Romania vs. Netherlands Odds, Picks & Predictions: Romanian Party Ends in Munich on Day 19 of Euro 2024
It’s been 24 years since Romania reached the knockout rounds of a major tournament, as we offer our best Romania vs. Netherlands predictions based on the odds from our best soccer betting sites.
The Romanians surprised everyone by finishing first in Group E ahead of Belgium. Not since USA ’94 have they won a knockout game at Euros or the World Cup, when they defeated Argentina, 3-2, at the Rose Bowl.
The Tricolorii have won just one of their 14 matches against Netherlands in all competitions (D3 L10), losing their last four in a row. The Dutch have outscored Romania by a combined tally of 29-3 in the series.
Romania vs. Netherlands predictions for Tuesday
- Final score: Netherlands 2 – Romania 1 (+900 via bet365)
- Cody Gakpo anytime goal scorer (+175 via bet365)
- Best bet: Netherlands wins + Over 2.5 goals (+135 via DraftKings)
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Romania vs. Netherlands score prediction
Netherlands 2 vs. Romania 1
Romania needs to be better with the ball because their passing has been terrible. They had the worst passing accuracy of any team at the tournament during the group stage (74.7%), which works out that one in four of their passes have been wayward. At this level, that simply isn't good enough.
Netherlands’ 3-2 defeat to Austria in the final Group D match was their first group stage loss in 11 games. The Dutch have been a top-10 side for passing and scoring at this tournament. Compare that to Romania, which have won just one of their last six matches in all competitions, scoring five goals and conceding six in that run.
Netherlands have won three of their last six but failed to secure victory in the final two group games. They scored 13 goals and shipped six in that span of fixtures. If Romania continues to give the ball away, they could be picked apart and facing elimination.
At +900, bet365's odds imply a probability of 10%, and a $10 wager pays a profit of $90 if it hits according to our odds converter.
Best odds: +900 via bet365
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Romania vs. Netherlands anytime goal scorer prediction
Cody Gakpo, Netherlands
The Liverpool forward has scored half of Netherlands’ goals at this tournament. He already has two goals at Euro 2024 and could become the sixth Dutchman to score three or more in a single edition of the competition.
Gakpo had more touches inside the box than any other Dutch player in the group stage, which increases his chances of getting into scoring positions. He has operated effectively from the left wing and links up well with the team's forwards, and he could punish the Romanian defense if he intercepts one of their poor passes and counters them with his pace and guile.
At +175, bet365's odds represent an implied probability of 36.4%, and a $10 wager pays out $17.50.
Best odds: +175 via bet365
Romania vs. Netherlands best bet
Netherlands wins + Over 2.5 goals
This matchup may pit first-place Romania against third-place Netherlands, but both sides finished the group stage with four points. In that opening round, only Georgia (71) faced more shots among sides to qualify for the knockout stages than Romania (46). However, the average xG per shot faced by Romania was just 0.07, above only England (0.04) and Belgium (0.06) in the group stage.
Put another way, the average quality of the shots they faced was the third-lowest of any side. Netherlands were ahead for just 12 minutes and 27 seconds of matches in Group D. The Dutch team has the firepower to punish the Tricolorii, while the Romanians can expose the Oranje’s vulnerable defense.
This could be one of the most exciting games from the Round of 16. Netherlands have the superior quality and should come out on top. At +135, DraftKings’ odds represent a 42.6% win probability, and a $10 wager will pay a profit of $13.50 if it hits.
Best odds: +135 via DraftKings
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Romania vs. Netherlands game info
- When: Tuesday, July 2 at noon ET
- Where: Minuch Football Arena (Munich, Germany)
- How to watch: FS1, Fubo
- Favorite: Netherlands (-225 via Caesars)
Romania-Netherlands predictions made Sunday at 12:10 p.m. ET.
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