**** MLB Totals ** 478-343 + 83 units Last Year ****

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  • doubledime
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-22-09
    • 9751

    #1366
    Good afternoon,

    The Reliever Play for Tuesday:

    LAD/SF over 3 second half

    No VMI

    xFIP first 5 inning sides:

    Tor
    LAA
    Parlay Cubs ML and NYY ML
    (1 unit pays 1.15 units)

    Second half total: (tracking)

    Reds/St. Louis under 3.5

    No second half side though Clev made the cut but @ -195 it was way too much juice so no play!

    Good luck
    Comment
    • doubledime
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-22-09
      • 9751

      #1367
      Here are some reasons for Toronto xFIP play. I'll take a dog with these numbers just about every time

      Goog luck

      Balt
      ERA STD: 4.12 Last 2: 3.46 Last 5: 3.66 Last 10: 4.77 Last 39: 4.13
      xERA STD: 3.56 Last 2: 2.33 Last 5: 2.37 Last 10: 2.98 Last 39: 3.46
      WHIP STD: 1.19 Last 2: 0.92 Last 5: 1.06 Last 10: 1.13 Last 39: 1.20
      FIP STD: 4.61 Last 2: 4.21 Last 5: 3.37 Last 10: 4.24 Last 39: 4.72
      BABIP STD: .265 Last 2: .143 Last 5: .282 Last 10: .268 Last 39: .259
      xFIP STD: 4.77 Last 2: 3.21 Last 5: 3.04 Last 10: 4.11 Last 39: 4.54
      OBP STD: .300 Last 2: .241 Last 5: .267 Last 10: .282 Last 39: .299
      SLG STD: .425 Last 2: .255 Last 5: .367 Last 10: .409 Last 39: .423


      Toronto
      ERA STD: 5.77 Last 3: 6.43 Last 3: 6.43 Last 4: 7.91 Last 14: 5.77
      xERA STD: 3.30 Last 3: 3.18 Last 3: 3.18 Last 4: 3.20 Last 14: 3.30
      WHIP STD: 1.51 Last 3: 1.93 Last 3: 1.93 Last 4: 2.02 Last 14: 1.51
      FIP STD: 3.97 Last 3: 4.29 Last 3: 4.29 Last 4: 4.92 Last 14: 3.97
      BABIP STD: .332 Last 3: .409 Last 3: .409 Last 4: .426 Last 14: .332
      xFIP STD: 3.97 Last 3: 3.36 Last 3: 3.36 Last 4: 3.30 Last 14: 3.97
      OBP STD: .334 Last 3: .391 Last 3: .391 Last 4: .402 Last 14: .334
      SLG STD: .444 Last 3: .516 Last 3: .516 Last 4: .568 Last 14: .444
      Comment
      • doubledime
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 04-22-09
        • 9751

        #1368
        Good morning,

        Reliever Plays:

        Yesterday: push
        YTD: 126-103

        Regular Plays:

        Yesterday: 0
        YTD: 1-10

        VMI:

        Yesterday: 0
        YTD: 41-30 +15.80

        xFIP first 5 innings totals:

        Yesterday: 0
        YTD: 65-54

        xFIP first 5 innings sides:

        Yesterday: 2-1
        YTD: 129-106 +32.20

        Second Half Total Plays: (tracking)

        Yesterday: 0-1
        YTD: 39-38

        Second Half Sides: (tracking)

        Yesterday: 0
        YTD: 17-11 +5.05 units
        Comment
        • doubledime
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-22-09
          • 9751

          #1369
          Good morning,

          xFIP first 5 inning side plays:

          Philly
          Tor
          Parlay Wash ML and Clev ML
          (1 unit pays .8 units)

          Second half sides: (tracking)

          St. Louis -110

          That's it

          Good luck




          Comment
          • doubledime
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-22-09
            • 9751

            #1370
            Here are some xFIP reasons for Philly:


