Todays Action, 2009 M.L.B. Thread

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  • TodaysAction
    Restricted User
    • 08-01-08
    • 12762

    #421
    10.00+ units record is now 14-6-2, winning at a 70.% clip and up +119.65 units, following FL win tonight.
    Comment
    • TodaysAction
      Restricted User
      • 08-01-08
      • 12762

      #422
      Tonights games have gone 4-1-0 so far adding 15.26 units to the accounts while waiting on the outcome of the SF/LAD game.
      Stats and records will be updated later.
      Comment
      • cocknocker
        Restricted User
        • 11-06-08
        • 8001

        #423
        Keep on grindin' baybee! We have to take Florida tomorrow again. You know that don't you? Santana can be touched
        Comment
        • Dexter
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-24-08
          • 25829

          #424
          Originally posted by cocknocker
          Keep on grindin' baybee! We have to take Florida tomorrow again. You know that don't you? Santana can be touched
          lol...now that made me laugh!

          as much as the marlins K, johan is sitting on 10+ K's....just a matter of if he grooves a fastball or 2. cause fla does have power...
          Comment
          • shoebox
            Restricted User
            • 11-26-08
            • 5710

            #425
            Originally posted by Dexter
            lol...now that made me laugh!

            as much as the marlins K, johan is sitting on 10+ K's....just a matter of if he grooves a fastball or 2. cause fla does have power...
            Play santana heavy after the all star break, thats when he is lethal
            Comment
            • TodaysAction
              Restricted User
              • 08-01-08
              • 12762

              #426
              Originally posted by TodaysAction
              Tonights games have gone 4-1-0 so far adding 15.26 units to the accounts while waiting on the outcome of the SF/LAD game.
              Stats and records will be updated later.
              Final numbers from last were 4-2-0 adding 14.26 units to the accounts.

              Aprils' numbers: 66-66-0, winning at a 50.0% rate and up 82.81 units.
              YTD's numbers: 105-99-4, winning at a 51.% rate and up 111.50 units.
              10.00+ Action: 14-6-2, winning at a 70.% clip and up +119.65 units.
              Comment
              • TodaysAction
                Restricted User
                • 08-01-08
                • 12762

                #427
                Originally posted by cocknocker
                Keep on grindin' baybee! We have to take Florida tomorrow again. You know that don't you? Santana can be touched
                Yeppers and might try the total depending on the weather conditions - unfortunately by then, it will be too late to post. Lots to do this morning and early afternoon.
                Comment
                • TodaysAction
                  Restricted User
                  • 08-01-08
                  • 12762

                  #428
                  Originally posted by Dexter
                  lol...now that made me laugh!

                  as much as the marlins K, johan is sitting on 10+ K's....just a matter of if he grooves a fastball or 2. cause fla does have power...
                  Good morning Dexter,

                  Maybe belt high, center of the plate with zero movement from his delivery. BTW, on "He-Man Master of the Universe" has the power.

                  Originally posted by shoebox
                  Play santana heavy after the all star break, thats when he is lethal
                  Good morning shoebox,

                  Have you been reading my notebooks? I know you haven't but your comment is in the top three things I have about him. Good stuff man.
                  Comment
                  • TodaysAction
                    Restricted User
                    • 08-01-08
                    • 12762

                    #429
                    110pm, FL, risk 4.00 units
                    1235pm, LAA, risk 1.00 unit

                    More later today.

                    Good luck with your selections.
                    Comment
                    • TodaysAction
                      Restricted User
                      • 08-01-08
                      • 12762

                      #430
                      The early pair went 2-0 and added 7.64 units to the accounts.

                      As for the rest of tonight's card, here it is:
                      705pm, WA, risk 2.00 units
                      710pm, ATL, win 1.00 unit
                      710pm, CIN, win 1.00 unit
                      1015pm SF, win 2.00 units
                      810pm, TOR, risk 1.00 unit.

                      Good luck with your selections.
                      Comment
                      • Dexter
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 12-24-08
                        • 25829

                        #431
                        Originally posted by shoebox
                        Play santana heavy after the all star break, thats when he is lethal
                        what hes been doing this april is not "lethal"?

                        great call on the marlins today, but if you based your play on the fact that santana is better post all star - that was the wrong mindset.

