Variance coming back our way! Good job, as always, doubledime!
**** MLB Totals ** 478-343 + 83 units Last Year ****
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thekoreanmangSBR MVP
- 03-17-14
- 1422
#1261Comment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1262Points Awarded:
thekoreanmang gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
Thanks kmanComment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1263Good morning,
The Reliever Plays for Saturday: (All Second Half)
St. Louis/Pit over 3.5
Note: NYY/Bost over 3.5 would have been a play based solely on the amount of pitches the bullpens have pitched the last 1 day and 3 days, but their combined bullpen home/away ERA is only 5.73 which is very very low, so NO PLAY.
VMI:
Reds
Note: Once again today we have a situation where we have two conflicting systems, VMI and xFIP. Colorado is a xFIP play and Milwaukee is a VMI play. Therefore NO PLAY.
xFIP first 5 inning plays:
St. Louis
Oak
AZ
Note: Generally we do not play parlays, however since the juice is too high, even at minus .5 runs, on two addtional plays, we are going to post our first parlay of the year as an xFIP first 5 inning play:
Parlay: Bost -.5 and Cubs -.5 (1 unit pays 1.64) (If you played the ML on both of these, 1 unit would win almost one unit)
Second Half Play:
Reds/Atl over 4
Good luckLast edited by doubledime; 08-19-17, 11:50 AM.Comment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1265Good morning,
Reliever Plays:
Yesterday: 1-0
YTD: 114-93
Regular Plays:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10
VMI:
Yesterday: 1-0
YTD: 34-23 +12.55
xFIP first 5 innings totals:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 61-53
xFIP first 5 innings sides:
Yesterday: 0-4
YTD: 99-91 +13.85
Second Half Plays: (tracking)
Yesterday: 1-0
YTD: 33-26Comment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1266Good morning
No Reliever Plays
VMI Play:
Milwaukee
xFIP first five inning side plays:
Milw
Clev -.5 runs
That's it
Good luckComment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1267Good morning,
Reliever Plays:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 114-93
Regular Plays:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10
VMI:
Yesterday: 1-0
YTD: 35-23 +13.60
xFIP first 5 innings totals:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 61-53
xFIP first 5 innings sides:
Yesterday: 1-1
YTD: 100-92 +13.85
Second Half Plays: (tracking)
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 33-26Comment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1268Points Awarded:
hockey129 gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
Thank you hockeyComment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1269Good afternoon,
VMI Play:
Seattle
xFIP Plays first five inning plays:
AZ
Balt
That's it
Good luckComment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1270Good morning,
Reliever Plays:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 114-93
Regular Plays:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10
VMI:
Yesterday: 1-0
YTD: 36-23 +14.60
xFIP first 5 innings totals:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 61-53
xFIP first 5 innings sides:
Yesterday: 2-0
YTD: 102-92 +15.85
Second Half Plays: (tracking)
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 33-26Comment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1271Good morning,
When I looked at my xFIP side post from yesterday, I noticed that I posted Balt but forgot to post it at -.5 runs. It did not matter either way, but I just thought I would mention it since I never like playing that big of a favorite.
DDComment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1272Good morning,
The Reliever Plays for Tuesday: (second half)
LAD/Pit over 3.5
Min/WS over 4
The xFIP first half sides:
SD
NYY -.5
Min
Hou -.5
xFIP first half total:
Mil/SF under 4
VMI:
SF
Seattle
Second Half Totals: (Still just tracking)
LAD/Pit over 3.5
Oak/Balt over 4
Min/WS over 4
Good luckLast edited by doubledime; 08-22-17, 11:40 AM.Comment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1273FYI:
On My previous post I posted xFIP second half total and second half sides. That was supposed to read as always, "first half" sides and totals. xFIP is always First Half Plays. I corrected the post.
DDComment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1274Good morning,
Reliever Plays:
Yesterday: 0-2
YTD: 114-95
Regular Plays:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10
VMI:
Yesterday: 0-2
YTD: 36-25 +16.75
xFIP first 5 innings totals:
Yesterday: 0-1
YTD: 61-54
xFIP first 5 innings sides:
Yesterday: 3-1
YTD: 105-93 +18.40
Second Half Plays: (tracking)
Yesterday: 1-2
YTD: 34-28Comment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1275Good morning,
One afternoon game and then we will be back later with the rest of the card.
