**** MLB Totals ** 478-343 + 83 units Last Year ****

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  • thekoreanmang
    SBR MVP
    • 03-17-14
    • 1422

    #1261
    Variance coming back our way! Good job, as always, doubledime!
    Comment
    • doubledime
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-22-09
      • 9751

      #1262
      Points Awarded:
      thekoreanmang gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

      Thanks kman
      Comment
      • doubledime
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 04-22-09
        • 9751

        #1263
        Good morning,

        The Reliever Plays for Saturday: (All Second Half)

        St. Louis/Pit over 3.5

        Note: NYY/Bost over 3.5 would have been a play based solely on the amount of pitches the bullpens have pitched the last 1 day and 3 days, but their combined bullpen home/away ERA is only 5.73 which is very very low, so NO PLAY.

        VMI:

        Reds

        Note: Once again today we have a situation where we have two conflicting systems, VMI and xFIP. Colorado is a xFIP play and Milwaukee is a VMI play. Therefore NO PLAY.

        xFIP first 5 inning plays:

        St. Louis
        Oak
        AZ


        Note: Generally we do not play parlays, however since the juice is too high, even at minus .5 runs, on two addtional plays, we are going to post our first parlay of the year as an xFIP first 5 inning play:

        Parlay: Bost -.5 and Cubs -.5 (1 unit pays 1.64) (If you played the ML on both of these, 1 unit would win almost one unit)

        Second Half Play:

        Reds/Atl over 4

        Good luck
        Last edited by doubledime; 08-19-17, 11:50 AM.
        Comment
        • doubledime
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-22-09
          • 9751

          #1264
          Originally posted by thekoreanmang
          Variance coming back our way! Good job, as always, doubledime!
          Comment
          • doubledime
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-22-09
            • 9751

            #1265
            Good morning,

            Reliever Plays:

            Yesterday: 1-0
            YTD: 114-93

            Regular Plays:

            Yesterday: 0
            YTD: 1-10

            VMI:

            Yesterday: 1-0
            YTD: 34-23 +12.55

            xFIP first 5 innings totals:

            Yesterday: 0
            YTD: 61-53

            xFIP first 5 innings sides:

            Yesterday: 0-4
            YTD: 99-91 +13.85

            Second Half Plays: (tracking)

            Yesterday: 1-0
            YTD: 33-26
            Comment
            • doubledime
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-22-09
              • 9751

              #1266
              Good morning

              No Reliever Plays

              VMI Play:

              Milwaukee

              xFIP first five inning side plays:

              Milw
              Clev -.5 runs


              That's it

              Good luck
              Comment
              • doubledime
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-22-09
                • 9751

                #1267
                Good morning,

                Reliever Plays:

                Yesterday: 0
                YTD: 114-93

                Regular Plays:

                Yesterday: 0
                YTD: 1-10

                VMI:

                Yesterday: 1-0
                YTD: 35-23 +13.60

                xFIP first 5 innings totals:

                Yesterday: 0
                YTD: 61-53

                xFIP first 5 innings sides:

                Yesterday: 1-1
                YTD: 100-92 +13.85

                Second Half Plays: (tracking)

                Yesterday: 0
                YTD: 33-26
                Comment
                • doubledime
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-22-09
                  • 9751

                  #1268
                  Points Awarded:
                  hockey129 gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

                  Thank you hockey
                  Comment
                  • doubledime
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-22-09
                    • 9751

                    #1269
                    Good afternoon,

                    VMI Play:

                    Seattle

                    xFIP Plays first five inning plays:

                    AZ
                    Balt


                    That's it

                    Good luck
                    Comment
                    • doubledime
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-22-09
                      • 9751

                      #1270
                      Good morning,

                      Reliever Plays:

                      Yesterday: 0
                      YTD: 114-93

                      Regular Plays:

                      Yesterday: 0
                      YTD: 1-10

                      VMI:

                      Yesterday: 1-0
                      YTD: 36-23 +14.60

                      xFIP first 5 innings totals:

                      Yesterday: 0
                      YTD: 61-53

                      xFIP first 5 innings sides:

                      Yesterday: 2-0
                      YTD: 102-92 +15.85

                      Second Half Plays: (tracking)

                      Yesterday: 0
                      YTD: 33-26
                      Comment
                      • doubledime
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-22-09
                        • 9751

                        #1271
                        Good morning,

                        When I looked at my xFIP side post from yesterday, I noticed that I posted Balt but forgot to post it at -.5 runs. It did not matter either way, but I just thought I would mention it since I never like playing that big of a favorite.

                        DD
                        Comment
                        • doubledime
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-22-09
                          • 9751

                          #1272
                          Good morning,

                          The Reliever Plays for Tuesday: (second half)

                          LAD/Pit over 3.5
                          Min/WS over 4


                          The xFIP first half sides:

                          SD
                          NYY -.5
                          Min
                          Hou -.5


                          xFIP first half total:

                          Mil/SF under 4

                          VMI:

                          SF
                          Seattle


                          Second Half Totals: (Still just tracking)

                          LAD/Pit over 3.5
                          Oak/Balt over 4
                          Min/WS over 4


                          Good luck
                          Last edited by doubledime; 08-22-17, 11:40 AM.
                          Comment
                          • doubledime
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-22-09
                            • 9751

                            #1273
                            FYI:

                            On My previous post I posted xFIP second half total and second half sides. That was supposed to read as always, "first half" sides and totals. xFIP is always First Half Plays. I corrected the post.

