on3's MLB 2013 Opening Day System Thread

[J.M. Disciple]

I think it's up to each individual whether to take the RL or ML. I mean On3 have stated that the C bet have been succesfully on the RL, if the team you're betting on is a -190 or higher, favorite. He uses 5Dimes closing lines for this system. But don't take my word on it, it's just what I mean have been said in the past.

Wasn't sure how loose with the rules of the system he was. I know labby interpretation is loose in order to be consistent and keep the bets small. Just so many others make a big fuss about closing line and a small ruling. Between -188 and -192 is not a big difference; just wanted to clarify. Glad RL paid off for me.

Just wanted to know for future reference incase there is a bet to win 5 unit bet and we have to either risk close to 10 units or 5 units, than it becomes a bigger question.

[on3]

Wasn't sure how loose with the rules of the system he was. I know labby interpretation is loose in order to be consistent and keep the bets small. Just so many others make a big fuss about closing line and a small ruling. Between -188 and -192 is not a big difference; just wanted to clarify. Glad RL paid off for me.

Just wanted to know for future reference incase there is a bet to win 5 unit bet and we have to either risk close to 10 units or 5 units, than it becomes a bigger question.

Glad it paid off for you bud. As far as interpretation goes, I will ALWAYS lean to being conservative in relation to where we are in the chase. Example: a 1 unit (A) bet line is -188, play the ML, the risk is less than 2 units. Now if it is a (C) bet line is -188 and the question is bet 8 to win 4 or 4.4 to win 4, I will bet the RL. With the labby, a loss isn't a big deal because we get it back. Losing 8 units though, that should be tough to swallow for anyone.

[on3]

Another good week in the books. The 5/2 came alive and got us all feeling pretty good. The system is now up over 80 UNITS, and, for the most part, without ever risking for than 6 units. Simply amazing this year.

UPDATED for 6/10/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 67-4-0; Profit: +62.75 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units, LAA 7 units)
Filtered System: 9-0-0; Profit: +9 units
5/2 chase: 2-0-0; profit: +10 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 49-22; 7-2
Game 2 (B) win = 15-7; 2-0; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 3-4; 0-0; 0-0

LABBY LINES FOR 6/10/2013
10-18-10-17
10-10-10-10
20-20-x-x

Filtered
10-10-30-20
x-x-15-x
10-10-10-10

REGULAR FOR 6/10/2013
(A) LAD -181 to win 28
(A) SEA -235/-105 to win 27 -- play RL

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[on3]

I am hijacking my own thread to make this important announcement, I will be out of town from June 23 through June 27th. I need someone to post the plays. Please let me know if you can run the thread for a week.

Also, I will be in Vegas June 28th to June 30th so if anyone wants to buy me a drink, feel free to message me.

Cheers fellas.

[ejackson]

TEX -142 at the moment.

[sportscreep1]

I am hijacking my own thread to make this important announcement, I will be out of town from June 23 through June 27th. I need someone to post the plays. Please let me know if you can run the thread for a week.

Also, I will be in Vegas June 28th to June 30th so if anyone wants to buy me a drink, feel free to message me.

Cheers fellas.

i will be in Vegas June 27 to June 30th. Staying at Caesars. Should def try to meet up for a drink! Thanks for your hard work and posting on a daily basis!

[J.M. Disciple]

Last year we had different #s on our bets when I ran it. I averaged out the lines where you create different #s. I could run it my way with averaging out the #s so I am not the one deciding which A bet gets bigger bets. I just prefer to average out the lines. We have some time before you leave town, but i am willing to help at least post the plays and let people decide how much to bet until you get back.

Welcome someone else to step up to the plate over me since I am still questioning some of the plays. Dont want to argue with anyone about RL or ML as a play. Cause if i post it as ML and it changes to RL but I would steal clear the #s as the play was posted ML.

[Mrscofield25]

Deleted.

[on3]

Last year we had different #s on our bets when I ran it. I averaged out the lines where you create different #s. I could run it my way with averaging out the #s so I am not the one deciding which A bet gets bigger bets. I just prefer to average out the lines. We have some time before you leave town, but i am willing to help at least post the plays and let people decide how much to bet until you get back.

Welcome someone else to step up to the plate over me since I am still questioning some of the plays. Dont want to argue with anyone about RL or ML as a play. Cause if i post it as ML and it changes to RL but I would steal clear the #s as the play was posted ML.

You can run it however it is comfortable for you. If you want to have everything on one line, thats fine. I think most followers care about the plays and the amounts to bet. Just update the A, B, C record and remember to only bank losses when a series loses instead of updating it every day. If that works with you, that would be great. Thank you for helping out.

