on3's MLB 2013 Opening Day System Thread

**alansmith23** · 07-25-13, 02:59 PM

is TOR not a play?

**on3** · 07-26-13, 11:07 AM

UPDATED for 7/26/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 117-9-0; Profit: +98 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units, LAA 7 units, TEX 6.25 units, ATL 7 units, LAA 9.5 units, WAS 8.75, LAA 9 units)

Filtered System: 23-1-0; Profit: +16.5 units*corrected the unit count (Recoverable losses: TEX 7 units)

5/2 chase: 6-1-0; profit: +3.5 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 81-45; 17-7
Game 2 (B) win = 26-18; 3-4; 3-4
Game 3 (C) win = 10-8; 3-1; 3-1

LABBY LINES FOR 7/26/2013
40-40-40-x
46-46-46-46
56-x-40-60

Filtered
20-20-29-25
27-26-26-27
x-x-x-25

REGULAR FOR 7/26/2013
(A) WAS -235/+100 to win 40 -- play RL EARLY GAME, Game 2 is later today if Game 1 loses
(A) DET -158 to win 40
(A) SF -161 to win 40

Filtered
none

5/2
none

**on3** · 07-26-13, 03:10 PM

man, WAS is so inconsistent. looks like:

(B) WAS +116 bet 51

**on3** · 07-27-13, 02:57 PM

UPDATED for 7/27/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 119-9-0; Profit: +102.5 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units, LAA 7 units, TEX 6.25 units, ATL 7 units, LAA 9.5 units, WAS 8.75, LAA 9 units)

Filtered System: 23-1-0; Profit: +16.5 units*corrected the unit count (Recoverable losses: TEX 7 units)

5/2 chase: 6-1-0; profit: +3.5 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 82-47; 17-7
Game 2 (B) win = 27-18; 3-4; 3-4
Game 3 (C) win = 10-8; 3-1; 3-1

LABBY LINES FOR 7/27/2013
40-40-32-20
43-43-43-57
56-x-40-60

Filtered
20-20-29-25
27-26-26-27
x-x-x-25

REGULAR FOR 7/27/2013
(B) SF -230/-105 to win 57 -- play RL

Filtered
none

5/2
none

**on3** · 07-28-13, 11:52 AM

Short post

(C) SF -145 to win 75

**on3** · 07-29-13, 12:55 PM

looks like we have to scale it back a little bit, im going to reduce the units bet until we get some traction.

UPDATED for 7/28/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 119-10-0; Profit: +91 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units, LAA 7 units, TEX 6.25 units, ATL 7 units, LAA 9.5 units, WAS 8.75, LAA 9 units, SF 11.5 units)

Filtered System: 23-1-0; Profit: +16.5 units*corrected the unit count (Recoverable losses: TEX 7 units)

5/2 chase: 6-1-0; profit: +3.5 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 82-47; 17-7
Game 2 (B) win = 27-19; 3-4; 3-4
Game 3 (C) win = 10-9; 3-1; 3-1

LABBY LINES FOR 7/28/2013
25-25-28-28-20-20-20-20
33-33-33-37-20-20-20-20
41-34-30-55-20-20-20-20

Filtered
20-20-29-25
27-26-26-27
x-x-x-25

REGULAR FOR 7/28/2013
(A) CLE -161 to win 28
(A) OAK -159 to win 28
PIT fringe, will update later

Filtered
none

5/2
none

**on3** · 07-30-13, 12:36 PM

Guys, I'm having trouble updating the post on my computer. Browser is acting up, so I will update on mobile.

today's plays
BAL -250/-120 to win 25, play RL
TB -159 to win 20
BOS -183 to win 20
LAD -165 to win 20

All (A) bets

**ken23lau** · 07-30-13, 02:11 PM

Boston is filtered too I believe?

**on3** · 07-30-13, 06:15 PM

(A) BOS filtered to win 25

**sportscreep1** · 07-30-13, 06:22 PM

How is TB and LAD play? Isn't it only 2 game series?

