[bdevil]

The updated chart, took the odds and pitchers from sbrodds, meanwhile things changed as Skware said. Same plays though, SD Padres is the favourite now.

[Kraghen]

bdevil I'm using Accurescore as well but I don't know where to find this page you are showing.... could you give me the Accurescore link please? Thanks.

[boeing power]

i believe he makes this chart himself

[CatPulp]

You might think I'm crazy but I've bet on every underdogs today no matter they chance of winning. I expect to have at least half of my picks to win so that I can make some profit...

Yup, I would have to agree with you... that strategy is crazy.

[CatPulp]

i believe he makes this chart himself

Yes, that is correct. bdevil makes his own charts / spreadsheets.... and so can you. I posted a simple calculator a few pages back that you can add to all your most awesome bookie busting calculations.

[Skware]

odds changed

How do you copy and paste a chart/spreadsheet with the line separations and all?

Off topic NFL Week 1 if interested?
PIT +3 TB -3 IND ML -140

YMLMV (so please verify your own Spread & ML)

Difference 7%
Dogs 50% or better +100 or higher
Favs 60% or better -160 or lower

[boeing power]

thanks for the nfl numbers skware

[bdevil]

Skware, i type them manually (team names, eu odds, us odds). For the rest I have just the math functions saved and i copy paste them. The AccuScore predictions can be found here : http://www.thespread.com/accuscore/mlb-forecasts.html and also at ESPN Preview of every match, they have also the AccuScore listed : http://scores.espn.go.com/mlb/previe...w-york-yankees .

[Mully85]

How do you copy and paste a chart/spreadsheet with the line separations and all? Off topic NFL Week 1 if interested?

Thanks for the chart Skware! Are you using the same basic filters as we are using here? Thanks again!

[Skware]

"

[Skware]

Skware, i type them manually (team names, eu odds, us odds). For the rest I have just the math functions saved and i copy paste them. The AccuScore predictions can be found here : http://www.thespread.com/accuscore/mlb-forecasts.html and also at ESPN Preview of every match, they have also the AccuScore listed : http://scores.espn.go.com/mlb/previe...w-york-yankees .

When I type the chart manually it does not look like yours, it looks like garbly goop run on words...hmm

I use thespread.com also for the accuscore SIM% but was unaware of the espn link.

[bdevil]

I don't know what you mean Skware ... How does it look ? Make a print screen in order to understand ...

[bdevil]

7th of Sep

WAS - LOST
MIL - WIN
SD Padres - WIN
TOR - WIN

We had 3 - 1, up 1.56 units.
Total balance : 30 - 21, + 2.80 units, 58 %.

[Skware]

I don't know what you mean Skware ... How does it look ? Make a print screen in order to understand ...

Looks like this -

NFL QB Sprd SprdToMLconversion VO% VW% SIM% Diff ML VO% VW% SIM% Diff
IND Manning -3 -165 62% 59% 64% 5 -140 58% 55% 64% 9
HOU Schaub 135 43% 41% 35% -6 110 48% 45% 35% -10

[bdevil]

8th of September, the chart, and the play is ARI.

[Skware]

8th of September, the chart, and the play is ARI.

Thanks

MY ML has 3 Dogs & bdevil's 1 Fav of ARI.

CIN +100 VO50% VW48% SIM55% Diff+7
COL -120 VO55% VW52% SIM45% Diff-7
CLE +125 VO44% VW43% SIM51% Diff+8
LAA -145 VO59% VW57% SIM49% Diff-8
TEX +113 VO47% VW55% SIM53% DIff+8
TOR -133 VO57% VW55% SIM47% Diff-8

YMLMV (so please verify your own ML)

Difference 7%
Dogs 50% or better +100 or higher
Favs 60% or better -160 or lower

[CatPulp]

Looks like this - NFL QB Sprd SprdToMLconversion VO% VW% SIM% Diff ML VO% VW% SIM% Diff IND Manning -3 -165 62% 59% 64% 5 -140 58% 55% 64% 9 HOU Schaub 135 43% 41% 35% -6 110 48% 45% 35% -10

You are aware that bdevil is using Excel, right?

[CatPulp]

How do you copy and paste a chart/spreadsheet with the line separations and all?

Oh, now I understand your question. Bdevil is taking a screenshot of his Excel spreadsheet. He's also probably cropping it in some photo editing software, or at the very least, using MSPaint to import the image, crop it, and save it as a JPEG for uploading.

[bdevil]

True, i'm using CapSnapper 2 to print screen what i want. Then i upload the picture on imageshack and post it here. I explained this in a PM to Skware.

[bdevil]

8th of Sep

ARI - WIN


We had 1 - 0, up 1 unit.
Total balance : 31 - 21, + 3.80 units, 59 %.

[bdevil]

9th of Sep, one play, LA Dodgers.