            Miami

            ERA STD: 3.95 Last 3: 5.06 Last 6: 4.68 Last 13: 4.58 Last 62: 3.93
            xERA STD: 3.51 Last 3: 4.76 Last 6: 3.83 Last 13: 3.99 Last 62: 3.62
            WHIP STD: 1.23 Last 3: 1.81 Last 6: 1.38 Last 13: 1.39 Last 62: 1.22
            FIP STD: 4.42 Last 3: 6.46 Last 6: 5.54 Last 13: 5.13 Last 62: 4.65
            BABIP STD: .285 Last 3: .375 Last 6: .299 Last 13: .310 Last 62: .266
            xFIP STD: 4.54 Last 3: 5.65 Last 6: 4.82 Last 13: 4.91 Last 62: 4.63
            OBP STD: .308 Last 3: .417 Last 6: .343 Last 13: .336 Last 62: .307
            SLG STD: .450 Last 3: .619 Last 6: .517 Last 13: .522 Last 62: .433


            Philly

            ERA STD: 3.71 Last 3: 4.67 Last 6: 5.55 Last 13: 3.38 Last 56: 4.15
            xERA STD: 2.85 Last 3: 2.10 Last 6: 2.72 Last 13: 2.64 Last 56: 2.80
            WHIP STD: 1.24 Last 3: 1.44 Last 6: 1.40 Last 13: 1.20 Last 56: 1.26
            FIP STD: 3.29 Last 3: 2.81 Last 6: 3.69 Last 13: 2.85 Last 56: 3.43
            BABIP STD: .316 Last 3: .417 Last 6: .357 Last 13: .323 Last 56: .321
            xFIP STD: 3.56 Last 3: 1.91 Last 6: 3.10 Last 13: 3.29 Last 56: 3.40
            OBP STD: .302 Last 3: .347 Last 6: .333 Last 13: .293 Last 56: .309
            SLG STD: .390 Last 3: .521 Last 6: .507 Last 13: .401 Last 56: .400
            Comment
            • doubledime
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-22-09
              • 9751

              #1371
              Adding an xFIP Play

              xFIP first 5 inning play:

              Parlay Milw ML and Bost ML
              (1 unit pays 1.45 units)

              Good luck
              Last edited by doubledime; 09-13-17, 03:38 PM.
              Comment
              • doubledime
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-22-09
                • 9751

                #1372
                Good morning,

                Reliever Plays:

                Yesterday: 0
                YTD: 126-103

                Regular Plays:

                Yesterday: 0
                YTD: 1-10

                VMI:

                Yesterday: 0
                YTD: 41-30 +15.80

                xFIP first 5 innings totals:

                Yesterday: 0
                YTD: 65-54

                xFIP first 5 innings sides:

                Yesterday: 2-2
                YTD: 131-108 +31.50

                Second Half Total Plays: (tracking)

                Yesterday: 0
                YTD: 39-38

                Second Half Sides: (tracking)

                Yesterday: push
                YTD: 17-11 +5.05 units
                Comment
                • doubledime
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-22-09
                  • 9751

                  #1373
                  Good morning,

                  Just a total of 2 plays today

                  VMI:

                  Toronto

                  xFIP first 5 inning sides:

                  Parlay St. Louis ML and NYY ML
                  (1 unit pays 1.2 units)

                  Good luck
                  Comment
                  • Rainemaker
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 12-06-12
                    • 138

                    #1374
                    Hey DD wondered what you thought about Cubs today with Rookie pitcher throwing vs Mets whose pen got wore out yesterday. The numbers look good for Tseng in the minors, seems like this could be late season move for the Cubs.. star in the making to help them make a playoff push. My books haven't released a line for it yet - makes me like it even more.
                    Comment
                    • doubledime
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-22-09
                      • 9751

                      #1375
                      Originally posted by Rainemaker
                      Hey DD wondered what you thought about Cubs today with Rookie pitcher throwing vs Mets whose pen got wore out yesterday. The numbers look good for Tseng in the minors, seems like this could be late season move for the Cubs.. star in the making to help them make a playoff push. My books haven't released a line for it yet - makes me like it even more.
                      I generally stay away from games that have an unknown pitcher starting. You're correct on the Mets bullpen, 108 pitches yesterday and 188 the last three days. Good luck whichever way you decide.
                      Comment
                      • doubledime
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-22-09
                        • 9751

                        #1376
                        Here are the VMI numbers for the Toronto game. Any Team over (+)7 is usually a VMI play and/or I play against any team -7 or less, unless the other team has a comparable VMI. For example, if Min would have had a VMI of +6.53 Toronto would not be a play.



