John Morrison 2013-14 NBA Thread

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  • Kev the Brit
    SBR MVP
    • 10-25-09
    • 2027

    #596
    Morrison 11/24 Results & 11/25 Plays

    11/24 Results
    Legend: Series win Bet lost Series lost

    Currently Published Morrison System
    (3 point buy all bets)
    No plays

    Morrison 1-7-5 System
    (ATS all bets)
    No plays

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    11/25 Plays
    (All times EST)

    Currently Published Morrison System:
    #25. V2. 10.05 pm NYK: B Bet to win 1 unit plus lost A Bet amount
    #25a. V1. 10.05 pm NYK: A Bet to win 1 unit

    Morrison 1-7-5 System:
    #25. 10.05 pm NYK: B Bet to win 7 units plus lost A Bet amount

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Upcoming Plays (11/26)

    Currently Published Morrison System:
    #26. V1. 7.05 pm. L.A. Lakers: A Bet to win 1 unit
    #27. V3. 8.05 pm. Golden State Warriors: A Bet to win 1 unit

    Morrison 1-7-5 System:
    #26. 7.05 pm. L.A. Lakers: A Bet to win 1 unit
    #27. 8.05 pm. Golden State Warriors: A Bet to win 1 unit

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Results to Date (11/1 - 11/24)
    Completed Series

    Currently Published Morrison System total P/L so far: +10.02 units

    Morrison 1-7-5 System total P/L so far: +1.64 units


    Please refer to Post #532 for detailed stats for the period 11/1 - 11/19. Detailed stats for the season so far will be posted weekly on Sundays.
    Last edited by Kev the Brit; 11-25-13, 07:43 PM. Reason: Presentational: serial #s swapped on upcoming plays plus LATE ADDITION OF V1 A BET
    Comment
    • Kev the Brit
      SBR MVP
      • 10-25-09
      • 2027

      #597
      Morrison Results & Profit/Loss Statement to Date: 11/1 - 11/23

      MORRISON RESULTS & P/L FOR THE SEASON SO FAR: 11/1 - 11/23

      Currently Published Morrison System:
      3 point buy all bets @ odds -185/1.54

      V1
      Series scheduled: 9
      Series filtered out: 2 (#6 - worst road team, #24 - most eff player injured)
      Series complete = 7
      Series stopped: 1 (#15 stopped after A Bet - big fav lost)
      Completed series results:
      A: 4-3
      B: 1-1
      C: 1-0
      Unit P/L:
      6 wins = +6.00
      1 stop (A) = -1.85
      series loss = 0
      V1 Total P/L = +4.15 units

      V2
      Series scheduled: 3
      Series filtered out: 0
      Series complete: 2 (plus 1 in progress)
      Series stopped: 0
      Completed series results:
      A: 1-1
      B: 1-0
      C: 0-0
      Unit P/L:
      2 wins = +2.00
      0 stop
      series loss = 0
      V2 Total P/L = +2.00 units

      V3
      Series scheduled: 13
      Series filtered out: 1 (#21 - worst road team)
      Series complete: 12
      Series stopped: 1 (#10 stopped after B Bet - big fav lost)
      Completed series results:
      A: 6-6
      B: 4-2
      C: 1-0
      Unit P/L:
      11 wins = +11.00
      1 stop (B) = -7.13
      series loss = 0
      V3 Total P/L = +3.87 units

      All Versions Summary
      Series scheduled: 25
      Series filtered out: 3 (see above for details)
      Series complete: 21 (plus 1 in progress)
      Series stopped: 2 (see above for details)
      Completed series results:
      A: 11-10
      B: 6-3
      C: 2-0
      Unit P/L:
      19 wins = +19.00
      2 stops (1 after A Bet @ -1.85, & 1 after B Bet @ -7.13) = -8.98
      series lost = 0

      Currently Published Morrison System Total P/L so far, for the period 11/1 to 11/23: +10.02 units

      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Morrison 1-7-5 System
      All bets ATS @ odds -110/1.91

