**** MLB Totals ** 478-343 + 83 units Last Year ****

[thekoreanmang]

Good morning,

Well, of course the the six plays I did not post as "official" plays, but discussed in later post, went 4-1-1. This business can be so frustrating at times.

DD

Dude, just let it rip. If we've learned anything from your thread so far it's that the simpler the system, the better the results. Leave it up to the individual to decide what to do with an increased volume.

[slamuels2021]

Dude, just let it rip. If we've learned anything from your thread so far it's that the simpler the system, the better the results. Leave it up to the individual to decide what to do with an increased volume.

Perfectly said. Let her rip!

keep up the great work DD!

[doubledime]

Oh I hope this hasn't been asked already, but why do you not do pro basketball and football?

For several reasons, I'll list a few which I am sure some will disagree with:

First and foremost, there is a reason many sports books, Vegas and Offshore, allow higher limits on the NFL and NBA games than on college. The reason, because good handicappers find it easier to beat college sports. One main reason is that there are more games and, for example, on some days there are 30+ college basketball games and since there are many games almost every night There is no way that every single line of every single game is where it should be, thus a sharp handicapper can find value. On the other hand, the NFL ines are up for week, and by game time they have been "massaged" to where they should be.

Another reason is personal. I don't like the NBA. I feel after the Jordan days the NBA has spiraled downhill. That's just my opinion.

Thirdly, the coaches in college hoops have a bigger influence on the players than the coaches in the NBA, and I think that's a handicapping edge. NBA Players are playing for their contracts and playing "not to get hurt". Whereas in college is generally played with more intensity.

I know there are some great NBA and NFL handicappers but I choose to stay out of that world. Of course I have handicapped the NFL and NBA in the past, but no longer. DD

[doubledime]

Dude, just let it rip. If we've learned anything from your thread so far it's that the simpler the system, the better the results. Leave it up to the individual to decide what to do with an increased volume.

I think that is a very good observation. I will list the qualifying plays (as I did yesterday and today) even if they are not ones that go toward the record.

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 0-1
YTD: 105-85

Regular Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10

VMI:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 29-18 +12.65

xFIP first 5 innings totals:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 58-49

xFIP first 5 innings sides:

Yesterday: 2-2
YTD: 75-61 +21.15

Second Half Plays: (tracking)

Yesterday: 1-0-PP
YTD: 23-15

[doubledime]

Points Awarded:

thekoreanmang gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

Thanks kman always appreciated

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Short card today

Only xFIP first five inning sides:

St. Louis
Col -.5 runs
Pit -.5 runs

That's it

Good luck

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 105-85

Regular Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10

VMI:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 29-18 +12.65

xFIP first 5 innings totals:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 58-49

xFIP first 5 innings sides:

Yesterday: 2-1
YTD: 77-62 +21.80

Second Half Plays: (tracking)

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 23-15

[doubledime]

hockey129 gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

Thank you hockey

[doubledime]

Good morning,

No Reliever Plays

No VMI

xFIP first 5 inning sides:

St. Louis
Tor (nice dog if it covers)
Seat -.5 runs

xFIP first 5 inning totals:

NYY/Clev under 5
Toro/Hou under 5

Second Half Totals (still tracking)

Wash/Cubs over 3.5
St. L/Cinci over 3.5
LAD/Mets over 3.5
Det/Balt over 3.5
WS/Bost over 3.5
TX/Min over 4

Good luck

[doubledime]

Good afternoon,

FYI I'm about 2 miles from Wrigley and the wind is blowing out to right at 18mph and I guarantee it's gusting even higher. This does not guarantee an over but anything hit in the air is sure going to get a boost, IMHO

DD

[doubledime]

Good afternoon,

FYI I'm about 2 miles from Wrigley and the wind is blowing out to right at 18mph and I guarantee it's gusting even higher. This does not guarantee an over but anything hit in the air is sure going to get a boost, IMHO

DD

As I mentioned, an 18 MPH wind is no guarantee of an over, but at least the second half over tracking play won.

