CK's 2025 MLB Thread

[atthehalf]

A good price for the Fathers is -1.5 +100 for their RL which is about where i estimated them against Cardinals. The only SIDE that I agreed with today for Hard Rock was the Wanderers. I don't like any favorite OVER -145 which is what the Guardians were, and from a value standpoint the twinkies are a better option. You can always bet in LIVE on the Twinkies-I passed on it even though I did get it monitored tho

[atthehalf]

I also wouldn't recommend betting against the Fathers right now either. Their bullpen is anchored by Mason Miller now too! That was exactly what they needed to make them whole again. The Cardinals are gonna play good defense but sometimes that's not enough against a team that I feel should dethrone the Dodgers this season-yes I said that.

In my opinion-y'all should get out of the Cardinals

[atthehalf]

Back in the saddle again and as prescribed by OUR sharps-the Red Sox are blasting the Astronauts. The Red Sox are too hot to make a move against right now-so the books will be taking a hit on that one

[atthehalf]

Kind of hard to make moves that I normally disagree with but here we are...anyway headed to the outlets in Wesley Chapel-time to do some school shopping with the family

[atthehalf]

Some of these had my hands shaking when I made the moves-ordinarily also I would have gone UNDER for the Pale Hose/Halos but we will see

[atthehalf]

Personally I have a hard time making a move that costs-175 and also going against the Fathers and Red Sox because they are hot as fish grease right now...but this is what they want to happen so...the sharp bettors in my group are on the Red Sox! Yikes

[atthehalf]

HARD ROCK BACKED

Astronauts-125 Valdez
Snakes-110 Rodriguez
Guardians-175 Cantillo
Cardinals+155 Pallante
Wanderers/Sailors UNDER 7.5
Wanderers-145 deGrom
Pale Hose/Halos OVER 9.5 Burke/Kochanowicz
Bombers/Fish UNDER 8 Gil/Cabrera
Orioles/Cubs UNDER 8 Young/Rea

[atthehalf]

Welp-I gotta get out of here for a few hours and hit some grounders to my son-TTYL! Enjoy

[atthehalf]

Hard Rock backed

Rox+2.5 -110

Again-never in a million years would I have even thought to make this move

[atthehalf]

Hard Rock backed

Pale Hose+130 Civale

Never in a million years would I have made this move-but here it is

[atthehalf]

Hard Rock backed

Royals+120 Cameron (Yikes! My stomach started bubbling when I made this move LOL)

[atthehalf]

Hard Rock backed

Snakes+108 Gallen
Snakes-1.5 +140 RRL

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Hard Rock backed

Cardinals/Fathers UNDER 8.5 McGreevy/Vasquez

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Hard Rock backed

Fish-110 ML Perez

[atthehalf]

Hard Rock backed

Astronauts/Red Sox UNDER 9.5

[atthehalf]

Hard Rock backed

Twinkies+134 Ober

[atthehalf]

Hard Rock backed

Giants+1.5 -125 RL

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Hard Rock backed

Blunts-118 Wheeler

[atthehalf]

Our runner is saying that the flow should start going soon-so stay locked in

[atthehalf]

Hard Rock backed

Twinkies/Guardians UNDER 7 Ober/Bibee (STRONG VALUE)

[atthehalf]

So far just one coming down the pike from Hard Rock

Orioles/Cubs UNDER 7.5 (STRONG VALUE)

[atthehalf]

That's it again for now-if Hard Rock comes with more of their rooting interests I will report if received

[atthehalf]

Alright more HARD ROCK backed

Fish+1.5 -125 RL
Pale Hose/Halos OVER 9 or 9.5
Royals/Jays UNDER 7.5

[atthehalf]

I made some moves on my own-but I won't be reporting those. I will be getting them monitored tho-so anyone wanting those would have to follow along on my Action Network page

[atthehalf]

HARD ROCK BACKED

I missed the Red Leggins-145 while out and about! You already have Cubs and under and Astronauts RL-here's the rest

