Sunderland vs. Newcastle Prediction & Odds: Premier League Betting Preview for Dec. 14

One of England’s fiercest rivalries will be renewed at the Stadium of Light on Saturday, as my Sunderland vs. Newcastle prediction breaks down the highly anticipated return of the Tyne-Wear derby.

Sunderland are higher in the standings, but Newcastle are the favorite to win on the road, with bookmakers setting the odds at +125 for a Magpies three-way moneyline win. But my best bets explain how the hosts can upset their neighbors and solidify their place in the top 10.

✅ Sunderland vs. Newcastle predictions

⚽ Sunderland vs. Newcastle best bet & score prediction

See all of our experts' soccer picks this week.

Under 2.5 total goals (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Almost a decade after their last Premier League meeting in 2016, Sunderland and Newcastle will renew their rivalry at the Stadium of Light in front of what’s sure to be a boisterous crowd.

While there should be a healthy dose of hard tackles, we’re expecting the scoring to be limited and for the game to finish with Under 2.5 total goals.

Physicality over skill

Sunderland are ahead of Newcastle in the table by a single point - a surprising fact considering that the Black Cats were promoted after last season while Newcastle have struggled despite Saudi Arabian owners investing heavily in the squad over the years.

However, Sunderland’s form has dipped recently after winning just one of their last six games. They scored just seven goals over that stretch while being held without a goal twice.

Newcastle are trending the other way, winning three of their last four Premier League matches. But, given that both teams will be desperate to avoid losing, we expect them to play cautiously Sunday in what should be a low-scoring affair.

A winning $10 bet on the game finishing Under 2.5 total goals nets a profit of $8.30 at Caesars.

Score prediction: Sunderland 1, Newcastle 1

🆚 Sunderland vs. Newcastle matchup to watch

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Dan Burn vs. Sunderland’s attack

From Sunderland’s Granit Xhaka to Newcastle's Joelinton, there are a handful of players who have a track record of poor discipline. But we’re putting our money on Dan Burn getting a yellow card Saturday.

The imposing Newcastle defender leads the team with five yellow cards and recently served a one-game ban in November for an accumulation of yellows.

But Burn is now free to play with his trademark aggression now that he has a clean sleight and there’s no threat of getting suspended for getting in the referee’s bad books. 

However, don’t be surprised if emotions get the best of Burn in a game that has a good chance of producing a red card.

Best prop bet: Dan Burn yellow card (+255 via DraftKings)

📊 Sunderland vs. Newcastle odds

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🌤️ Sunderland vs. Newcastle weather

Conditions are expected to be favorable Sunday at the Stadium of Light, with the temperature set to be as high as 55 degrees. It’ll be mostly cloudy with a 67% chance of light rain.

📺 How to watch Sunderland vs. Newcastle

• Date: Sunday, Dec. 14
• Kickoff: 9 a.m. ET
• Location: Stadium of Light (Sunderland)
• TV: USA Network