🩸 Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira BMF Title Fight Odds & Info: UFC 326

UFC 326 is set for Saturday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, and while there isn't an official title on the line, the most unofficial title in all of sports is up for grabs: the BMF title. Max "Blessed" Holloway will put the strap on the line against Charles "Do Bronx" Oliveira as two of the most experienced fighters in the promotion clash for the second time in their storied careers.

We're having a look at the best Holloway vs. Oliveira odds and breaking down the fight as part of UFC 326 analysis. Holloway is a -220 moneyline betting favorite to retain the title according to the best UFC 326 odds, a number that carries an implied win probability of about 69%. 

The fight will headline the main card, which starts at 9 p.m. ET, all will stream exclusively on Paramount+. However, for the first time ever for a two-hour block between the end of the prelims (7 p.m. ET) and the start of the main card, select bouts will be shown on CBS.

🆚 Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira live odds

Here are the odds from our best UFC betting sites for Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira, which update in real time.

Moneyline analysis

Holloway is a -220 moneyline betting favorite at DraftKings, which carries a 68.75% implied win probability. That number indicates you would need to wager $22 to earn $10 in profit on a win. The comeback on Oliveira is +170, which implies a win probability of 37.04%. That means a winning $10 wager on the underdog would profit $17.

"Blessed" Holloway, the BMF title holder, is favored because of his elite takedown defense and his volume striking. That's a recipe for disaster for Oliveira, who has been a finish master throughout his career but has been known to get dropped when it comes to striking. 

While this is a fair price on the favorite, the better view here might be to consider while by KO/TKO/DQ, which pays +165. 

Total rounds analysis

The total rounds for this five-round bout are set at 3.5 and heavily juiced to the Under (-136) at FanDuel. With oddsmakers expecting this one not to go all the way, there's even more reason to lean toward Holloway by KO/TKO/DQ as mentioned above. 

Both men have plenty of finishes to their name, and who rarely play it safe. Oliveira has the most finishes in UFC history (21); while Holloway had a long stretch of title fights that went to decision, three of his last four bouts have ended in finishes. 

I'm not enamored with the price here for Under 3.5 rounds, and the "will the fight go the distance? no (-230)" is priced even steeper. I'll probably just hold up with the Holloway by KO/TKO/DQ.

Method of victory odds

Method of victory odds via bet365

Analysis: The odds clearly show that Holloway is more likely to win this fight by KO/TKO/DQ or decision than Oliveira by any method. Even Oliveira's submission fallback pays +900, a clear sign that Holloway's elite takedown defense and enormous 7.20 significant strikes per minute will come out on top.

The last time "Blessed" Max was submitted was in his 2012 UFC debut against Dustin Poirier at UFC 143; the last time Oliveira lost via KO/TKO was not even a year ago (June) at the hands of Ilia Topuria. 

He failed to win the lightweight strap in that bout, and he's going to fail to win the BMF title on Saturday.

⚖️ Holloway vs. Oliveira tale of the tape

📺 How to watch Holloway vs. Oliveira 2: UFC 326

• Date: Saturday, March 7
• Time: 9 p.m. ET (main card starts)
• Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas)
• Streaming: Paramount+