VMI:
SF
Good luckComment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1276Points Awarded:
hockey129 gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
Thank you hockeyComment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1277Good afternoon,
As it turns out we have another afternoon game. Starts in 30 minute from the time of this post.
The Reliever Plays:
Oak/Balt over 4 second half
Good luckComment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1278I apologize for not posting the Oak/Balt game earlier but I just missed that it was an afternoon game.Comment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1279Good afternoon,
Here is the rest of Wednesday's card:
Reliever Play:
TX/LAA over 3.5 second half
VMI:
KC
xFIP first half sides:
All sides were too high juice so we are going with our two best for a 2 team ML par:
St. Louis ML and NYY ML (1 unit pays 1.2 units)
Good luckComment -
hockey129SBR Hustler
- 06-24-17
- 87
#1280Very nice work last night DD!Comment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1282Good morning,
Reliever Plays:
Yesterday: 2-0
YTD: 116-95
Regular Plays:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10
VMI:
Yesterday: 2-0
YTD: 38-25 +18.75
xFIP first 5 innings totals:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 61-54
xFIP first 5 innings sides:
Yesterday: 1-0
YTD: 106-93 +19.60
Second Half Plays: (tracking)
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 34-28Last edited by doubledime; 08-24-17, 09:47 AM.Comment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1283Good morning,
The Reliever Play for Thursday:
TX/LAA over 3.5 second half (going to "well" one more time)
No VMI
xFIP first half side:
TB -.5
Second half plays: (still tracking)
LAD/Pit under 3.5
Tor/TB over 3.5
Good luckComment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1284Good morning,
I have been looking at second half sides based on the bullpens. I am not playing these and it is very early in my research, so I don't recommend playing these, but let's all watch together.
Second Half Sides:
Philly
NYY
Clev
DDComment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1285Good morning,
Reliever Plays:
Yesterday: 0-1
YTD: 116-96
Regular Plays:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10
VMI:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 38-25 +18.75
xFIP first 5 innings totals:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 61-54
xFIP first 5 innings sides:
Yesterday: 1-0
YTD: 107-93 +20.60
Second Half Plays: (tracking)
Yesterday: 0-2
YTD: 34-30Comment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1286Good morning,
xFIP First five inning sides:
Pit
Parlay: AZ ML and St. Louis ML (1 unit pays about 1.3 units)
That's it for today
Good luckComment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1287
I will keep posting these in a separate post (same thread) from my regular plays since they we are just tracking these and not playing them.
We'll call them Second Half Sides
Second Half Sides for Friday:
Reds
DDComment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1288Good morning,
Reliever Plays:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 116-96
Regular Plays:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10
VMI:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 38-25 +18.75
xFIP first 5 innings totals:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 61-54
xFIP first 5 innings sides:
Yesterday: 0-2
YTD: 107-95 +18.40
Second Half Plays: (tracking)
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 34-30Comment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1289Good morning,
Just one play for the afternoon games:
xFIP first 5 inning side:
Parlay Wash ML and NYY ML (1 unit pays 1.1 unit)
Back later with tonight's card
Good luckComment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1290Second half side tracking (see post #1283)
Min
Balt
Good luckComment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1291Good afternoon,
Reliever Play for Saturday:
TB/Cards over 3.5 second half
xFIP First half sides:
SD
SF
Will post the SF reasons in my next another post.
Good luckLast edited by doubledime; 08-26-17, 04:21 PM.Comment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1292SF
xERA STD: 2.84 Last 3: 2.83
FIP STD: 3.25 Last 3: 3.83
xFIP STD: 3.55 Last 3: 3.54
AZ
xERA STD: 3.58 Last 3: 4.67
FIP STD: 4.06 Last 3: 5.94
xFIP STD: 4.58 Last 3: 6.08Comment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1294Good morning,
Reliever Plays:
Yesterday: 1-0
YTD: 117-96
Regular Plays:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 1-10
VMI:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 38-25 +18.75
xFIP first 5 innings totals:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 61-54
xFIP first 5 innings sides:
Yesterday: 1-1-1
YTD: 108-96 +18.35
Second Half Plays: (tracking)
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 34-30Comment -
doubledimeSBR Hall of Famer
- 04-22-09
- 9751
#1295Second Half Sides tracking (see post #1283)
Yesterday: 2-1
YTD: 3-4Comment
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