                        going into today, johan had a .70era/.90 whip and was on pace for 285K's to 46BB's in 198 inn.

                        he has been a monster thus far, and should cruise to the CY Young (as long as Putz doesnt F up!) lol
                        Comment
                        • therber2
                          Restricted User
                          • 12-22-08
                          • 3715

                          #432
                          Good job so far today TA. GL with the rest of your picks!
                          Comment
                          • cocknocker
                            Restricted User
                            • 11-06-08
                            • 8001

                            #433
                            Ah yes! We got some more of that GOOD Florida money! Way to sting em' T.A. Now I think that we can lay off of them. Tomorrow I like them to go over the total with the Cubs. The Cubs are getting smoked out in Arizona today, and will return home in a foul mood. Meanwhile the Marlins can hit Santana, they can hit anyone. Marshall is anything but an ace. Let's try the over for the Marlins/Cubs tomorrow.

                            I mean it's the only game on the board right now that doesn't have a total assigned to it yet....
                            Comment
                            • therber2
                              Restricted User
                              • 12-22-08
                              • 3715

                              #434
                              Originally posted by cocknocker
                              Ah yes! We got some more of that GOOD Florida money! Way to sting em' T.A. Now I think that we can lay off of them. Tomorrow I like them to go over the total with the Cubs. The Cubs are getting smoked out in Arizona today, and will return home in a foul mood. Meanwhile the Marlins can hit Santana, they can hit anyone. Marshall is anything but an ace. Let's try the over for the Marlins/Cubs tomorrow.

                              I mean it's the only game on the board right now that doesn't have a total assigned to it yet....
                              Marlins weren't exactly knockin' grand slammers today, and the Cubs...I'm goin with the under if at all!

                              TA do you even do totals?
                              Comment
                              • TodaysAction
                                Restricted User
                                • 08-01-08
                                • 12762

                                #435
                                Originally posted by therber2
                                Good job so far today TA. GL with the rest of your picks!
                                therber2. Sitting at 4-1-0 with two pending, , and up 11.86 units. If both go south, I'll end up 4-3-0 and up 7.96 units which means it's another nice night on the home front (aside from it being too cold). Add your day's actions or comments about any game, I'm fairly certain someone will fire something back.
                                Comment
                                • TodaysAction
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 08-01-08
                                  • 12762

                                  #436
                                  Originally posted by cocknocker
                                  Ah yes! We got some more of that GOOD Florida money! Way to sting em' T.A. Now I think that we can lay off of them. Tomorrow I like them to go over the total with the Cubs. The Cubs are getting smoked out in Arizona today, and will return home in a foul mood. Meanwhile the Marlins can hit Santana, they can hit anyone. Marshall is anything but an ace. Let's try the over for the Marlins/Cubs tomorrow.

                                  I mean it's the only game on the board right now that doesn't have a total assigned to it yet....
                                  Wasn't that nice of the Mets to donate to our cause. I did shoot off a thank you email to them (no joke) and if I ever get a response, I'll post it for all to read. Funny, you're already for Thursday game's at the time of your post - don't feel bad I had them all pre-done (need certain tidbits from tonight's games to finalize the pooch) based on all possible outcomes before leaving. Sick, I know but it makes it easier now. I know you stated you're off in May and hope you enjoy the much need break/rest from daily postings. Remember, "grease is the word" starts Friday.
                                  Comment
                                  • TodaysAction
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 08-01-08
                                    • 12762

                                    #437
                                    Originally posted by therber2
                                    Marlins weren't exactly knockin' grand slammers today, and the Cubs...I'm goin with the under if at all!

                                    TA do you even do totals?
                                    All that matters is the y got the job done, right? If you went with both, you kissed your sister (split) - please step away from the redneck zone.

                                    Yes, I do but normally wait until after the first month is complete to get fresher data. Don't look for many, but will sprinkle some in now and then when I feel their is a significant advantage.
                                    Comment
                                    • TodaysAction
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 08-01-08
                                      • 12762

                                      #438
                                      4-2-0 now but still up 10.86 units with 1 game pending.
                                      Comment
                                      • TodaysAction
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 08-01-08
                                        • 12762

                                        #439
                                        Final numbers from last night were 5-2-0 adding 12.86 units to the accounts.