      Series scheduled: 25
      Series complete: 24 (plus 1 in progress)
      Series stopped: 6 after A Bet (narrowly lost)
      Completed series results:
      A: 8-15-1 (6 series stopped after A Bet, incl 1 series pushed out). 8 series wins @ 1 unit = +8.00 units; 5 series lost @ 1.10 units = -5.50 units; 1 series pushed @ 0.00 units. A Bet sub total: +2.50 units
      B: 6-4 (+ 1 Bet to come). 6 series wins @ 7 units = B Bet sub total: +42.00 units
      C: 2-2. 2 series win @ 5 units = +10.00 units; 2 series lost @ 26.52 units = -53.04 units. C Bet sub total = -43.04 units
      Unit P/L:
      A Bets: +2.50
      B Bets: +42.00
      C Bets: -43.04
      Morrison 1-7-5 System Total P/L so far, for the period 11/1 to 11/23: +1.46 units

      The next Morrison statement for the season so far will be posted on Sun 12/1
      Comment
      • Wallco99
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-01-11
        • 7261

        #598
        Wallco NBA Chase 110
        2013-14 System to Date: 7-0 (fin. series)
        System profit/loss: +7.00 units (fin. series)
        Current open series: 3 (-8.64 units)

        (11/24/13):
        #10 Brooklyn (M/L) (A) - Loss


        v1 Plays
        (A) 4-6
        (B) 2-3

        (C) 0-1
        (D) 1-0
        Losses: None



        Games for (11/25/13):
        #8 N.Y. Knicks (+7½) @ Portland (C) (10:05 pm EST)
        #9 Milwaukee (+7½) @ Detroit (C) (7:35 pm EST)
        #10 Resumes (B) on 11/26/13


        We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
        System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.

        Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.
        Last edited by Wallco99; 11-25-13, 10:38 AM.
        Comment
        • KennyM10
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 02-14-10
          • 788

          #599
          This got ugly really fast down units from this and I must have joined the hockey at wrong time too.
          Could someone please tell me what the risk is on these c games tonight. I have already had to send more money to overseas sharks to keep playing. Please help it seems deceiving to show up units when the system is down.
          Comment
          • BuckeyeKaptn
            SBR Sharp
            • 11-16-12
            • 271

            #600
            Originally posted by KennyM10
            This got ugly really fast down units from this and I must have joined the hockey at wrong time too.
            Could someone please tell me what the risk is on these c games tonight. I have already had to send more money to overseas sharks to keep playing. Please help it seems deceiving to show up units when the system is down.
            You'll need to learn bankroll management then. I don't play every game nor am I currently playing 7/5...more like 4/2...and I'm up on both. In fact, on Wallco's gold, I'm doing very well considering I started late and haven't played all games cause I can't get to a non work computer (it blocks out these sights).
            Comment
            • Kev the Brit
              SBR MVP
              • 10-25-09
              • 2027

              #601
              Originally posted by KennyM10
              This got ugly really fast down units from this and I must have joined the hockey at wrong time too.
              Could someone please tell me what the risk is on these c games tonight. I have already had to send more money to overseas sharks to keep playing. Please help it seems deceiving to show up units when the system is down.
              There's no deception here, Kenny. The Chase110 system is up 7 units. If you didn't play the D Bet, you will be down. I haven't got Wallco's historical stats to hand but, overall, I believe that his system has won more than 97% of the series, without any filters, since the inception of his back tests.

              So, we are now half way through 2 concurrent series. Statistically, I doubt that both will win tonight, but I am confident that one will do so. The remaining one will go to the final bet and most probably win. If 1 of the 2 series loses the D Bet, the total risk to our BRs from the outset of Chase110, taking into account the 8 units profit so far, will probably be 11 units, net. ie our Chase110 BRs will be -11 units down from the start of the season. You should allocate an independent BR to each system and the unit value for each system should be approx 1% of the allocated BR. I'm playing only 2 systems: Morrison 1-7-5 and Chase110, targeting 0.5% of my total BR on every series. I'm in profit by approx 8.5 units.
              Comment
              • Wallco99
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-01-11
                • 7261

                #602
                I have completed my 1-7-5 backtest. I will post results tonight.
                Comment
                • imotiv8
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 12-28-09
                  • 890