                            DD
                            Comment
                            • doubledime
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-22-09
                              • 9751

                              #1274
                              Good morning,

                              Reliever Plays:

                              Yesterday: 0-2
                              YTD: 114-95

                              Regular Plays:

                              Yesterday: 0
                              YTD: 1-10

                              VMI:

                              Yesterday: 0-2
                              YTD: 36-25 +16.75

                              xFIP first 5 innings totals:

                              Yesterday: 0-1
                              YTD: 61-54

                              xFIP first 5 innings sides:

                              Yesterday: 3-1
                              YTD: 105-93 +18.40

                              Second Half Plays: (tracking)

                              Yesterday: 1-2
                              YTD: 34-28
                              Comment
                              • doubledime
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-22-09
                                • 9751

                                #1275
                                Good morning,

                                One afternoon game and then we will be back later with the rest of the card.

                                VMI:

                                SF

                                Good luck
                                Comment
                                • doubledime
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 04-22-09
                                  • 9751

                                  #1276
                                  Points Awarded:
                                  hockey129 gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

                                  Thank you hockey
                                  Comment
                                  • doubledime
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-22-09
                                    • 9751

                                    #1277
                                    Good afternoon,

                                    As it turns out we have another afternoon game. Starts in 30 minute from the time of this post.

                                    The Reliever Plays:

                                    Oak/Balt over 4 second half


                                    Good luck
                                    Comment
                                    • doubledime
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-22-09
                                      • 9751

                                      #1278
                                      I apologize for not posting the Oak/Balt game earlier but I just missed that it was an afternoon game.
                                      Comment
                                      • doubledime
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-22-09
                                        • 9751

                                        #1279
                                        Good afternoon,

                                        Here is the rest of Wednesday's card:

                                        Reliever Play:

                                        TX/LAA over 3.5 second half

                                        VMI:

                                        KC

                                        xFIP first half sides:

                                        All sides were too high juice so we are going with our two best for a 2 team ML par:

                                        St. Louis ML and NYY ML (1 unit pays 1.2 units)

                                        Good luck
                                        Comment
                                        • hockey129
                                          SBR Hustler
                                          • 06-24-17
                                          • 87

                                          #1280
                                          Very nice work last night DD!
                                          Comment
                                          • doubledime
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-22-09
                                            • 9751

                                            #1281
                                            Originally posted by hockey129
                                            Very nice work last night DD!
                                            Thanks hockey
                                            Comment
                                            • doubledime
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-22-09
                                              • 9751

                                              #1282
                                              Good morning,

                                              Reliever Plays:

                                              Yesterday: 2-0
                                              YTD: 116-95

                                              Regular Plays:

                                              Yesterday: 0
                                              YTD: 1-10

                                              VMI:

                                              Yesterday: 2-0
                                              YTD: 38-25 +18.75

                                              xFIP first 5 innings totals:

                                              Yesterday: 0
                                              YTD: 61-54

                                              xFIP first 5 innings sides:

                                              Yesterday: 1-0
                                              YTD: 106-93 +19.60

                                              Second Half Plays: (tracking)

                                              Yesterday: 0
                                              YTD: 34-28
                                              Last edited by doubledime; 08-24-17, 09:47 AM.
                                              Comment
                                              • doubledime
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-22-09
                                                • 9751

                                                #1283
                                                Good morning,

                                                The Reliever Play for Thursday:

                                                TX/LAA over 3.5 second half (going to "well" one more time)

                                                No VMI

                                                xFIP first half side:

                                                TB -.5

                                                Second half plays: (still tracking)

                                                LAD/Pit under 3.5
                                                Tor/TB over 3.5


                                                Good luck
                                                Comment
                                                • doubledime
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-22-09
                                                  • 9751

                                                  #1284
                                                  Good morning,

                                                  I have been looking at second half sides based on the bullpens. I am not playing these and it is very early in my research, so I don't recommend playing these, but let's all watch together.