                        TOR (ROAD)

                        +8.12

                        MIN (HOME)
                        +1.56
                        Comment
                        • doubledime
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-22-09
                          • 9751

                          #1377
                          Points Awarded:
                          Rainemaker gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

                          Thanks Rainmaker, always appreciated
                          Comment
                          • doubledime
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-22-09
                            • 9751

                            #1378
                            Good morning,

                            Reliever Plays:

                            Yesterday: 0
                            YTD: 126-103

                            Regular Plays:

                            Yesterday: 0
                            YTD: 1-10

                            VMI:

                            Yesterday: 0-1
                            Tough extra inning loss
                            YTD: 41-31 +14.80

                            xFIP first 5 innings totals:

                            Yesterday: 0
                            YTD: 65-54

                            xFIP first 5 innings sides:

                            Yesterday: 1-0
                            YTD: 132-108 +32.70

                            Second Half Total Plays: (tracking)

                            Yesterday: 0
                            YTD: 39-38

                            Second Half Sides: (tracking)

                            Yesterday: 0
                            YTD: 17-11 +5.05 units
                            Comment
                            • doubledime
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-22-09
                              • 9751

                              #1379
                              Good morning,

                              Early plays and I will be back later with the rest of the card.

                              xFIP first 5 inning side:

                              St. Louis

                              Second half total: (tracking)

                              St. Louis/Cubs over 3.5

                              Good luck
                              Comment
                              • doubledime
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-22-09
                                • 9751

                                #1380
                                Good afternoon,

                                No Reliever Plays

                                No VMI Plays

                                xFIP first 5 inning plays:

                                Det
                                Philly
                                Parlay NYY ML and Bost ML
                                (1 unit pay 1 unit)

                                Second Half Total: (tracking)

                                AZ/SF over 3

                                Second Half Sides: (tracking)

                                Mil -135
                                SD -115
                                Houston +110
                                LAA -120


                                Good luck
                                Comment
                                • playr101
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-16-10
                                  • 2029

                                  #1381
                                  GL today DD

                                  -playr101
                                  Comment
                                  • doubledime
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-22-09
                                    • 9751

                                    #1382
                                    Originally posted by playr101
                                    GL today DD

                                    -playr101
                                    Thanks playr
                                    Comment
                                    • doubledime
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-22-09
                                      • 9751

                                      #1383
                                      Points Awarded: Rainemaker gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

                                      Thanks again Rainemaker
                                      Comment
                                      • doubledime
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-22-09
                                        • 9751

                                        #1384
                                        Good morning,

                                        Reliever Plays:

                                        Yesterday: 0
                                        YTD: 126-103

                                        Regular Plays:

                                        Yesterday: 0
                                        YTD: 1-10

                                        VMI:

                                        Yesterday: 0

                                        YTD: 41-31 +14.80

                                        xFIP first 5 innings totals:

                                        Yesterday: 0
                                        YTD: 65-54

                                        xFIP first 5 innings sides:

                                        Yesterday: 1-2-1
                                        YTD: 133-110 +31.50

                                        Second Half Total Plays: (tracking)

                                        Yesterday: 1-0
                                        YTD: 40-38

                                        Second Half Sides: (tracking)

                                        Yesterday: 2-1-1
                                        YTD: 19-12 +5.90 units
                                        Comment
                                        • doubledime
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 04-22-09
                                          • 9751

                                          #1385
                                          Good morning,

                                          Reliever Play for Saturday:

                                          Bost/TB over 3.5 second half

                                          No VMI

                                          xFIP first 5 inning sides:

                                          Mets
                                          AZ
                                          Parlay Clev ML and Houston ML
                                          (1 unit pays 1.1 units)

                                          xFIP first 5 inning total:

                                          WS/Det over 5

                                          Second half total: (tracking)

                                          Mets/Atl over 3.5

                                          Second half sides:

                                          SD +120
                                          Hou -120


                                          That's it for today

                                          Good luck
                                          Comment
                                          • doubledime
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-22-09
                                            • 9751

                                            #1386
                                            Good morning,

                                            Reliever Plays:

                                            Yesterday: 0-1
                                            YTD: 126-104

                                            Regular Plays:

                                            Yesterday: 0
                                            YTD: 1-10

                                            VMI:

                                            Yesterday: 0

                                            YTD: 41-31 +14.80

                                            xFIP first 5 innings totals:

                                            Yesterday: 1-0
                                            YTD: 66-54

                                            xFIP first 5 innings sides:

                                            Yesterday: 2-1
                                            YTD: 135-111 +32.60

                                            Second Half Total Plays: (tracking)

                                            Yesterday: 1-0
                                            YTD: 41-38

                                            Second Half Sides: (tracking)

                                            Yesterday: 0-2
                                            YTD: 19-14 +3.70 units
                                            Comment
                                            • doubledime
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-22-09
                                              • 9751

                                              #1387
                                              Points Awarded:
                                              hockey129 gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

                                              Thank you hockey
                                              Comment
                                              • doubledime
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-22-09
                                                • 9751

                                                #1388
                                                Good morning,

                                                The Reliever Play for Sunday:

                                                Balt/NYY over 3.5 second half

                                                No VMI

                                                xFIP first 5 inning sides:

                                                Mia
                                                Parlay NYY ML and Clev ML
                                                (1 unit pays 1 unit)

                                                Second Half totals: (tracking)

                                                SD/Col over 4.5
                                                Seattle/Hou over 3.5


                                                Second Half sides: (tracking)

                                                WS -135
                                                Tor -125


                                                Good luck
                                                Comment
                                                • doubledime
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-22-09
                                                  • 9751

                                                  #1389
                                                  Good morning,

                                                  Reliever Plays:

                                                  Yesterday: 0-1
                                                  YTD: 126-105

                                                  Regular Plays:

                                                  Yesterday: 0
                                                  YTD: 1-10

                                                  VMI:

                                                  Yesterday: 0

                                                  YTD: 41-31 +14.80

                                                  xFIP first 5 innings totals:

                                                  Yesterday: 0-1
                                                  YTD: 66-55

                                                  xFIP first 5 innings sides:

                                                  Yesterday: 0-2
                                                  YTD: 135-113 +30.60

                                                  Second Half Total Plays: (tracking)

                                                  Yesterday: 1-0
                                                  YTD: 41-38

                                                  Second Half Sides: (tracking)

                                                  Yesterday: 1-1
                                                  YTD: 20-15 +2.35 units
                                                  Comment
                                                  • doubledime
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-22-09
                                                    • 9751

                                                    #1390
                                                    Good afternoon,

                                                    Short card today

                                                    xFIP first 5 innings total:

                                                    Mil/Pit under 4.5

                                                    Second half sides: (tracking)

                                                    Mets -105
                                                    Det +105


                                                    Second Half total: (tracking)

                                                    Mil/Pit under 3.5

                                                    Good luck
                                                    Comment
                                                    • doubledime
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-22-09
                                                      • 9751

                                                      #1391
                                                      Good morning,

                                                      Reliever Plays:

                                                      Yesterday: 0-1
                                                      YTD: 126-105

                                                      Regular Plays:

                                                      Yesterday: 0
                                                      YTD: 1-10

                                                      VMI:

                                                      Yesterday: 0

                                                      YTD: 41-31 +14.80

                                                      xFIP first 5 innings totals:

                                                      Yesterday: 1-0
                                                      YTD: 67-55

                                                      xFIP first 5 innings sides:

                                                      Yesterday: 0
                                                      YTD: 135-113 +30.60

                                                      Second Half Total Plays: (tracking)

                                                      Yesterday: 1-0
                                                      YTD: 42-38

                                                      Second Half Sides: (tracking)

                                                      Yesterday: 0-1-1
                                                      YTD: 20-16 +1.30 units
                                                      Comment
                                                      • doubledime
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-22-09
                                                        • 9751

                                                        #1392
                                                        Good morning,

                                                        Going to be in meetings all day, so I will post these now without the first half or second half lines since they are not out yet.