**on3** · 07-31-13, 11:40 AM

Originally posted by sportscreep1

How is TB and LAD play? Isn't it only 2 game series?

You are correct, those games were not official plays. I was having some computer issues and basically posted in haste. Fortunately, both those games won so everyone who played picked up a winner. Those games will not count as official wins.

I also wasn't able to post PIT on Monday 7/29, which was a play and won. That will count as an official win.

**on3** · 07-31-13, 11:45 AM

UPDATED for 7/31/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 123-10-0; Profit: +96 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units, LAA 7 units, TEX 6.25 units, ATL 7 units, LAA 9.5 units, WAS 8.75, LAA 9 units, SF 11.5 units)

Filtered System: 24-1-0; Profit: +17.75 units*corrected the unit count (Recoverable losses: TEX 7 units)

5/2 chase: 6-1-0; profit: +3.5 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 86-48; 18-7
Game 2 (B) win = 27-19; 3-4; 3-4
Game 3 (C) win = 10-9; 3-1; 3-1

LABBY LINES FOR 7/31/2013
25-25-25-25
37-28-28-38-25-25-25-25
41-34-30-55-20-20-20-20

Filtered
20-20-29-x
27-26-26-27
x-x-x-25

REGULAR FOR 7/31/2013
(B) BAL -218/-110 to win 38

Filtered
none

5/2
none

**on3** · 08-01-13, 12:10 PM

UPDATED for 8/1/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 123-10-0; Profit: +96 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units, LAA 7 units, TEX 6.25 units, ATL 7 units, LAA 9.5 units, WAS 8.75, LAA 9 units, SF 11.5 units)

Filtered System: 24-1-0; Profit: +17.75 units*corrected the unit count (Recoverable losses: TEX 7 units)

5/2 chase: 6-1-0; profit: +3.5 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 86-48; 18-7
Game 2 (B) win = 27-20; 3-4; 3-4
Game 3 (C) win = 10-9; 3-1; 3-1

LABBY LINES FOR 8/1/2013
25-25-25-25
37-28-28-38-30-30-30-30
46-34-30-50-25-25-25-25

Filtered
20-20-29-x
27-26-26-27
x-x-x-25

REGULAR FOR 8/1/2013
(C) BAL -245/-120 to win 46

Filtered
none

5/2
none

**on3** · 08-02-13, 11:10 AM

UPDATED for 8/1/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 124-10-0; Profit: +98.25 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units, LAA 7 units, TEX 6.25 units, ATL 7 units, LAA 9.5 units, WAS 8.75, LAA 9 units, SF 11.5 units)

Filtered System: 24-1-0; Profit: +17.75 units*corrected the unit count (Recoverable losses: TEX 7 units)

5/2 chase: 6-1-0; profit: +3.5 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 86-48; 18-7
Game 2 (B) win = 27-20; 3-4; 3-4
Game 3 (C) win = 11-9; 3-1; 3-1

LABBY LINES FOR 8/2/2013
30-30-30-30-30
32-28-28-33-25-25-30
34-30-50-25-25-25-25

Filtered
23-23-23-x
27-26-26-27
x-x-x-25

REGULAR FOR 8/2/2013 (must close -145 or higher)
(A) PIT -167 to win 30
(A) BAL -182 to win 30
(A) DET -235/-105 to win 30 -- play RL
(A) TB -153 to win 30
(A) BOS -190/+105 bet 30 -- play RL

Filtered (must close o/u 9 or higher)
(A) BAL -182 to win 23
(A) BOS -190/+105 bet 23 -- play RL

5/2
none

**ejackson** · 08-03-13, 10:52 AM

MIN g1 winner yesterday.

**sportscreep1** · 08-03-13, 11:06 AM

Originally posted by ejackson

MIN g1 winner yesterday.

Ya, but doesn't meet post All-Star break filters. Team has to be over .500 or .500 at home.