                  #603
                  why is Morrison calling tonights NY game a V1 A bet
                  Comment
                  • kdavis
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 02-01-09
                    • 365

                    #604
                    Originally posted by imotiv8
                    why is Morrison calling tonights NY game a V1 A bet
                    Because tonight's game is the first game played against an out of conference team. The first road game in this series was against the Wizards which is in the same conference as the Knicks. Just depends on how you play the system.
                    Comment
                    • Wallco99
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-01-11
                      • 7261

                      #605
                      Originally posted by kdavis
                      Because tonight's game is the first game played against an out of conference team. The first road game in this series was against the Wizards which is in the same conference as the Knicks. Just depends on how you play the system.
                      Damn. I put all of those bonus v1 plays on the schedule for the series that started in conference and lost. I must have missed that one.
                      Comment
                      • kdavis
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 02-01-09
                        • 365

                        #606
                        Wallco, in all of the backtesting you have done would you agree that the B games win the majority of the time and the A games come in second with the C games coming in last? If this is true, wouldn't it be more profitable to go 5-7-1 instead of 7-5-1? Not trying to start anything, just always looking for an edge. If you have already done the math on this and figured out that it is not more profitable I apologize. I don't want to clutter up the tread by opening up a whole new can of worms. Appreciate the hard work that you, The Limit and Kevin do here.
                        Comment
                        • KennyM10
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 02-14-10
                          • 788

                          #607
                          Guys I have to go all in on the 2 c games tonight because of massive losses from the system let's get this sh*t!
                          Comment
                          • KennyM10
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 02-14-10
                            • 788

                            #608
                            I cannot wait for the d or e games. I followed wallco two years ago when he lost over 100 units and failed to mention it the next year. He posted it around -110 units and acted like it was pretend.
                            Comment
                            • bonhammer
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 05-27-13
                              • 32

                              #609
                              Originally posted by Kev the Brit
                              There's no deception here, Kenny. The Chase110 system is up 7 units. If you didn't play the D Bet, you will be down. I haven't got Wallco's historical stats to hand but, overall, I believe that his system has won more than 97% of the series, without any filters, since the inception of his back tests.

                              So, we are now half way through 2 concurrent series. Statistically, I doubt that both will win tonight, but I am confident that one will do so. The remaining one will go to the final bet and most probably win. If 1 of the 2 series loses the D Bet, the total risk to our BRs from the outset of Chase110, taking into account the 8 units profit so far, will probably be 11 units, net. ie our Chase110 BRs will be -11 units down from the start of the season. You should allocate an independent BR to each system and the unit value for each system should be approx 1% of the allocated BR. I'm playing only 2 systems: Morrison 1-7-5 and Chase110, targeting 0.5% of my total BR on every series. I'm in profit by approx 8.5 units.
                              If you know the win percentage for each game and if the 3.5 point filter more profitable the percentage of games that you then play in B & C games. You can put them into a formula a optimize it for bet size and total risk you want per series.
                              Comment
                              • takethepnts
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-18-13
                                • 578

                                #610
                                Originally posted by KennyM10
                                I cannot wait for the d or e games. I followed wallco two years ago when he lost over 100 units and failed to mention it the next year. He posted it around -110 units and acted like it was pretend.
                                Wallco is here posting up a system and trying to assist people in making some sound funds . Everyone knows by now unless they've been living under a rock that there are seasons when these chase systems bomb ,,, Thats why Money management is sooo important ... use this as a guide , choose your spots , create your own filters , do what you have to do in order to turn a profit ... Last time i checked , No ones sending Wallco any $ for these systems , and he isnt twisting anyones arm to play it either ... It is what it is man ... Thanks for the Plays guys !
                                Comment
                                • KennyM10
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 02-14-10
                                  • 788

                                  #611
                                  Thanks guys if we lose these c games the d amount would be way to much. Wallco only cost me 2000 that year, but several lost it all and never came back so fingers crossed tonight for a lot of us. Great advice guys thanks.
                                  Comment
                                  • Wallco99
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-01-11
                                    • 7261