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 105-85

Regular Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10

VMI:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 29-18 +12.65

xFIP first 5 innings totals:

Yesterday: 0-2
YTD: 58-51

xFIP first 5 innings sides:

Yesterday: 0-3
YTD: 77-65 +18.40

Second Half Plays: (tracking)

Yesterday: 2-4
YTD: 25-19

[hockey129]

DD, my local took away first 5 innings sides and totals. So I'm forced to only play your VMI. I know you moved reliever play to second half lines (also not available) but are you still using same criteria on those as before? If so I'm thinking I can just play the overs on the game total. Thanks

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Let's get on the right track after yesterday.

The Reliever Plays for Saturday:

SD/Pit over 3 second half
Oak/LAA over 3.5 second half

VMI:

LAD -1.5 runs

xFIP first 5 inning sides:

LAD -.5 runs
AZ
Hou
Clev -.5 runs

That's it

Good luck

[Click_Clack]

Maaaannnnn, Double D I hate to say this but you have gotten way to difficult to follow.....your picks and plays are all over the place. I've understood and understand trying to find the edge of help people like myself to pick winners but I personally want the original Double dime back. You had a great system going on and with the high expectations you had coming into this MLB season, thru ups and downs....you didn't trust your own process and seems as your reaching with all these other plays a lot of us can't even play with our local bookie. Again i want to old double d back. Let me know if he's still around. Ps I still appreciate your time and effort

[doubledime]

Maaaannnnn, Double D I hate to say this but you have gotten way to difficult to follow.....your picks and plays are all over the place. I've understood and understand trying to find the edge of help people like myself to pick winners but I personally want the original Double dime back. You had a great system going on and with the high expectations you had coming into this MLB season, thru ups and downs....you didn't trust your own process and seems as your reaching with all these other plays a lot of us can't even play with our local bookie. Again i want to old double d back. Let me know if he's still around. Ps I still appreciate your time and effort

That is certainly not my intention Click. Throughout the thread I think I have tried to explained some of the additions. For example, before the break I explained, and started posting, for tracking purposes only, the VMI plays and the xFIP plays. They showed good results, so after the All Star break I started posting them as plays. The only other change I made is making the Reliever Plays second half plays, simply because that's really what they're based on, the second half of the game. Playing them the second half eliminates getting beat by the starters pitching a great first five innings.

If you want to go back to my original Reliever Plays, just play the entire game rather than the second half, even though I feel the value is splitting up the game into two parts. So today, play SD/Pit over 8 and Oak/LAA over 9 and you know have the the "old DD back" (How did you know I was old?

DD

[doubledime]

Points Awarded:

thekoreanmang gave doubledime 1 SBR Point(s) for this post. hockey129 gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

Thanks Kman and hockey

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 105-85

Regular Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10

VMI:

Yesterday: 1-0
YTD: 30-18 +13.65

xFIP first 5 innings totals:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 58-51

xFIP first 5 innings sides:

Yesterday: 2-2
YTD: 79-67 +17.90

Second Half Plays: (tracking)

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 25-19

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Very simple today, just xFIP first 5 inning sides. No other plays qualify.

xFIP first five inning sides:

St. Louis
Philly
Det
Tor
Min -.5 runs
KC -.5 runs (game #1)

Good luck

[doubledime]

Note: I corrected the KC game to be - .5 runs

[doubledime]

Here are some reasons for two of the xFIP Plays

Cards
xERA STD: 3.28 Last 1: 2.51 Last 5: 2.60
FIP STD: 3.90 Last 1: 2.42 Last 5: 3.08
xFIP STD: 3.77 Last 1: 3.08 Last 5: 3.04
Reds
xERA STD: 4.48 Last 3: 4.37 Last 7: 4.28
FIP STD: 5.47 Last 3: 3.71 Last 7: 5.44
xFIP STD: 4.96 Last 3: 4.97 Last 7: 4.90