                                        Aprils' numbers: 71-68-0, winning at a 51.1% rate and up 95.67 units.
                                        YTD's numbers: 110-101-4, winning at a 52.1% rate and up 124.536 units.
                                        10.00+ Action: 14-6-2, winning at a 70.% clip and up +119.65 units.
                                        Comment
                                        • cocknocker
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 11-06-08
                                          • 8001

                                          #440
                                          I change my mind. We have to take Florida again. I can't believe that the Cubs are even favored in this game. Volstad+105? Get the f*ck outta here. Against Marshall? He isn't even worthy of -110, let alone -125. Whatever. The Cubs have guys in and out of the lineup and are not playing well right now. I'm staying on the express another stop. The streak is going to have to stop us from betting this team. We certainly can't stop the streak on our own! I'm going for the reverse runline. I'm not f*ckin around. Let's just pray that they are ahead by 6 runs in the ninth with 2 outs. Their bullpen like most teams is horrid. I will also make a play for them for the 1st half. Do it man!
                                          Comment
                                          • TodaysAction
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 08-01-08
                                            • 12762

                                            #441
                                            Originally posted by cocknocker
                                            I change my mind. We have to take Florida again. I can't believe that the Cubs are even favored in this game. Volstad+105? Get the f*ck outta here. Against Marshall? He isn't even worthy of -110, let alone -125. Whatever. The Cubs have guys in and out of the lineup and are not playing well right now. I'm staying on the express another stop. The streak is going to have to stop us from betting this team. We certainly can't stop the streak on our own! I'm going for the reverse runline. I'm not f*ckin around. Let's just pray that they are ahead by 6 runs in the ninth with 2 outs. Their bullpen like most teams is horrid. I will also make a play for them for the 1st half. Do it man!
                                            "I have no opinion, sir." That being said, I hope it'll cash for you.
                                            Comment
                                            • TodaysAction
                                              Restricted User
                                              • 08-01-08
                                              • 12762

                                              #442
                                              210pm, TOR, risk 2.00 units

                                              Good luck with your selections on the early games.

                                              There will be more posted later today.
                                              Comment
                                              • therber2
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 12-22-08
                                                • 3715

                                                #443
                                                Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                I change my mind. We have to take Florida again. I can't believe that the Cubs are even favored in this game. Volstad+105? Get the f*ck outta here. Against Marshall? He isn't even worthy of -110, let alone -125. Whatever. The Cubs have guys in and out of the lineup and are not playing well right now. I'm staying on the express another stop. The streak is going to have to stop us from betting this team. We certainly can't stop the streak on our own! I'm going for the reverse runline. I'm not f*ckin around. Let's just pray that they are ahead by 6 runs in the ninth with 2 outs. Their bullpen like most teams is horrid. I will also make a play for them for the 1st half. Do it man!
                                                The Marlins streak is coming to an end. We've seen what the Cubs can do. This one is a coin toss.
                                                Comment
                                                • TodaysAction
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 08-01-08
                                                  • 12762

                                                  #444
                                                  Lost the rain delayed game and down 2.00 units heading into tonight's pair of games.

                                                  705pm, WA, risk 5.00 units
                                                  805pm, AZ, win 1.00 unit

                                                  Good luck with your selections.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BadBeatBodog
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 06-05-08
                                                    • 1006

                                                    #445
                                                    Must be hard keeping track of units won/lost when you don't know the odds you're betting at...
                                                    "Things happen for a reason, they say, but I say there's a reason things happen"

                                                    "Not everybody talks, but everybody lies / Not everybody lives, but everybody dies"
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TodaysAction
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 08-01-08
                                                      • 12762

                                                      #446
                                                      Originally posted by BadBeatBodog
                                                      Must be hard keeping track of units won/lost when you don't know the odds you're betting at...
                                                      Good evening BadBeatBodog,

                                                      Your post makes little sense as it would be very foolish to not know the lines when betting upon events. Not everyone will have the same line since not everyone has the same outs. One of the things that's "common" is each person has a unit and by listing as I do, they can obtain similar results if they follow as listed. By all means, share your insight and wisdom prior to any game started so others can learn from your greatness. Have a nice night.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BadBeatBodog
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 06-05-08
                                                        • 1006