                                    #612
                                    Originally posted by kdavis
                                    Wallco, in all of the backtesting you have done would you agree that the B games win the majority of the time and the A games come in second with the C games coming in last? If this is true, wouldn't it be more profitable to go 5-7-1 instead of 7-5-1? Not trying to start anything, just always looking for an edge. If you have already done the math on this and figured out that it is not more profitable I apologize. I don't want to clutter up the tread by opening up a whole new can of worms. Appreciate the hard work that you, The Limit and Kevin do here.
                                    No, the total loss for the series would be too high that way, the 1-7-5 seems to be the best structure.
                                    Comment
                                    • Kev the Brit
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-25-09
                                      • 2027

                                      #613
                                      Late addition to tonight's (11/25) plays

                                      Hi everyone, Wallco and I overlooked NYK's qualification to play a V1 A Bet tonight. They played on the road within their own conference as a V2 A bet in their last game. Having lost that game by more than 3 points to the spread, they now qualify as a V1 bet on the road in their next 3 games out of conference.

                                      Fortunately, its not a serious error. If this post is not acted on, the player will either win only 1 unit tonight instead of 2, or he will not lose 1.85 units. Please accept my apologies, anyway.


                                      Kev
                                      Comment
                                      • BuckeyeKaptn
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 11-16-12
                                        • 271

                                        #614
                                        Originally posted by KennyM10
                                        Thanks guys if we lose these c games the d amount would be way to much. Wallco only cost me 2000 that year, but several lost it all and never came back so fingers crossed tonight for a lot of us. Great advice guys thanks.
                                        Wallco is being above it all, and I'm glad...however, I missed that a few years ago where he forced you, at gun point, to wager. It's a guide, like any other system. He backtested, 10 years?, of data. That's alot of work, I know. 10 years of backtesting with 100 units in the black each year does not mean the 11th year will be that way.
                                        If you don't have a spreadsheet going with all plays of all systems that you play and the knowledge that 3 weeks ago Detroit lost to Washington on a C bet and you lost 7 units (example), it's your own fault you have to keep sending money. I haven't sent money overseas for over a year and I have averaged 7 plays a day, from NBA to MLB to CFB/NFL back to NBA and NHL. I've doubled my bankroll.
                                        Comment
                                        • Kev the Brit
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-25-09
                                          • 2027

                                          #615
                                          Originally posted by KennyM10
                                          Guys I have to go all in on the 2 c games tonight because of massive losses from the system let's get this sh*t!
                                          good luck with that dude
                                          Comment
                                          • Kev the Brit
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-25-09
                                            • 2027

                                            #616
                                            Originally posted by kdavis
                                            Wallco, in all of the backtesting you have done would you agree that the B games win the majority of the time and the A games come in second with the C games coming in last? If this is true, wouldn't it be more profitable to go 5-7-1 instead of 7-5-1? Not trying to start anything, just always looking for an edge. If you have already done the math on this and figured out that it is not more profitable I apologize. I don't want to clutter up the tread by opening up a whole new can of worms. Appreciate the hard work that you, The Limit and Kevin do here.
                                            It has been proven through historical data that when point buying, the C Bet is most successful, then the B bet and then the A Bet. I think the numbers are: C 85%, B 70%, A 60%, thus providing an overall 97% success rate. I'll try to dig up the actual data tomorrow.
                                            Comment
                                            • Wallco99
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 01-01-11
                                              • 7261

                                              #617
                                              Sorry for the delay. I am having a lot of problems formatting this backtest on SBR page. I will post it first thing in the morning before the Chase 110 plays if I don't get it figured out tonight. Thanks.
                                              Comment
                                              • KennyM10
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 02-14-10
                                                • 788

                                                #618
                                                I was joking with all of you and wallco knew it, that is the reason he stayed out of it. I do not risk outrageous amounts and I would never be following this nonsense, but now the shoe goes on the other foot let me give all of you some advice. Two out of two c game losses OUCH. Of course a few will pretend they are playing a ton of units to win one on a D?
                                                Seriously? Fun night take care.
                                                Forgot to mention Kev the Brit poor bloke cannot even come close to posting the right plays, which will benefit all of you in the long run.
                                                Last edited by KennyM10; 11-26-13, 12:52 AM.
                                                Comment
                                                • Kev the Brit
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-25-09
                                                  • 2027

