**** MLB Totals ** 478-343 + 83 units Last Year ****

[doubledime]

I had some time so I thought I would share my reasons for the Tampa Bay xFIP Play

Tampa Bay
xERA STD: 3.15 Last 3: 4.02
FIP STD: 3.69 Last 3: 4.62
xFIP STD: 4.00 Last 3: 4.84

NYY
xERA STD: 3.46 Last 3: 3.94
FIP STD: 4.12 Last 3: 4.22
xFIP STD: 4.57 Last 3: 5.23

You can see TB has better numbers in all those STD categories yet are a +140 dog for the first five innings.

dd

[doubledime]

I had some time so I thought I would share my reasons for the Tampa Bay xFIP Play

Tampa Bay
xERA STD: 3.15 Last 3: 4.02
FIP STD: 3.69 Last 3: 4.62
xFIP STD: 4.00 Last 3: 4.84

NYY
xERA STD: 3.46 Last 3: 3.94
FIP STD: 4.12 Last 3: 4.22
xFIP STD: 4.57 Last 3: 5.23

You can see TB has better numbers in all those STD categories yet are a +140 dog for the first five innings.

dd

"I love when a plan comes together" Okay, who remembers what show that quote came from, many many years ago?

[Mike Huntertz]

A Team, eh!

[doubledime]

A Team, eh!

Yes Sir Mike!!

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 2-0
YTD: 105-82

Regular Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10

VMI:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 28-17 +12.70

xFIP first 5 innings totals:

Yesterday: 0-1
YTD: 58-49

xFIP first 5 innings sides:

Yesterday: 2-1
YTD: 70-52 +26.35

Second Half Plays: (tracking)

Yesterday: 1-0
YTD: 21-14

[DU46]

DD - w/o going back through the thread, any idea what the reliever plays record is since you made the official switch to them being 2H plays instead of full game?

[doubledime]

DD - w/o going back through the thread, any idea what the reliever plays record is since you made the official switch to them being 2H plays instead of full game?

I gave it a quick look and I think we are 11-5 since going with the second half. Feel free to check/correct me since I had to go back and look myself in a bit of rush.

[Laker_crazy]

Doing well DD, glad to see that brother. All the best on the coming week to you too

[DU46]

Thanks DD!

[doubledime]

Doing well DD, glad to see that brother. All the best on the coming week to you too

Thanks LC Here's to a strong finish for both of us.

[SAX27]

DD, your work & willingness to share is appreciated!

[doubledime]

Good morning,

The Reliever Play for Monday:

Clev/Bost over 4 second half

VMI Plays:

KC
Seat

xFIP first five inning sides:

Wash
KC
Clev
Seat
Oak
NYY would have been but the juice, even at -.5 is too high = NO PLAY

Second Half Play: (tracking)

SF/Oak over 3.5

Good luck

[reesp18]

Get it today! GL DD

[doubledime]

Below are the xFIP stats on the Wash/FL game

xERA = Expected ERA
FIP = Fielding Independent Pitching
xFIP = Expected Fielding Independent Pitching


Wash
xERA STD: 3.23 Last 3: 3.22
FIP STD: 4.06 Last 3: 3.68
xFIP STD: 4.00 Last 3: 4.48

Marlins
xERA STD: 3.98 Last 4: 4.37
FIP STD: 5.35 Last 4: 6.94
xFIP STD: 5.26 Last 4: 5.77

You can see where Washington is significantly better in STD and Last 3/4 games and I feel justifies the -135 price.

Good luck
DD

[doubledime]

Get it today! GL DD

Thanks reesp. You're having a great year!!

[doubledime]

DD, your work & willingness to share is appreciated!

Thanks Sax

[csavoia]

I am new to this. How do I go about betting your picks. I don't understand the betting setup. Sorry for being a bit confused.
Any help would be appreciated

[Notorious_Donk]

Mr. Consistent! Keep rolling DD!!

[doubledime]

Mr. Consistent! Keep rolling DD!!

Thanks Donk Congrats to you and keep up the solid plays.

[Laker_crazy]

Thanks LC Here's to a strong finish for both of us.

[Mackballs]

I am new to this. How do I go about betting your picks. I don't understand the betting setup. Sorry for being a bit confused.
Any help would be appreciated

I will save DD some time and try to help with this one.

DD bets several different things for baseball all based off different systems which are built from top secret information that we all wish we could get a hold of. Luckily for us DD shares with us the the picks that these systems produce.