Giants/Metropolitans UNDER 7.5
Brews/Nats UNDER 8.5
Bombers/Fish UNDER 7.5
Twinkies/Guardians UNDER 6.5 or 7 depending on your book
Snakes-1.5 +160 RRL
Snakes+112 ML
Astronauts-130 ML

There's some SGP for Snakes ML and RRL 2 WAY

BIG BETTORS

Wanderers+1.5 -135 RL Leiter

That's all for now y'all. If there's more I will report them

[atthehalf]

The value is gone somewhat-the Cubs were -124 at one point and are now -150 but they are standing firm on them with the ML and RL and UNDER; Now they are picking up some Astronauts ML too (Brown).

[atthehalf]

Ok following up their 3-0 yesterday with these for the EARLY GAME Between Orioles/Cubs

Cubs-1.5 +130 RL (47.4% STRONG VALUE)
Orioles/Cubs UNDER 7.5 (38.7% STRONG VALUE)

ALSO

Astronauts-1.5 +105 (46.5%STRONG VALUE)

They are progressively 2 WAYING THER RL'S FOR ADDED POP

Cubs-1.5 +130/Astronauts-1.5 +105

[atthehalf]

Welp-Hard Rock backed are about to go 3-0 today-since I am offering their stuff I am going to mind my own business and simply give out their offerings from here on out with no cut on them LOL!

Our runner is going to make rounds later on tomorrow than usual so I won't have the information readily available early in the day-so tune in by the evening say about an hour before the games begin. If they have an opinion on the early game between Orioles and Cubs then I will publish their wishes.

July was my first losing month of the season...what a piss off

[atthehalf]

Ok so support has been pulled for the Braves/Red Leggins in what is being called a big money blast to get the line up to 9.5 before the sharps came back and blasted the UNDER priced at 9.5 so feel free to go UNDER 9 now with alacrity

[atthehalf]

Ok. I stand corrected. The sharps have spoken LOL!

[atthehalf]

I couldn't do it. I had to bet out of Bombers.

[atthehalf]

Here's my moves

Wanderers/Sailors UNDER 7.5 Rocker/Kirby 2 UNITS
Wanderers+135 Rocker 2 UNITS
Bombers-115 Stroman 2 UNITS (I TRIED IT-THEY MUST KNOW SOMEHTING THAT I DON'T-MY STOMACH HURT WHEN I GAVE HIM MY STAKE)
Braves/Red Leggins OVER 9.5 Carrasco/Abbott 2 UNITS (I MEAN IT IS CARLOS CARRASCO-DOES HE EVEN THROW 90 MPH ANYMORE?)

[atthehalf]

Also me personally I like the Wanderers this evening vs the Sailors-too many moving parts and secondly they are off of a 7 game road trip with no rest

[atthehalf]

Also I feel that the Metropolitans gave up too much in prospects for Helsley-the thing about New York is some guys get New Yorkitis and can't perform day in and day out under that much scrutiny. The Cardinals got IF Jesus Baez, RHP Nate Dohm, RHP Frank Elissalt all of which are GOLD. Then to get Tyler Rogers they gave up OF Drew Gilbert, RHP Jose Butto, RHP Blade Tidwell-all GOLD! Drew Gilbert can play any outfield position!

For Greg Soto they gave up RHP Wellington Aracena, RHP Cameron Foster. Again the Orioles won too! This was absurd to give a treasure trove of prospects and they would get beat in a short playoff series by a hot wildcard team like the Fish...

The Metropolitans gave up too much in my opinion...

[atthehalf]

Obviously the late Eugenio Suarez deal will get some headlines with his return to the Sailors, but the deal I low-key loved from Wednesday was the Cubs acquiring Mike Soroka. Among pitchers with at least 80 IP, he's in the top 25 in K%, but has been hurt by a 68.4% LOB% that should be on the rise. His expected ERA (xERA) is over 1.5 runs lower than his actual ERA. The Cubs are one of the league's best defensive teams and the Nationals are one of the worst, so a team strapped for starting pitching help picked up a good one with a lot of positive signs moving forward.