                                                  #619
                                                  Morrison 11/25 Results & 11/26 Plays

                                                  11/25 Results
                                                  Legend: Series win Bet lost Series lost

                                                  Currently Published Morrison System:
                                                  (3 point buy all bets)
                                                  #25. V2. 10.05 pm NYK: B Bet lost
                                                  #25a. V1. 10.05 pm NYK: A Bet lost

                                                  Morrison 1-7-5 System:
                                                  (ATS all bets)
                                                  #25. 10.05 pm NYK: B Bet lost

                                                  ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                                  11/26 Plays
                                                  (All times EST)

                                                  Currently Published Morrison System:
                                                  (3 point buy all bets)
                                                  #26. V1. 7.05 pm. L.A. Lakers: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                  #27. V3. 8.05 pm. Golden State Warriors: A Bet to win 1 unit

                                                  Morrison 1-7-5 System:
                                                  (ATS all bets)
                                                  #26. 7.05 pm. L.A. Lakers: A Bet to win 1 unit
                                                  #27. 8.05 pm. Golden State Warriors: A Bet to win 1 unit

                                                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                                  Upcoming Plays (11/27)
                                                  (All times EST)

                                                  Currently Published Morrison System:
                                                  #25. V2. 10.35 pm NYK: C Bet to win 1 unit plus lost A & B Bet amounts
                                                  #25a. V1. 10.35 pm NYK: B Bet to win 1 unit plus lost A Bet amount
                                                  Possible:
                                                  #26. V1. 7.35 pm. L.A. Lakers: B Bet to win 1 unit plus lost A Bet amount
                                                  #27. V3. 8.25 pm. Golden State Warriors: B Bet to win 1 unit plus lost A Bet amount

                                                  Morrison 1-7-5 System:
                                                  #25. 10.35 pm NYK: C Bet to win 5 units plus lost A & B Bet amounts
                                                  Possible:
                                                  #26. 7.35 pm. L.A. Lakers: B Bet to win 7 units plus lost A Bet amount
                                                  #27. 8.25 pm. Golden State Warriors: B Bet to win 7 units plus lost A Bet amount

                                                  --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                                                  Results to Date (11/1 - 11/24)
                                                  Completed Series

                                                  Currently Published Morrison System total P/L so far: +10.02 units

                                                  Morrison 1-7-5 System total P/L so far: +1.64 units


                                                  Please refer to Post #598 for detailed stats for the period 11/1 - 11/23. Detailed stats for the season so far will be posted weekly on Sundays.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • dlinx90
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 11-16-13
                                                    • 20

                                                    #620
                                                    Quite happy I bought an extra .5 points on the NYK game which made it NYK +11.5 .. made up for some blunders I made in hockey last night. Now that I won that NYK series I should just skip the rest of it right? I missed the A bet for the NYK out of conference series.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BCC585
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 04-27-11
                                                      • 603

                                                      #621
                                                      Originally posted by dlinx90
                                                      Quite happy I bought an extra .5 points on the NYK game which made it NYK +11.5 .. made up for some blunders I made in hockey last night. Now that I won that NYK series I should just skip the rest of it right? I missed the A bet for the NYK out of conference series.
                                                      Depends on the spread, They'll be playing at clippers so we'll be lucky if they even cover. The Knicks really need to get it together.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Kev the Brit
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-25-09
                                                        • 2027

                                                        #622
                                                        Originally posted by dlinx90
                                                        Quite happy I bought an extra .5 points on the NYK game which made it NYK +11.5 .. made up for some blunders I made in hockey last night. Now that I won that NYK series I should just skip the rest of it right? I missed the A bet for the NYK out of conference series.
                                                        Well, certainly the V2 series is over for you, and well done. Having missed the official V1 A Bet, you could consider playing the official B and C Bets as A and B Bets only and, in doing so, either reduce your overall risk for the series to win 1 unit or you could pretend that you bet (and lost) the A Bet and target 2.85 units. Your choice. You're up by 1 unit as a consequence of betting on NYK. Maybe its time to call it quits.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Wallco99
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-01-11
                                                          • 7261