Det
xERA STD: 3.20 Last 3: 4.07 Last 5: 3.32
FIP STD: 3.21 Last 3: 3.83 Last 5: 2.85
xFIP STD: 4.21 Last 3: 4.75 Last 5: 4.17
Balt
xERA STD: 4.12 Last 3: 2.86 Last 7: 3.22
FIP STD: 6.31 Last 3: 3.97 Last 7: 4.61
xFIP STD: 4.96 Last 3: 3.36 Last 7: 3.91

You can see the Cards are stronger in all categories, and Det in most, yet Det is a nice dog.

DD

[reesp18]

Good luck today DD!

[doubledime]

Good luck today DD!

Thanks reesp. You are having a hell of a week. Keep it up and BOL today.

[reesp18]

Let's get it today $$$

Thanks reesp. You are having a hell of a week. Keep it up and BOL today.

[Mackballs]

Toronto absolutely brutal.

[doubledime]

Toronto absolutely brutal.

Ahead by 2 going to the bottom of the 5th and Houston scores 3 runs in the bottom of the 5th...... yes, brutal!

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 105-85

Regular Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10

VMI:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 30-18 +13.65

xFIP first 5 innings totals:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 58-51

xFIP first 5 innings sides:

Yesterday: 2-3-1
YTD: 81-70 +16.80

Second Half Plays: (tracking)

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 25-19

[doubledime]

Good morning,

The Reliever Plays for Monday: (All second half)

SD/Cinci over 3.5
Balt/LAA over 3.5


xFIP first 5 inning sides:

SD
Mil
St. Louis

Second half total: (tracking)

Mil/Min over 3.5

That's it

Good luck

[doubledime]

Note: Mil/Min is a second half total (tracking) NOT a Reliever Play. It's still the same play, just a different system.

Sorry about that

[doubledime]

Here is some xFIP reasons for the San Diego play:

SD

xERA STD: 3.20 Last 3: 3.38
FIP STD: 4.10 Last 3: 2.88
xFIP STD: 3.89 Last 3: 4.12

Cinci

xERA STD: 3.94 Last 2: 5.82
FIP STD: 5.81 Last 2: 6.59
xFIP STD: 4.92 Last 2: 6.52

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 2-0
YTD: 107-85

Regular Plays:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10

VMI:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 30-18 +13.65

xFIP first 5 innings totals:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 58-51

xFIP first 5 innings sides:

Yesterday: 2-1
YTD: 83-71 +17.80

Second Half Plays: (tracking)

Yesterday: 0-1
YTD: 25-20

[doubledime]

Points Awarded:

hockey129 gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

Thanks hockey

[doubledime]

Good morning,

No Releiver Plays, xFIP totals or second half plays.

xFIP first 5 inning sides: (all dogs today)

Mia
SD
AZ
TX

VMI:

Atl
Clev -1.5

Good luck

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Why Miami is a xFIP Play:

You will notice Miami is significantly better in all the categories, yet they are a +125 dog. I feel there is value here. We shall see.

Miami

xERA STD: 3.64 Last 2: 2.58 Last 2: 2.58 Last 5: 3.54 Last 28: 3.66
FIP STD: 4.59 Last 2: 4.11 Last 2: 4.11 Last 5: 4.32 Last 28: 3.95
xFIP STD: 4.74 Last 2: 3.62 Last 2: 3.62 Last 5: 4.72 Last 28: 4.50

Washington

xERA STD: 5.41 Last 1: 5.14 Last 1: 5.14 Last 1: 5.14 Last 11: 3.9
FIP STD: 6.47 Last 1: 8.80 Last 1: 8.80 Last 1: 8.80 Last 11: 4.99
xFIP STD: 6.18 Last 1: 6.13 Last 1: 6.13 Last 1: 6.13 Last 11: 4.78