**on3** · 08-03-13, 12:59 PM

UPDATED for 8/3/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 125-10-0; Profit: +99.75 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units, LAA 7 units, TEX 6.25 units, ATL 7 units, LAA 9.5 units, WAS 8.75, LAA 9 units, SF 11.5 units)

Filtered System: 25-1-0; Profit: +18.75 units*corrected the unit count (Recoverable losses: TEX 7 units)

5/2 chase: 6-1-0; profit: +3.5 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 87-52; 19-8
Game 2 (B) win = 27-20; 3-4; 3-4
Game 3 (C) win = 11-9; 3-1; 3-1

LABBY LINES FOR 8/3/2013
35-35-35-45-45
40-40-41-40-40-41-37
34-30-50-25-25-25-25

Filtered
x-32-30-x
27-40-26-27
x-x-x-25

REGULAR FOR 8/3/2013 (must close -145 or higher)
(B) PIT -210/+110 bet 40 -- play RL
(B) DET -260/-120 to win 40 -- play RL
(B) TB -240/-105 to win 41 -- play RL
(B) BOS -147 to win 40

Filtered (must close o/u 9 or higher)
(B) BOS -147 to win 40

5/2
BOS -147 to win 100

**ejackson** · 08-03-13, 01:12 PM

Originally posted by sportscreep1

Ya, but doesn't meet post All-Star break filters. Team has to be over .500 or .500 at home.

My bad, totally forgot the filter thing.

**on3** · 08-04-13, 11:23 AM

Good day yesterday, today:

(C) TB -200/-110 to win 45 -- play RL

**on3** · 08-05-13, 12:21 PM

UPDATED for 8/5/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 128-11-0; Profit: +98.75 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units, LAA 7 units, TEX 6.25 units, ATL 7 units, LAA 9.5 units, WAS 8.75, LAA 9 units, SF 11.5 units, TB 7 units)

Filtered System: 26-1-0; Profit: +20.75 units (Recoverable losses: TEX 7 units)

5/2 chase: 7-1-0; profit: +8.5 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 87-52; 19-8
Game 2 (B) win = 30-21; 4-4; 4-4
Game 3 (C) win = 11-10; 3-1; 3-1

LABBY LINES FOR 8/5/2013
40-45-45-45-45
41-40-41-37-31
45-40-40-30-30-30-30

Filtered
x-32-30-x
27-x-26-27
x-x-x-25

REGULAR FOR 8/5/2013 (must close -145 or higher)
(A) KC -149 to win 45
(A) SF -154 to win 45

Filtered (must close o/u 9 or higher)
none

5/2
none

**on3** · 08-05-13, 12:34 PM

we have incurred 4 losses since the all-star break (about 3 weeks). thats HUGE for a chase system and would normally crush a bankroll. thankfully, the unit count (as of today), is +128 units with 41.10 units pending = +86.90 units. at the all-star break we were at +95.35 units, a difference of 8.45 units. not bad, all things considered.

**analyzer** · 08-05-13, 01:34 PM

I agree - the labby has been well managed and has limited our exposure.

**ken23lau** · 08-05-13, 03:43 PM

gotta watch KC to be filtered

**on3** · 08-06-13, 12:37 PM

UPDATED for 8/6/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 130-11-0; Profit: +103.25 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units, LAA 7 units, TEX 6.25 units, ATL 7 units, LAA 9.5 units, WAS 8.75, LAA 9 units, SF 11.5 units, TB 7 units)

Filtered System: 26-1-0; Profit: +20.75 units (Recoverable losses: TEX 7 units)

5/2 chase: 7-1-0; profit: +8.5 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 89-52; 19-8
Game 2 (B) win = 30-21; 4-4; 4-4
Game 3 (C) win = 11-10; 3-1; 3-1

LABBY LINES FOR 8/6/2013
44-43-43-x-x
41-40-41-37-31
45-40-40-30-30-30-30

Filtered
x-32-30-x
27-x-26-27
x-x-x-25

REGULAR FOR 8/6/2013 (must close -145 or higher)
(A) PIT -200/+110 bet 43
(A) STL +142/-125 to win 43 -- play RL (2nd game of 4 game series)

Filtered (must close o/u 9 or higher)
none

5/2
none

**alexknyc** · 08-06-13, 12:43 PM

Any reason why STL wasn't a play yesterday?