                                                  Second Half Sides:

                                                  Philly
                                                  NYY
                                                  Clev


                                                  DD
                                                  Comment
                                                  • doubledime
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-22-09
                                                    • 9751

                                                    #1285
                                                    Good morning,

                                                    Reliever Plays:

                                                    Yesterday: 0-1
                                                    YTD: 116-96

                                                    Regular Plays:

                                                    Yesterday: 0
                                                    YTD: 1-10

                                                    VMI:

                                                    Yesterday: 0
                                                    YTD: 38-25 +18.75

                                                    xFIP first 5 innings totals:

                                                    Yesterday: 0
                                                    YTD: 61-54

                                                    xFIP first 5 innings sides:

                                                    Yesterday: 1-0
                                                    YTD: 107-93 +20.60

                                                    Second Half Plays: (tracking)

                                                    Yesterday: 0-2
                                                    YTD: 34-30
                                                    Comment
                                                    • doubledime
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-22-09
                                                      • 9751

                                                      #1286
                                                      Good morning,

                                                      xFIP First five inning sides:

                                                      Pit

                                                      Parlay: AZ ML and St. Louis ML (1 unit pays about 1.3 units)

                                                      That's it for today

                                                      Good luck
                                                      Comment
                                                      • doubledime
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-22-09
                                                        • 9751

                                                        #1287
                                                        Originally posted by doubledime
                                                        Good morning,

                                                        I have been looking at second half sides based on the bullpens. I am not playing these and it is very early in my research, so I don't recommend playing these, but let's all watch together.

                                                        Second Half Sides:

                                                        Philly
                                                        NYY
                                                        Clev


                                                        DD
                                                        These go 1-2 yesterday -1.45 units

                                                        I will keep posting these in a separate post (same thread) from my regular plays since they we are just tracking these and not playing them.

                                                        We'll call them Second Half Sides

                                                        Second Half Sides for Friday:

                                                        Reds

                                                        DD
                                                        Comment
                                                        • doubledime
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 04-22-09
                                                          • 9751

                                                          #1288
                                                          Good morning,

                                                          Reliever Plays:

                                                          Yesterday: 0
                                                          YTD: 116-96

                                                          Regular Plays:

                                                          Yesterday: 0
                                                          YTD: 1-10

                                                          VMI:

                                                          Yesterday: 0
                                                          YTD: 38-25 +18.75

                                                          xFIP first 5 innings totals:

                                                          Yesterday: 0
                                                          YTD: 61-54

                                                          xFIP first 5 innings sides:

                                                          Yesterday: 0-2
                                                          YTD: 107-95 +18.40

                                                          Second Half Plays: (tracking)

                                                          Yesterday: 0
                                                          YTD: 34-30
                                                          Comment
                                                          • doubledime
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 04-22-09
                                                            • 9751

                                                            #1289
                                                            Good morning,

                                                            Just one play for the afternoon games:

                                                            xFIP first 5 inning side:

                                                            Parlay Wash ML and NYY ML (1 unit pays 1.1 unit)

                                                            Back later with tonight's card

                                                            Good luck
                                                            Comment
                                                            • doubledime
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 04-22-09
                                                              • 9751

                                                              #1290
                                                              Second half side tracking (see post #1283)

                                                              Min
                                                              Balt


                                                              Good luck
                                                              Comment
                                                              • doubledime
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-22-09
                                                                • 9751

                                                                #1291
                                                                Good afternoon,

                                                                Reliever Play for Saturday:

                                                                TB/Cards over 3.5 second half

                                                                xFIP First half sides:

                                                                SD
                                                                SF


                                                                Will post the SF reasons in my next another post.

                                                                Good luck
                                                                Last edited by doubledime; 08-26-17, 04:21 PM.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • doubledime
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 04-22-09
                                                                  • 9751

                                                                  #1292
                                                                  SF
                                                                  xERA STD: 2.84 Last 3: 2.83
                                                                  FIP STD: 3.25 Last 3: 3.83
                                                                  xFIP STD: 3.55 Last 3: 3.54

                                                                  AZ
                                                                  xERA STD: 3.58 Last 3: 4.67
                                                                  FIP STD: 4.06 Last 3: 5.94
                                                                  xFIP STD: 4.58 Last 3: 6.08
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • doubledime
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 04-22-09
                                                                    • 9751

                                                                    #1293
                                                                    Originally posted by doubledime
                                                                    Second half side tracking (see post #1283)

                                                                    Min
                                                                    Balt


                                                                    Good luck
                                                                    One more on the night card:

                                                                    LAD

                                                                    I will update tracking record later.

                                                                    Good luck
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • doubledime
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 04-22-09
                                                                      • 9751

                                                                      #1294
                                                                      Good morning,

                                                                      Reliever Plays:

                                                                      Yesterday: 1-0
                                                                      YTD: 117-96

                                                                      Regular Plays:

                                                                      Yesterday: 0
                                                                      YTD: 1-10

                                                                      VMI:

                                                                      Yesterday: 0
                                                                      YTD: 38-25 +18.75

                                                                      xFIP first 5 innings totals:

                                                                      Yesterday: 0
                                                                      YTD: 61-54

                                                                      xFIP first 5 innings sides:

                                                                      Yesterday: 1-1-1
                                                                      YTD: 108-96 +18.35

                                                                      Second Half Plays: (tracking)

                                                                      Yesterday: 0
                                                                      YTD: 34-30
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • doubledime
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 04-22-09
                                                                        • 9751

                                                                        #1295
                                                                        Second Half Sides tracking (see post #1283)

                                                                        Yesterday: 2-1
                                                                        YTD: 3-4
                                                                        Comment
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