Accuscore MLB Pick System

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  • Skware
    SBR High Roller
    • 08-25-10
    • 117

    #456
    Originally posted by CatPulp
    Hey there Skware, what filters are you using? It looks like dogs above 50% Sim rate with a + difference against the Vegas Win %. Are there any other criteria?
    No NCAAFB Favs met the system filters we use with MLB, but the Dogs today did -
    Even or better, SIM50% or better, Diff+7 or better
    Used your Side Value calculator

    Since only 2 MLB picks today and it was off this threads topic I wrote "Option". I liked what the Accuscore system revealed.

    I also compared the ML to the Spread (ie. +1.5 converts to +101, +3 converts to +135 & +4.5 converts to +192), and decided to bet the Spread. Expected outcome 2 - 1
    Comment
    • Skware
      SBR High Roller
      • 08-25-10
      • 117

      #457
      BTW CatPulp, I'm involved in a daily contest minimum of 3 wagers which is why if we get less than 3 picks with this system I choose a 3rd *filter off. Yesterday I didn't trust SEA (ranked 28 awful) but wanted to maintain this system and hedged ATL.
      Comment
      • Mully85
        SBR Hustler
        • 08-23-10
        • 56

        #458
        Originally posted by Skware
        No NCAAFB Favs met the system filters we use with MLB, but the Dogs today did -
        Even or better, SIM50% or better, Diff+7 or better
        Used your Side Value calculator

        Since only 2 MLB picks today and it was off this threads topic I wrote "Option". I liked what the Accuscore system revealed.

        I also compared the ML to the Spread (ie. +1.5 converts to +101, +3 converts to +135 & +4.5 converts to +192), and decided to bet the Spread. Expected outcome 2 - 1
        Hey Skware,

        I'm still pretty new to this forum and the whole mathematical working for betting systems thing. My question is...how to you convert the "Spread" to the "ML"? or vice versa. Thank You in advance!!
        Comment
        • Kraghen
          SBR MVP
          • 07-08-10
          • 2509

          #459
          ATLANTA BRAVES RL, MINESOTA TWINS, SEATTLE MARINERS, BOSTON RED SOX, PHILLIES/ROCKIES under9
          Comment
          • Cranium
            SBR Sharp
            • 09-05-08
            • 363

            #460
            Catpulp,
            Thanks for the calculator! Makes my life much easier!!!
            Comment
            • CatPulp
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-13-09
              • 265

              #461
              Originally posted by Skware
              BTW CatPulp, I'm involved in a daily contest minimum of 3 wagers which is why if we get less than 3 picks with this system I choose a 3rd *filter off. Yesterday I didn't trust SEA (ranked 28 awful) but wanted to maintain this system and hedged ATL.
              Oh right, I completely understand the hedge. It makes sense to me now.
              Also, thanks for explaining your filters for NCAAF - which coincidentally are not too dissimilar to the ones we use for MLB.
              If you could please keep a record of your bets for NCAAF dogs, that would be awesome.
              As a matter of fact, has anyone kept a record for MLB dogs within our system? I would be very curious to see those numbers.
              As always, good luck to us all!
              Comment
              • bdevil
                Restricted User
                • 02-16-10
                • 1807

                #462
                2nd of Sep 2010

                ATL - LOST
                MIN - LOST



                We had 0 - 2, down 2.81 units.
                Total balance : 25 - 14, + 6.76 units, 64 %.
                Comment
                • bdevil
                  Restricted User
                  • 02-16-10
                  • 1807

                  #463
                  3rd of Sep, just two plays, NYY & ATL. The chart :
                  Comment
                  • Skware
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 08-25-10
                    • 117

                    #464
                    Originally posted by Mully85
                    Hey Skware,

                    I'm still pretty new to this forum and the whole mathematical working for betting systems thing. My question is...how to you convert the "Spread" to the "ML"? or vice versa. Thank You in advance!!


                    Tool has it's flaws, no conversion higher than 14.5

                    Originally posted by bdevil
                    3rd of Sep, just one play, NYY. The chart :
                    Please review ATL -110 SIM60% Diff+8 and Thanks bdevil


                    MLB
                    ATL - LOSS
                    MIN - LOSS
                    17 - 14
                    NCAAFB
                    MIDTEN - Loss
                    NOILL - Loss
                    PIT - Push
                    0 -
                    2 - 1
                    Soccer
                    1 - 0
                    Comment
                    • bdevil
                      Restricted User
                      • 02-16-10
                      • 1807

                      #465
                      Thanks. Edited.
                      Comment
                      • bdevil
                        Restricted User
                        • 02-16-10
                        • 1807

                        #466
                        3rd of Sep

                        ATL - LOST
                        NYY - WIN

                        We had 1 - 1, down 0.10 units.
                        Total balance : 26 - 15, + 6.66 units, 63 %.
                        Comment
                        • bdevil
                          Restricted User
                          • 02-16-10
                          • 1807

                          #467
                          For today 4th of Sep, one play, SEA.
                          Comment
                          • mrkron
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 12-28-09
                            • 565

                            #468
                            Thanks. Indians are definitely a fade. Headline during the week here was "Stop Whining"
                            Comment
                            • Kraghen
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-08-10
                              • 2509

                              #469
                              I bought the 1 month Accurescore Advisor to see if the system works. I'm up to 57$ in 3 days only betting on MLB.
                              Comment
                              • ahhlenn
                                Restricted User
                                • 04-13-10
                                • 444

                                #470
                                ****, i was messed up on FLA today...thought they could have handled a back to back ATL
                                Comment
                                • snapperman2
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-19-10
                                  • 2078