**J.M. Disciple** · 08-06-13, 03:40 PM

I think your right Alex. Should be a B bet today. -159 on covers yesterday and three game series.

**on3** · 08-06-13, 04:03 PM

STL should have been a play, i'll adjust the official post.

**sportscreep1** · 08-07-13, 09:50 AM

Shouldn't Pitt been RL play with -200 odds?

**on3** · 08-07-13, 12:25 PM

UPDATED for 8/7/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 131-11-0; Profit: +105.25 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units, LAA 7 units, TEX 6.25 units, ATL 7 units, LAA 9.5 units, WAS 8.75, LAA 9 units, SF 11.5 units, TB 7 units)

Filtered System: 26-1-0; Profit: +20.75 units (Recoverable losses: TEX 7 units)

5/2 chase: 7-1-0; profit: +8.5 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 90-53; 19-8
Game 2 (B) win = 30-21; 4-4; 4-4
Game 3 (C) win = 11-10; 3-1; 3-1

LABBY LINES FOR 8/7/2013
44-43-23-x-x
41-40-41-47-41
45-40-40-30-30-30-30

Filtered
x-32-30-x
27-x-26-27
x-x-x-25

REGULAR FOR 8/7/2013 (must close -145 or higher)
(B) PIT -200/+110 bet 47 -- play RL (if you played ML last night, your series is over)

Filtered (must close o/u 9 or higher)
none

5/2
none

**J.M. Disciple** · 08-07-13, 01:01 PM

Why is pit such a big favorite?

**alexknyc** · 08-07-13, 01:15 PM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

Why is pit such a big favorite?

Because they're the team with the best record in baseball going against one of the worst teams in baseball at home in Pittsburgh.

**J.M. Disciple** · 08-07-13, 02:11 PM

Originally posted by alexknyc

Because they're the team with the best record in baseball going against one of the worst teams in baseball at home in Pittsburgh.

Think a lot of the time its based on pitching matchup. also don't think pit has high powered offense like det stl or bos. Im on pit just don't see them as that heavy of a favorite based on last ten games both teams

**J.M. Disciple** · 08-07-13, 08:19 PM

Pit up 1 :-) hoping they can win by 2. Going double up with tex if pit doesn't cover. Had fresh labby line today so going play it aggressive starting with one.number.

You guys like tex tonight for two units if pit don't cover?

**on3** · 08-08-13, 11:46 AM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

Pit up 1 :-) hoping they can win by 2. Going double up with tex if pit doesn't cover. Had fresh labby line today so going play it aggressive starting with one.number.

You guys like tex tonight for two units if pit don't cover?

i wish i saw this last night. i went really big on TEX after a HUGE endorsement from prosknowsports (which is one of the best tout services i have ever come across). im glad PIT covered the RL.

**on3** · 08-08-13, 11:48 AM

UPDATED for 8/8/2013
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 132-11-0; Profit: +107.75 units (Recoverable losses: LAA 4.5 units, LAD 17.5 units, BOS 7.75 units, LAA 7 units, TEX 6.25 units, ATL 7 units, LAA 9.5 units, WAS 8.75, LAA 9 units, SF 11.5 units, TB 7 units)

Filtered System: 26-1-0; Profit: +20.75 units (Recoverable losses: TEX 7 units)

5/2 chase: 7-1-0; profit: +8.5 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 90-53; 19-8
Game 2 (B) win = 31-21; 4-4; 4-4
Game 3 (C) win = 11-10; 3-1; 3-1

LABBY LINES FOR 8/8/2013
37-36-37-x-x
41-40-41-x-37
45-40-40-30-30-30-30

Filtered
x-32-30-x
27-x-26-27
x-x-x-25

REGULAR FOR 8/8/2013 (must close -145 or higher)
none

Filtered (must close o/u 9 or higher)
none

5/2
none