[on3]

UPDATED for 6/11/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 67-4-0; Profit: +62.75 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units, LAA 7 units)
Filtered System: 9-0-0; Profit: +9 units
5/2 chase: 2-0-0; profit: +10 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 49-24; 7-2
Game 2 (B) win = 15-7; 2-0; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 3-4; 0-0; 0-0

LABBY LINES FOR 6/11/2013
10-18-35-31
10-15-24-31
20-20-x-x

Filtered
10-10-25-25
x-x-15-x
10-10-10-10

REGULAR FOR 6/11/2013
(B) LAD -134 to win 41
(B) SEA -163 to win 39
(A) COL -146 to win 41 (if line drops below -145, no play)

Filtered
(A) COL -146 to win 35 (if line drops below -145, no play)

5/2
none

[J.M. Disciple]

very nice sweep again. Just one fantastic year for this system and Kudos to you on3 for keeping bets small. As many units as series is really impressive. Hopefully this year people see the brilliance of a well disciplined conservative labby method. Last year was just whatever... Maybe create a future rule on stop losses for this system... Or just advise like .25% as a unit size. I am sure last year could of turned around with a small enough unit size. Anyways great night for everyone. I hope who ever you meet in vegas buys you a couple of drinks.

[on3]

UPDATED for 6/12/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 70-4-0; Profit: +68.75 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units, LAA 7 units)
Filtered System: 10-0-0; Profit: +10 units
5/2 chase: 2-0-0; profit: +10 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 50-24; 8-2
Game 2 (B) win = 17-7; 2-0; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 3-4; 0-0; 0-0

LABBY LINES FOR 6/12/2013
10-18-15-10
10-10-10-10
15-15-15-15

Filtered
x-10-25-x
x-x-15-x
10-10-10-10

REGULAR FOR 6/12/2013
none

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[hagball52]

I am hijacking my own thread to make this important announcement, I will be out of town from June 23 through June 27th. I need someone to post the plays. Please let me know if you can run the thread for a week.

Also, I will be in Vegas June 28th to June 30th so if anyone wants to buy me a drink, feel free to message me.

Cheers fellas.

My daughter is a lifeguard at Ceasar's. I'll PM you my phone #. If you get time give me a call and I'll come down and have a cocktail with you on Sat. night.

[J.M. Disciple]

might not be able to run the thread when your out of town. Work is a little hectic right now and hard to post consistently in mornings. best if someone else stepped up.

[on3]

UPDATED for 6/13/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 70-4-0; Profit: +68.75 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units, LAA 7 units)
Filtered System: 10-0-0; Profit: +10 units
5/2 chase: 2-0-0; profit: +10 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 50-24; 8-2
Game 2 (B) win = 17-7; 2-0; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 3-4; 0-0; 0-0

LABBY LINES FOR 6/13/2013
10-18-10-15
10-10-10-10
15-15-15-15

Filtered
x-10-25-x
x-x-15-x
10-10-10-10

REGULAR FOR 6/13/2013
(A) TEX -195/+100 to win 25 -- play RL

Filtered
(A) TEX -195/+100 to win 35 -- play RL *o/u line has to stay at 9 or higher, otherwise no play

5/2
none

[J.M. Disciple]

Dont like how tex is favored again tomorrow vs tor. I dont understand why they are favored with worse pitcher on the mound.

[on3]

UPDATED for 6/14/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 70-4-0; Profit: +68.75 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units, LAA 7 units)
Filtered System: 10-0-0; Profit: +10 units
5/2 chase: 2-0-0; profit: +10 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 50-25; 8-3
Game 2 (B) win = 17-7; 2-0; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 3-4; 0-0; 0-0

LABBY LINES FOR 6/14/2013
x-20-23-22
10-10-10-23
15-15-15-15

Filtered
x-10-25-10
x-x-15-25
10-10-10-10

REGULAR FOR 6/14/2013
(B) TEX -135 to win 33
(A) PIT -160 to win 22
(A) TB -165 to win 23
(A) OAK -185 to win 20
*CLE, LAA, CIN on the fringe (if they settle within range, they will be plays bet to win 20)

Filtered
(B) TEX -135 to win 40

5/2
(A) TEX -135 to win 100

[Coach Potato]

anyone got a link to last years thread?

[J.M. Disciple]

anyone got a link to last years thread?

http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-betting/1641805-on3s-mlb-2012-opening-game-system-thread-194-8-last-year-60-units.html

Here you go boss.

[sportscreep1]

UPDATED for 6/14/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 70-4-0; Profit: +68.75 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units, LAA 7 units)
Filtered System: 10-0-0; Profit: +10 units
5/2 chase: 2-0-0; profit: +10 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 50-25; 8-3
Game 2 (B) win = 17-7; 2-0; 2-0
Game 3 (C) win = 3-4; 0-0; 0-0

LABBY LINES FOR 6/14/2013
x-20-23-22
10-10-10-23
15-15-15-15

Filtered
x-10-25-10
x-x-15-25
10-10-10-10

REGULAR FOR 6/14/2013
(B) TEX -135 to win 33
(A) PIT -160 to win 22
(A) TB -165 to win 23
(A) OAK -185 to win 20
*CLE, LAA, CIN on the fringe (if they settle within range, they will be plays bet to win 20)

Filtered
(B) TEX -135 to win 40
(A) TEX -135 to win 100

5/2

TB is on 2nd game of series, how are they play today? Thought it was only based off 1st game of series prices??
also, points for anyone explain me 5/2 method again.