                                  #471
                                  Do you use the Accuscore to calculate over/under probabilities? It can do that too. Also, are the filters you use really necessary? What's wrong with betting on heavy favorites as long as they are tagged by Accuscore as more likely to win than the moneyline odds suggest?
                                  Comment
                                  • MadTiger
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-19-09
                                    • 2724

                                    #472
                                    Thanks for the info, people.
                                    Comment
                                    • Kraghen
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-08-10
                                      • 2509

                                      #473
                                      Originally posted by snapperman2
                                      Do you use the Accuscore to calculate over/under probabilities? It can do that too. Also, are the filters you use really necessary? What's wrong with betting on heavy favorites as long as they are tagged by Accuscore as more likely to win than the moneyline odds suggest?
                                      Yesterday, Baltimore Orioles were the favorite to win against the Tampa Bay for Accurescore and they were +140 on the bookies.
                                      Comment
                                      • Sawyer
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 06-01-09
                                        • 7761

                                        #474
                                        I suggest to use accuscore for side betting only. They're awful in totals.
                                        Comment
                                        • johncrud
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-06-09
                                          • 1322

                                          #475
                                          all good systems go down
                                          Comment
                                          • Kraghen
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 07-08-10
                                            • 2509

                                            #476
                                            Baltimore orioles and Huston Astros were the two dogs picks from Accurescore yesterday, and they succeeded
                                            Comment
                                            • Mully85
                                              SBR Hustler
                                              • 08-23-10
                                              • 56

                                              #477
                                              Great job this week bdevil!
                                              Comment
                                              • bdevil
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 02-16-10
                                                • 1807

                                                #478
                                                4th of Sep

                                                SEA - LOST

                                                We had 0 - 1, down 1.14 units.
                                                Total balance : 26 - 16, + 5.52 units, 61 %.
                                                Comment
                                                • bdevil
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 02-16-10
                                                  • 1807

                                                  #479
                                                  5th of Sep, the chart and the plays : CHI Cubs, SD Padres, LA Dodgers and DET Tigers.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • oopfish
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 09-22-07
                                                    • 381

                                                    #480
                                                    good luck today
                                                    Comment
                                                    • johncrud
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-06-09
                                                      • 1322

                                                      #481
                                                      wipe out... loool
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Mully85
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 08-23-10
                                                        • 56

                                                        #482
                                                        Originally posted by johncrud
                                                        wipe out... loool

                                                        Does this guy ever have anything positive to say??
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Kraghen
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-08-10
                                                          • 2509

                                                          #483
                                                          Hello guy, how many of you have bought the accurescore premium membership? I only bought the one month membership and am only having success on football and underdogs baseball teams... the side value team are worth betting on most of the time.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bdevil
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 02-16-10
                                                            • 1807

                                                            #484
                                                            5th of Sep

                                                            CHI Cubs - LOST
                                                            SD Padres - LOST
                                                            LA Dodgers - LOST
                                                            DET Tigers - LOST

                                                            We had 0 - 4, down 5.28 units.
                                                            Total balance : 26 - 20, + 0.24 units, 56 %.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • bdevil
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 02-16-10
                                                              • 1807

                                                              #485
                                                              Chart for 6 of Sep. One play, WAS.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jackmyhoggoff
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 07-20-10
                                                                • 840

                                                                #486
                                                                Originally posted by Kraghen
                                                                Hello guy, how many of you have bought the accurescore premium membership? I only bought the one month membership and am only having success on football and underdogs baseball teams... the side value team are worth betting on most of the time.
                                                                HEY KRAGHEN are your plays the same as the bdevils or different?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Kraghen
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-08-10
                                                                  • 2509

                                                                  #487
                                                                  I'm thinking about playing differently from now on. I noticed that most of the underdogs were winning recently, so I only select Accurescore underdogs favorite. When you bet only on favorite you need to win at least 4 games out of 6 to make money if the odd is arround 1,50, on the other side, if you bet on underdogs, depending on the odd (arround 2,10) you only need 3 picks out of 6 to make money. Plus you'll always make more money with your underdogs than with your favorite. I feel really bad when I bet on a favorite team and they loose, while when an underdog loose, I just think I's ok as they were likely to loose.

                                                                  I'll post my picks soon. BEST OF LUCK ANYWAY
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • alexy
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 05-23-10
                                                                    • 217

                                                                    #488
                                                                    Bdvil post 485

                                                                    CONGRATS. ONE WINNER PLAY IS ENOUGH. I RISKED THE AMOUNT LOST YESTERDAY PLUS ONE UNIT. MAYBE IS NOT A GOOD WAY TO RECOVER LOOSES BUT THIS TIME HAD A HAPPY END. THANKS BDVIL
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • CatPulp
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 11-13-09
                                                                      • 265

                                                                      #489
                                                                      Originally posted by johncrud
                                                                      wipe out... loool
                                                                      Hey there John, it looks like we had a bad day.
                                                                      Sometimes bad days happen, right?
                                                                      Do you have any helpful advice you would like to share with us or are you content to wallow in your self righteous schadenfreude?


                                                                      ...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • boeing power
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 03-23-10
                                                                        • 9698

                                                                        #490
                                                                        i ran the numbers for betting underdogs since chaz started posting the chart on august 5th

                                                                        these are the filters i used

                                                                        underdogs of +100 or better
                                                                        underdog must be at least 50% to win by accuscore
                                                                        accurscore % must be 7% or better than vegas %

                                                                        record from aug5-sept6th

                                                                        underdog record
                                                                        26-20 +11.92 units
                                                                        Comment
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