                                                        Reliever Plays:

                                                        Balt/Bost over second half
                                                        Oal/Det over second half


                                                        VMI:

                                                        AZ
                                                        SF


                                                        xFIP first half sides:

                                                        Oak
                                                        WS
                                                        Clev
                                                        Parlay Wash ML and AZ ML


                                                        xFIP first half total:

                                                        LAD/Philly under

                                                        That's it

                                                        Good luck
                                                        Comment
                                                        • doubledime
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 04-22-09
                                                          • 9751

                                                          #1393
                                                          Good morning,

                                                          Reliever Plays:

                                                          Yesterday: 1-1
                                                          YTD: 127-106

                                                          Regular Plays:

                                                          Yesterday: 0
                                                          YTD: 1-10

                                                          VMI:

                                                          Yesterday: 1-1

                                                          YTD: 42-32 +14.20

                                                          xFIP first 5 innings totals:

                                                          Yesterday: 1-0
                                                          YTD: 68-55

                                                          xFIP first 5 innings sides:

                                                          Yesterday: 1-3
                                                          YTD: 136-116 +28.40

                                                          Second Half Total Plays: (tracking)

                                                          Yesterday: 0
                                                          YTD: 42-38

                                                          Second Half Sides: (tracking)

                                                          Yesterday: 0
                                                          YTD: 20-16 +1.30 units
                                                          Comment
                                                          • doubledime
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 04-22-09
                                                            • 9751

                                                            #1394
                                                            Points Awarded:
                                                            hockey129 gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

                                                            Comment
                                                            • doubledime
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 04-22-09
                                                              • 9751

                                                              #1395
                                                              Good morning,

                                                              Only 2 plays today (short on time)

                                                              Reliever Plays:

                                                              St. Louis/Reds over 3.5 second half
                                                              Oak/Det over 4 second half

                                                              Good luck
                                                              Comment
                                                              • doubledime
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-22-09
                                                                • 9751

                                                                #1396
                                                                Good morning,

                                                                Reliever Plays:

                                                                Yesterday: 0-1-1
                                                                YTD: 127-107

                                                                Regular Plays:

                                                                Yesterday: 0
                                                                YTD: 1-10

                                                                VMI:

                                                                Yesterday: 1-1

                                                                YTD: 42-32 +14.20

                                                                xFIP first 5 innings totals:

                                                                Yesterday: 1-0
                                                                YTD: 68-55

                                                                xFIP first 5 innings sides:

                                                                Yesterday: 1-3
                                                                YTD: 136-116 +28.40

                                                                Second Half Total Plays: (tracking)

                                                                Yesterday: 0
                                                                YTD: 42-38

                                                                Second Half Sides: (tracking)

                                                                Yesterday: 0
                                                                YTD: 20-16 +1.30 units
                                                                Comment
                                                                • doubledime
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 04-22-09
                                                                  • 9751

                                                                  #1397
                                                                  Good morning,

                                                                  I have decided to "call it a season".

                                                                  We were about plus 50 net units (give or take a few units depending on your lines), based on only 1 unit per game, with everything we posted, including our "tracking" plays. Not as good as last year but still plus for the season. I wish we would have done better for those who followed, but I feel some of the metrics we used in the second half of the season, such as the xFIP plays, have some real potential, and if we had used them all season our winning units would have been higher.

                                                                  Thanks to all who followed, and until next year..... good luck to all, and see you in the college football and college BB threads.

                                                                  DD
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • hockey129
                                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                                    • 06-24-17
                                                                    • 87

                                                                    #1398
                                                                    Thanks for a great season DD I really appreciate you helping us and posting picks.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • thekoreanmang
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-17-14
                                                                      • 1422

                                                                      #1399
                                                                      Great job, brother. Very nice stuff. Look forward to next season and college football.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Rainemaker
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 12-06-12
                                                                        • 138

                                                                        #1400
                                                                        You're the man DD! Thanks for the good times you provided this year!
                                                                        Comment
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