MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars Prediction: Wednesday's MLS Picks & Best Bets (July 29)

My MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars prediction breaks down what to expect on Wednesday in the MLS All Star game.
LAFC forward Son Heung-Min attacks as we make our best MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars prediction.
Pictured: LAFC forward Son Heung-Min attacks as we make our best MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars prediction. Photo by Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn Images
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As quickly as MLS action picked back up post-World Cup, we're having a little break for the All-Star game. My MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars prediction breaks down Wednesday's game with bragging rights (and little else) on the line. 

The MLS All-Stars are a +125 favorite on the 3-way moneyline, with the LIGA MX All-Stars clocking in at +165 and the draw at +310. Play from Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, N.C., is set for 8 p.m. ET, and will stream on Apple 

There are limited options for us to attack this game, but let's dig in and find our top bets.

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⚽ MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars predictions: Pick to win & player prop bets

See all of our experts' soccer picks.

💰 Best bets 📊 Best odds ⚖️ Wager (units)
MLS All-Stars draw no bet -135 via DraftKings 0.5u -> 0.37u
MLS All-Stars moneyline +125 via DraftKings 0.25u -> 0.31u
Heung-Min Son anytime goalscorer +120 via bet365 0.25u -> 0.3u

‼️ Will Messi play in the All-Star game?

No, Lionel Messi will not play in the All-Star game. Following his late run in the World Cup, the Argentine superstar won't participate, as was announced following the conclusion of the global spectacle.

He has no announced official timeline for his return, but he's expected back in early-to-mid August following a 21-day break after the World Cup.


⚽ Who will win MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars?

The MLS All-Stars always have a bit of a home-field advantage in the game against their southern neighbors, and have turned that into a 2-1-1 record (in 90 minutes, and 3-1 overall) over the four previous meetings. 

It feels like this year's team has the edge in attacking depth, having a solid mix of proven MLS stars and international talent, headlined by players like Heung-Min Son and Evander. Chemistry is always a bit of a toss-up for this type of game; the rosters haven't had much time to gel, and substitutions will come fast and furious. 

Score prediction: MLS All-Stars 2, LIGA MX All-Stars, 1

💵 My best bet: MLS All-Stars draw no bet (-135)

My biggest move on this game isn't an exciting one: it's protecting against one of the three possible outcomes. There is plenty of pride on the line; both sides will be looking for the win and attacking, but defending won't be at an all-time high, as players will look to stay healthy and safe for the remainder of their seasons.

Repeating what I said above, I back MLS as the stronger side with more depth and on its home turf. But this protects against a late equalizer or a cagier game than we're expecting. The lack of time for these players to work together and get in a flow, combined with expected heavy subs, makes it prudent to play a "draw no bet" ticket.


🦶 Who will score in MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars?

Heung-Min Son (+120)

This is a quarter-unit play, and even that I'm maybe not as comfortable with as I should be. I'm banking on Son to stay in for 60 minutes, hoping he doesn't get the hook at 30. He's the marquee name on the squad, will likely be involved early, and is one of the best pure finishers on either side of the field. Dean Smith will want to have his star shine early and get the home crowd involved early and heartily.

If this was a "sub on, play on" situation, like we often see with soccer, it's a no-brainer. But the uncertainty surrounding the playing time gives me some hesitation. Here's hoping we see at least the full first-half from the former Tottenham man. 

Best MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-stars goal scorer prediction: Heung-Min Son (+120)


🥅 Will both teams score in MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars?

I'm incredibly confident that both sides will score on Wednesday night. My projections have the game finishing between 3.2-3.5 goals (2-1, 2-2, 3-1 being frequent final scores), and with defense unlikely to be a top priority, both teams should have plenty of chances. Even with star defenders on the pitch, they won't be in sync with one another and won't be putting their bodies on the line to stop the other side from scoring. Even the Over 3.5 is listed as heavily as -275, and that's unlikely to be a one-sided affair.

However, the best sports betting sites are fully on board with BTTS - yes, and there's no value here. One of the better prices floating around is -600, and I think a fair price is in the -350 range (and even then I wouldn't see enough value to back it as an official play)

Both teams to score (BTTS) pick: Yes (-600 via bet365)


📊 MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars odds

We're tracking the latest MLS odds from DraftKings

Outcome Odds Implied probability Profit ($10 bet)
MLS All-Stars +125 44.44% $12.50
Draw +310 24.39% $31
Liga MX All-Stars +165 37.79% $16.50

📺 How to watch MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars

  • Date: Wednesday, July 29
  • Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
  • Location: Bank of America Stadium (Charlotte, N.C.)
  • TV: Apple TV