Cleveland?
on3's MLB 2013 Opening Day System Thread
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ejacksonSBR Rookie
- 10-07-09
- 24
#141Comment -
on3SBR MVP
- 08-23-10
- 2197
#142CLE is also a fringe play. waiting to see how lines move.Comment -
analyzerSBR MVP
- 02-03-11
- 2049
#143Sounds good on3, look forward to later post.Comment -
on3SBR MVP
- 08-23-10
- 2197
#144Added play:
(A) CLE -150 to win 20
KC is rained out, and NYY will not qualify.Comment -
on3SBR MVP
- 08-23-10
- 2197
#145UPDATED for 5/4/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 36-2-0; Profit: +32.5 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units)
Filtered System: 3-0-0; Profit: +3 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 26-13; 3-0
Game 2 (B) win = 9-3; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 1-2; 0-0; 0-0
LABBY LINES FOR 5/4/2013
x-x-x-x
x-42-10-x
10-10-10-10
Filtered
x-10-10-x
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10
REGULAR FOR 5/4/2013
(B) ATL -130 to win 52
Filtered
none
5/2
noneComment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#146atl (A) @ -130???
edit.. They played yesterday, I see that it is a B bet. The juice threw me off.Comment -
SkivChefSBR Wise Guy
- 10-19-09
- 730
#147Atlanta ppdComment -
on3SBR MVP
- 08-23-10
- 2197
#148yea, meant to write (B)Comment -
on3SBR MVP
- 08-23-10
- 2197
#149playing ATL small here. it's inky a two game series at this point.
(B) ATL -155 to win 25Comment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#150Originally posted by on3playing ATL small here. it's inky a two game series at this point.
(B) ATL -155 to win 25Comment -
sportscreep1SBR Sharp
- 03-02-10
- 292
#151It's really not a play, so he said he's just playing it "small" so just picked an amount to win I'd assume.Comment -
on3SBR MVP
- 08-23-10
- 2197
#152Originally posted by J.M. DiscipleI am a little confused, where did you get 25 from?Comment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#153Originally posted by on3there really is no precedent for the (A) game losing, (B) game rained out, (C) bet. 2 game series' shouldnt be played, so instead of risking a larger amount for something that hasnt been back tested, i just played it small (a little more than a unit, less than the original (B) bet.Comment -
on3SBR MVP
- 08-23-10
- 2197
#154UPDATED for 5/6/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 37-2-0; Profit: +33.75 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units)
Filtered System: 3-0-0; Profit: +3 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 26-13; 3-0
Game 2 (B) win = 10-3; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 1-2; 0-0; 0-0
LABBY LINES FOR 5/6/2013
10-10-10-10
x-17-10-x
10-10-10-10
Filtered
x-10-10-x
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10
REGULAR FOR 5/6/2013
(A) SD -180 to win 20
(A) BOS -190/-115 to win 20 -- play RL
(A) TB -145 to win 20
SF is a fringe play
Filtered
Fringe play, if total stays at 9 or above, this becomes official
(A) BOS -190/-115 to win 20 -- play RL
5/2
noneComment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#155SF might be a play as well right? Opened -150 @ 5dimes. My book currently -148, but listed at covers -139 right now, but I think line might go up.. Huge pitching mismatch.
edit.. Just seen "fringe play"Comment -
choundSBR High Roller
- 05-27-10
- 158
#156Originally posted by J.M. DiscipleSF might be a play as well right? Opened -150 @ 5dimes. My book currently -148, but listed at covers -139 right now, but I think line might go up.. Huge pitching mismatch.