                                                          #623
                                                          JM NBA bet strategy 10 year backtest

                                                          1-3-5 7/5 1-7-5 (Filters) 1-7-5 (No Filters)
                                                          Current Seas. +25.44 u -1.04 u +1.46 u +42.96 u
                                                          2012-13 +44.80 u -10.71 u +0.64 u +55.20 u
                                                          2011-12 +40.92 u +138.32 u +166.12 u +71.28 u
                                                          2010-11 +171.48 u +172.64 u +192.14 u +288.32 u
                                                          2009-10 +68.36 u +78.30 u +90.90 u +136.24 u
                                                          2008-09 +175.04 u +246.32 u +287.42 u +302.36 u
                                                          2007-08 +71.36 u +48.97 u +57.12 u +91.24 u
                                                          2006-07 +13.80 u +46.30 u +57.00 u +27.20 u
                                                          2005-06 -63.16 u -8.72 u -33.12 u -94.44 u
                                                          2004-05 +24.52 u +7.30 u +9.30 u +0.68 u
                                                          2003-04 +7.52 u +63.63 u +53.48 u +27.68 u
                                                          TOTALS +554.64 u +781.31 u +882.46 u +948.72 u
                                                          Last edited by Wallco99; 11-26-13, 10:06 AM.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Wallco99
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 01-01-11
                                                            • 7261

                                                            #624
                                                            Wallco 1-7-5 Bet Strategy For JM NBA (With NO (A) Bet Filters)

                                                            I have created the 1-7-5 strategy that I believe to be the most effective method at this time. As you can see, both 1-7-5 methods have outperformed the standard 7/5 and the 1-3-5 method. However, even though each 1-7-5 method has outperformed the other one 5 times each, the 1-7-5 with no filters appears to be stronger over the long haul, and highly more successful in recent history, including this current season to date as well. If you take away the current season, the two were pretty close, however the majority of the seasons that the filtered version did better was 8, 9 and 10 years ago. What really matters to me is recent performance, as well as longevity, and because 1-7-5 with no filters shows better results on both, I will be playing it this way all year.

                                                            My plays were based on the following criteria:
                                                            1. We will play all JM series, with no 3 ½ point (A) bet filter, until we win series or take a loss on (C) bet, with the exception of the following cases: We will play no series that begin in October, or if our (A) bet pushes ATS, the series is over at that point and we will not continue on to (B). Any other situation, we play all series out.
                                                            2. If our (B) or (C) bet pushes, we will play the next game in rotation as our (B) or (C) bet that pushed then finish out the series on the following bet if necessary. At times, this may require the (C) bet to be played during a home game after the road trip, but no negative results have become of this strategy in the 10 year test.
                                                            3. We will include ALL the JM v1 bonus plays which become official in any series that starts in-conference and finishes with at least three consecutive out of conference games, provided ALL the in-conference games were lost by more than 3 points ATS, as per JM rules in his .pdf.
                                                            4. WE WILL PLAY ALL GAMES ATS AND NEVER BUY POINTS OR PLAY THE M/L.
                                                            5. We are playing to WIN 1 unit profit on (A) bets, 7 units profit on (B) bets, and 5 units profit on (C) bets. So the (A) bet wager will be RISK 1.10 units to WIN 1 unit. The (B) bet wager will be RISK 8.91 units to WIN 8.10 units (which is the amount we lost in (A), -1.10 units plus the 7 units profit for a (B) bet wager). The (C) bet wager will be Risk 16.51 units to WIN 15.01 units (which is the amount we lost in (A), -1.10 units plus the amount we lost in (B), 8.91 units plus the 5 units profit for a (C) bet wager. A loss in this strategy will cost -26.52 unit
                                                            6. Covers.com was used for all backtest results and will be the official lines for this bet strategy.