Do you have access to full game MLB lines, first five inning MLB lines, and second four innings MLB lines? If so, then you are in a great position to take his picks. First I would check your book to see if all those options are available

[doubledime]

I will save DD some time and try to help with this one.

DD bets several different things for baseball all based off different systems which are built from top secret information that we all wish we could get a hold of. Luckily for us DD shares with us the the picks that these systems produce.

Do you have access to full game MLB lines, first five inning MLB lines, and second four innings MLB lines? If so, then you are in a great position to take his picks. First I would check your book to see if all those options are available

Thanks MB. I was actually laughing out loud when I read this, really!

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 0-1
YTD: 105-83

Regular Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10

VMI:

Yesterday: 1-1
YTD: 29-18 +12.65

xFIP first 5 innings totals:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 58-49

xFIP first 5 innings sides:

Yesterday: 1-3-1
YTD: 71-55 +24.15

Second Half Plays: (tracking)

Yesterday: 1-0
YTD: 22-14

[doubledime]

Good morning,

The Reliever Play for Tuesday:

TB/Hou over 3.5 second half

No VMI

xFIP first 5 inning sides:

Pit -.5 runs
AZ Nice Dog (if it wins)
Det Even Bigger Dog
Bost -.5
TB
Philly

No xFIP first 5 inning totals

Second Half Plays (tracking)

KC/Balt over 4

Good luck

[doubledime]

Good afternoon,

Some stats on why Detroit is an xFIP play:

Detroit
xERA STD: 3.10 Last 2: 4.28 Last 5: 2.93
FIP STD: 2.81 Last 2: 2.89 Last 5: 2.20
xFIP STD: 4.03 Last 2: 4.51 Last 5: 3.74


NYY
xERA STD: 3.39 Last 3: 3.50 Last 4: 4.15
FIP STD: 4.30 Last 3: 4.58 Last 4: 4.77
xFIP STD: 4.04 Last 3: 4.06 Last 4: 4.74

Detroit is +160 and is better in most of the stats so we think there is value there.

Good luck

DD

[doubledime]

Good afternoon,

Just about every day I try to find reasons not to post so many plays. I never have been a big fan of playing too many games. However, it never fails that many times the games I don't post win and I kick myself at the end of the day for not posting them. Today there are 4 xFIP sides and 2 xFIP totals I did not post because I found reason to lay off them. They would qualify on strictly a xFIP basis, but for other reasons I decided not to post them. I have some time today so I will post them for those who handicap their own plays and maybe find the information helpful in their decision. THESE ARE NOT OFFICIAL PLAYS!!!

xFIP first 5 inning sides:

Mets
Tor -.5
SF
SD

xFIP totals

KC/Bos over 5.5
Clev/Bost under 4

DD

[k310]

KC/Bos over 5.5
Clev/Bost under 4

KC/Bal correct?

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 0-1
YTD: 105-84

Regular Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10

VMI:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 29-18 +12.65

xFIP first 5 innings totals:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 58-49

xFIP first 5 innings sides:

Yesterday: 2-4
YTD: 73-59 +21.30

Second Half Plays: (tracking)

Yesterday: 0-1
YTD: 22-15

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Well, of course the the six plays I did not post as "official" plays, but discussed in later post, went 4-1-1. This business can be so frustrating at times.

DD

[hockey129]

DD do you do other sports as well? If so can we look forward to those posted picks? Thanks as always for the what You do

[doubledime]

Good morning,

The Reliever Play of Wednesday:

Wash/Mia over 3.5 runs second half

xFIP first five inning sides:

Pit -.5 runs
Mia
Col-.5 runs
KC
Note: AZ qualifies but the Cubs have been red HOT since the break so this is one of the few times I am going to allow that to alter my play, so NO play. Also NYY and Tor both qualify @ -.5 runs but the juice is -155 and -150 and I normally do not like to anything over -140 so they are no plays.

No xFIP first five inning totals:

Second Half Plays: (tracking)

Det/NYY under 3.5
Clev/Bost over 4

Good luck

No VMI

[doubledime]

DD do you do other sports as well? If so can we look forward to those posted picks? Thanks as always for the what You do

Thanks, hockey. Yes I do college hoops and college football.

[juicername]

Thanks, hockey. Yes I do college hoops and college football.

Oh I hope this hasn't been asked already, but why do you not do pro basketball and football?

[hockey129]

Sweet can't wait

[doubledime]

Points Awarded:

hockey129 gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

Thanks Hockey