                                                        #447
                                                        What I'm getting at is, releasing picks with no odds is a joke. There are many problems I can think of that this causes but off the top of my head: no odds given makes all of your record keeping questionable at best. For all we know you have simply given yourself the very best odds for each game. There is zero accountability.
                                                        "Things happen for a reason, they say, but I say there's a reason things happen"

                                                        "Not everybody talks, but everybody lies / Not everybody lives, but everybody dies"
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dwest718
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 12-06-07
                                                          • 443

                                                          #448
                                                          You're complaining about 2-5 units worth of vig over a 200 bet period?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • BadBeatBodog
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 06-05-08
                                                            • 1006

                                                            #449
                                                            I'm not complaining about anything. Call it policing. I just find it hilarious that someone would release picks without giving the odds. Like I said, there are numerous problems with it, record keeping is just one of them.

                                                            Also it's impossible to say how much he has shaded (if at all; I'm not saying he has for sure, just that he easily can) because he doesn't release the odds. Could be more than five units. He has released a 22 unit play before...
                                                            "Things happen for a reason, they say, but I say there's a reason things happen"

                                                            "Not everybody talks, but everybody lies / Not everybody lives, but everybody dies"
                                                            Comment
                                                            • tweek
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 02-17-09
                                                              • 60

                                                              #450
                                                              Originally posted by BadBeatBodog
                                                              What I'm getting at is, releasing picks with no odds is a joke. There are many problems I can think of that this causes but off the top of my head: no odds given makes all of your record keeping questionable at best. For all we know you have simply given yourself the very best odds for each game. There is zero accountability.
                                                              And if you care so much, track it yourself. I've been following since opening day and can vouch for the "legitimacy" of his lines...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BadBeatBodog
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 06-05-08
                                                                • 1006

                                                                #451
                                                                Tweek how do you track when you don't have the odds he bet at?
                                                                "Things happen for a reason, they say, but I say there's a reason things happen"

                                                                "Not everybody talks, but everybody lies / Not everybody lives, but everybody dies"
                                                                Comment
                                                                • tweek
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 02-17-09
                                                                  • 60

                                                                  #452
                                                                  Originally posted by BadBeatBodog
                                                                  Tweek how do you track when you don't have the odds he bet at?
                                                                  Well it's quite simple you see. I know his bets. I know my lines. I make his bets on my lines. At the end of the day, I look at my net units. At the end of the day, I look at his net units. If our net units are within +/- 0.5, I consider his odds legit. At the end of the season, if you're right and I end up down 500 while he ends up up 500, I'll throw you a PM
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BadBeatBodog
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 06-05-08
                                                                    • 1006

                                                                    #453
                                                                    Wow the accuracy of that method is astounding. The errors could easily cancel themselves out and it would appear the difference in your unit total and his is 'normal'. Anyway, I guess people don't really care so carry on.

                                                                    Just had to add, if you think a couple cents here and there on the lines you get doesn't matter then you missed one of the most important lessons about sports betting. Sometimes those couple cents ARE your edge.
                                                                    "Things happen for a reason, they say, but I say there's a reason things happen"

                                                                    "Not everybody talks, but everybody lies / Not everybody lives, but everybody dies"
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • therber2
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 12-22-08
                                                                      • 3715

                                                                      #454
                                                                      "
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • tweek
                                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                                        • 02-17-09
                                                                        • 60

                                                                        #455
                                                                        Originally posted by BadBeatBodog
                                                                        Wow the accuracy of that method is astounding. The errors could easily cancel themselves out and it would appear the difference in your unit total and his is 'normal'. Anyway, I guess people don't really care so carry on.

                                                                        Just had to add, if you think a couple cents here and there on the lines you get doesn't matter then you missed one of the most important lessons about sports betting. Sometimes those couple cents ARE your edge.
                                                                        Well... if my errors are canceling each other out, that would mean that some of my lines would have to be BETTER than his, no? Wouldn't that fact in and of itself be enough to prove that he is not using bogus lines for his results?

                                                                        And of course those couple of points can be your edge. But tell me, when was the last time you decided not to place a bet because your available line was +120 as opposed to +122? Show me the capper that knows the ACTUAL odds of a game that precisely and you and I can both retire tomorrow.
                                                                        Comment
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