edit.. Just seen "fringe play"Comment -
on3SBR MVP
- 08-23-10
- 2197
#157BOS closed at o/u 8.5. not a filtered play. i played it myself, but will not be completing the chase on BOS and it wont be 5/2 if it loses. SF is still under 145, im gonna call it as a no play.Comment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#158Originally posted by choundWhere do you get a huge pitching mismatch? Lee is excellent and all time against SF he is something like 4-0 and some terribly low ERA? Don't confuse poor run support for poor pitching
Looks like you were right. SF got their asses handed to them. Still got some innings left, but not looking good.Comment -
on3SBR MVP
- 08-23-10
- 2197
#159UPDATED for 5/7/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 38-2-0; Profit: +34.75 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units)
Filtered System: 3-0-0; Profit: +3 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 27-15; 3-0
Game 2 (B) win = 10-3; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 1-2; 0-0; 0-0
LABBY LINES FOR 5/7/2013
10-10-10-15
10-7-23-25
10-10-10-10
Filtered
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10
REGULAR FOR 5/7/2013
(B) BOS -182 to win 30
(B) TB -130 to win 35
Filtered
none
5/2
noneComment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#160Why do we only use .500 filter after all star break? I think it would be better to use it before as well.Comment -
ejacksonSBR Rookie
- 10-07-09
- 24
#161NYM play only two games against CHW.Comment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#162Originally posted by ejacksonNYM play only two games against CHW.Comment -
on3SBR MVP
- 08-23-10
- 2197
#163Thanks for catching the NYM series. I adjusted it in the post. I myself played it, but obviously it was in error. I apologize. Hopefully they cash today anyway.Comment -
on3SBR MVP
- 08-23-10
- 2197
#164Originally posted by J.M. DiscipleWhy do we only use .500 filter after all star break? I think it would be better to use it before as well.Comment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#165lets hope for a nice C bet win... at least it was RL on A. Pretty impressive how you managed the labby so far this season, not being greedy keeping the bets small and unit count is almost same as win count. Very nicely done.
So mets won, but I took RLTook all the games RL actually. Just hoping labby works wonders...
Comment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#166the two C bets on BoS and TB look good tomorrow.
Good Night, hopefully have 3-4 plays tomorrow clear these lines. Other system I am on is on TB also, so looks promising.Comment -
on3SBR MVP
- 08-23-10
- 2197
#167UPDATED for 5/8/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 38-2-0; Profit: +34.75 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units)
Filtered System: 3-0-0; Profit: +3 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 27-15; 3-0
Game 2 (B) win = 10-5; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 1-2; 0-0; 0-0
LABBY LINES FOR 5/8/2013
10-10-10-15
30-34-23-25
10-10-35-37
Filtered
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10
REGULAR FOR 5/8/2013
(C) BOS -172 to win 45
(C) TB -176 to win 47
Filtered
none
5/2
noneComment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#168What a 1st inning for both games.
sorry I can not give points, keeps taking me back to top of page. I know others have had same problem for a while as well.
HELP?Comment -
Want2WinSBR Sharp
- 09-30-09
- 440
#169Originally posted by J.M. DiscipleWhat a 1st inning for both games.
sorry I can not give points, keeps taking me back to top of page. I know others have had same problem for a while as well.
HELP?Comment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#170LoL so i can give points through my phone it seems.... doesn't appear to be sbr problem, but maybe mozilla ? Maybe type or browser were using....Comment -
Want2WinSBR Sharp
- 09-30-09
- 440
#171I do use Mozilla..
thanks for the point! LOLComment -
on3SBR MVP
- 08-23-10
- 2197
#172sorry for the late post today
no plays today, BOS was a (C) bet lossComment -
on3SBR MVP
- 08-23-10
- 2197
#173UPDATED for 5/10/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 39-3-0; Profit: +29.25 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units)
Filtered System: 3-0-0; Profit: +3 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 27-15; 3-0
Game 2 (B) win = 10-5; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 2-3; 0-0; 0-0
LABBY LINES FOR 5/10/2013
32-30-35-35
10-14-23-25
x-10-35-30
Filtered
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10
REGULAR FOR 5/10/2013
(A) STL -159 to win 32
(A) DET -195/+105 bet 35 -- play RL
(A) BOS -205/+100 to win 35 -- play RL
(A) TB -170 to win 30
fringe play CIN (must be over -145)
Filtered
(A) BOS -205/+100 to win 20 -- play RL
5/2
noneComment -
sportscreep1SBR Sharp
- 03-02-10
- 292
#174Here we go with Boston again....
Better come thru this time....Comment -
J.M. DiscipleSBR Hall of Famer
- 11-16-10
- 5154
#175Originally posted by sportscreep1Here we go with Boston again....
Better come thru this time....
Systems like these need to be blind investment and just follow the numbers and think of the teams as just serial numbers or x and Y.
Anyways GOod luck
With that said, why is DET such a big favorite? CLE is a straight beast of a team the last 10 and not like they have huge pitching mismatch today either. Might have to apply a personal .500 filter on this series.
Just a little added incentive; last time BOS played TOR with Lester on the mount they won 13-0!Comment
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