                                                            *** Previous backtested results in NO WAY gaurantee the same future successful results.***

                                                            These are just past track records of how different bet strategies would have performed in previous NBA seasons. Any given strategy in any given year can outperform the others, so it is the individual bettor's responsibility to use the provided information as he/she sees fit to guide them when placing any/all wagers. I am not saying that everyone should play it this way, but I personally feel the 1-7-5 no filter strategy is the most lucrative method and I will be playing it myself.
                                                            Last edited by Wallco99; 11-26-13, 05:01 PM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Wallco99
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-01-11
                                                              • 7261

                                                              #625
                                                              Wallco NBA Chase 110
                                                              2013-14 System to Date: 7-0 (fin. series)
                                                              System profit/loss: +7.00 units (fin. series)
                                                              Current open series: 3 (-18.92 units)

                                                              (11/25/13):
                                                              #8 N.Y. Knicks (+7) (C) - Loss
                                                              #9 Milwaukee (+7) (C) - Loss


                                                              v1 Plays
                                                              (A) 4-6
                                                              (B) 2-3

                                                              (C) 0-3
                                                              (D) 1-0
                                                              Losses: None



                                                              Games for (11/26/13):
                                                              #8 Resumes (D) on 11/27/13
                                                              #9 Resumes (D) on 11/27/13
                                                              #10 Brooklyn (+7) @ Toronto (B) (7:05 pm EST)
                                                              #11 Golden State (M/L) @ New Orleans (A) (8:05 pm EST)


                                                              We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
                                                              System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.

                                                              Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Wallco99
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-01-11
                                                                • 7261

                                                                #626
                                                                Originally posted by dlinx90
                                                                Quite happy I bought an extra .5 points on the NYK game which made it NYK +11.5 .. made up for some blunders I made in hockey last night. Now that I won that NYK series I should just skip the rest of it right? I missed the A bet for the NYK out of conference series.
                                                                So you are saying you bought 4 1/2 points?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Andy3568
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 01-17-10
                                                                  • 615

                                                                  #627
                                                                  Originally posted by Wallco99
                                                                  So you are saying you bought 4 1/2 points?
                                                                  I saw the spread as +8 at some point. He could've bought 3 1/2 points.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Wallco99
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-01-11
                                                                    • 7261

                                                                    #628
                                                                    Originally posted by Andy3568
                                                                    I saw the spread as +8 at some point. He could've bought 3 1/2 points.
                                                                    Yesterday? I know on the 24th it was +8 but I thought the highest the line got yesterday was 7 1/2, and dropped to 7 pretty quick.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Andy3568
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-17-10
                                                                      • 615

                                                                      #629
                                                                      Bookmaker had it at +8. Of course, Bookmaker only allows you to buy 2 points, but if Bookmaker had it at +8, someone else probably did too.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Maxi_EV
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 05-11-10
                                                                        • 535

                                                                        #630
                                                                        Originally posted by Wallco99
                                                                        1-3-5 7/5 1-7-5 (Filters) 1-7-5 (No Filters)
                                                                        Current Seas. +25.44 u -1.04 u +1.46 u +42.96 u
                                                                        2012-13 +44.80 u -10.71 u +0.64 u +55.20 u
                                                                        2011-12 +40.92 u +138.32 u +166.12 u +71.28 u
                                                                        2010-11 +171.48 u +172.64 u +192.14 u +288.32 u
                                                                        2009-10 +68.36 u +78.30 u +90.90 u +136.24 u
                                                                        2008-09 +175.04 u +246.32 u +287.42 u +302.36 u
                                                                        2007-08 +71.36 u +48.97 u +57.12 u +91.24 u
                                                                        2006-07 +13.80 u +46.30 u +57.00 u +27.20 u
                                                                        2005-06 -63.16 u -8.72 u -33.12 u -94.44 u
                                                                        2004-05 +24.52 u +7.30 u +9.30 u +0.68 u
                                                                        2003-04 +7.52 u +63.63 u +53.48 u +27.68 u
                                                                        TOTALS +554.64 u +781.31 u +882.46 u +948.72 u
                                                                        Wow!

                                                                        great job. Thanks Wallco.

                                                                        do you have the average season record for 1-7-5 (no filters)?
                                                                        average series win - average series loss

                                                                        thanks
                                                                        Comment
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