[J.M. Disciple]

[/B]5/2

TB is on 2nd game of series, how are they play today? Thought it was only based off 1st game of series prices??
also, points for anyone explain me 5/2 method again.

nice catch on TB. Here is link to 5/2 explained posted in this thread post #16 page 1.

5/2 instructions are here for anyone interested

[on3]

my mistake on the TB play, i didnt catch that. also, LAA was a series play, but i didnt post the update, hope everyone played it. im not counting either play in the count.

UPDATED for 6/15/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 71-4-0; Profit: +69.75 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units, LAA 7 units)
Filtered System: 10-0-0; Profit: +10 units
5/2 chase: 2-0-0; profit: +10 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 51-26; 8-3
Game 2 (B) win = 17-8; 2-1; 2-1
Game 3 (C) win = 3-4; 0-0; 0-0

LABBY LINES FOR 6/15/2013
20-20-23-22
22-15-22-18
15-15-15-30

Filtered
x-10-25-10
x-27-15-25
10-10-10-37

REGULAR FOR 6/15/2013
(C) TEX -123 to win 45
(B) OAK -113 to win 40

Filtered
(C) TEX -123 to win 47

5/2
(A) TEX -123 to win 175

[J.M. Disciple]

Actually went to the A's game today. Seemed like they had no spirit going against Sea today. Weather was a little cold, but nothing too bad. Very surprised sea didn't win by more. They had couple players stranded on base a few times.

[on3]

(C) OAK -128 to win 65

Will do a full post later.

[Mr. Green]

(C) OAK -128 to win 65

Will do a full post later.

Is TX a 5/2 play?

[analyzer]

Mr. Green - no 5/2 on TEX b/c we have already played the 5 and the 2 so the bet is over and it's an overall loss for us.

[Mr. Green]

Mr. Green - no 5/2 on TEX b/c we have already played the 5 and the 2 so the bet is over and it's an overall loss for us.

Ok thanks for your response

[analyzer]

Yesterday's TEX 5/2 was actually the (b) bet there (I see now it's listed as A but the A bet was on the 14th). We are still done with it but I do see now why you may have raised the question.

[on3]

UPDATED for 6/17/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 72-5-0; Profit: +66.75 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units, LAA 7 units, TEX 6.25 units)
Filtered System: 10-1-0; Profit: +10 units
5/2 chase: 2-1-0; profit: -7.5 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 51-26; 8-3
Game 2 (B) win = 17-9; 2-1; 2-1
Game 3 (C) win = 4-5; 0-1; 0-1

LABBY LINES FOR 6/17/2013
25-25-25-25-25-25
22-30-22-18
x-x-20-x

Filtered
30-30-17-x
x-27-15-25
10-35-10-37

REGULAR FOR 6/17/2013
(A) STL -192/+110 bet 25 -- play RL
(A) ATL -190/+115 bet 25 -- play RL
(A) ARI -210/+100 to win 25 -- play RL
(A) DET -182 to win 25
(A) LAA -161 to win 25
(A) TOR -155 to win 25

Filtered
(A) DET -182 to win 30 *if o/u stays at 9, it is a play
(A) TOR -155 to win 30 *if o/u stays at 9, it is a play

5/2
none

[J.M. Disciple]

Fantastic Action. TDK took like 10-15% off my roll this weekend. System sucks with the labby. Gotta rely solely on this system now for recovery. Bad week last week for systems towards the end. Basically even on last week, but weekend hurt.

Sorry wont let me give you points today on3. Keeps jumping to top of page again. Completely random as I gave you points all last week. Thanks for posting.

[Want2Win]

JM ... if you figure out why it jumps to top of page when trying to give points, LMK. I haven't been able to give points for over a month because of that problem

[J.M. Disciple]

JM ... if you figure out why it jumps to top of page when trying to give points, LMK. I haven't been able to give points for over a month because of that problem

No idea why and we are not the only ones. Others have the same problem and they notified tech support and have not figured it out either. Some times it will work on my phone but not on a desktop. Who knows.

Are you all playing all 3 systems regular, filtered, and 5/2? Just seems like too many units riding on the same game playing it that way. I have just been playing regular, but I am considering being greedy and playing filtered with it for double profit.

Thoughts?

[on3]

4 wins yesterday and an early game today. TOR was filtered, DET was not. If ATL loses the (B) game in the AM, the (C) game will be game 2 later today, so watch for the update.

UPDATED for 6/18/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 76-5-0; Profit: +71.75 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units, LAA 7 units, TEX 6.25 units)
Filtered System: 11-1-0; Profit: +4 units (Recoverable losses: TEX 7 units)
5/2 chase: 2-1-0; profit: -7.5 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 55-28; 9-3
Game 2 (B) win = 17-9; 2-1; 2-1
Game 3 (C) win = 4-5; 0-1; 0-1

LABBY LINES FOR 6/18/2013
25-25-12-12
22-30-35-31
x-x-20-x

Filtered
30-10-17-x
x-27-15-25
10-35-10-37

REGULAR FOR 6/18/2013
(B) ATL -108 to win 53
(B) ARI -179 to win 35

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[analyzer]

Thanks for the update on3!

[analyzer]

ARI is also a (b) today I believe.