Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid Prediction: Picks & Odds for Sunday's La Liga Match
Real Madrid narrowly beat Elche earlier this week, but my Atletico Madrid vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is eyeing the visitors to get the better of their rivals in Sunday's clash.
The kickoff is scheduled for 10:15 a.m. ET at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano, with Los Blancos entering the Madrid derby as +100 moneyline favorites. You can watch this fixture on ESPN2.
⚽ Atlético Madrid vs. Real Madrid predictions & best bets
See our experts' soccer picks.
| 💰 Best bets | 📊 Best odds | ⚖️ Wager (units) |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid moneyline | +100 via DraftKings | 1.5 units to profit 1.5 units |
| Over 3.5 goals | +115 via DraftKings | 0.5 units to profit 0.58 units |
| Kylian Mbappe anytime goal | -130 via DraftKings | 1 unit to profit 0.77 units |
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Who will win Atlético Madrid vs. Real Madrid
Since a shock 1-0 defeat to Real Betis on September 4, Real Madrid has won three straight games across all competitions, scoring nine goals in the process. I expect them to come out on top here, but they've had shaky moments defensively, and it will be another high-scoring Madrid derby. The visitors will prevail by just one goal.
Score prediction: Real Madrid 3, Atletico Madrid 2
💰 Atlético Madrid vs. Real Madrid best bet
Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.
Real Madrid moneyline (+100)
Madrid won their last fixture against Atletico in May 3-2, and while this is a tough fixture to predict, I expect Los Blancos to escape with a narrow victory.
Jude Bellingham didn't start against Elche and only featured for the final 22 minutes, but Jose Mourinho has indicated the Englishman will be fully fit here for a massive clash. Bellingham is irreplaceable, and his ability to influence the game in a variety of ways, especially in the final third, will be key against Atletico.
The visitors also have more attacking threats to expose Atleti, and that will prove to be the difference.
🔥 More Atlético Madrid vs. Real Madrid expert picks
Kylian Mbappe anytime goal (-130)
Kylian Mbappe is firing on all cylinders to begin the La Liga campaign, already bagging seven goals in six league appearances. The Frenchman has scored in three straight outings across all competitions, including a brace against Rayo Vallecano on September 12.
Mbappe also has eight SOG during that span, and his form in the Madrid derby is impressive. He's netted twice in three La Liga outings against Real's city rivals.
With a league-best 13.33 touches in the opposition box per 90 minutes this term, Mbappe is a terrific pick to rattle the back of the net on Sunday.
⚖️ Atlético Madrid vs. Real Madrid key stats
| Stats | Atlético Madrid | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Record (domestic) | 4-1-1 | 5-0-1 |
| Recent form (all comps) | WLLWW | WLWWW |
| Goals for (LaLiga) | 14 | 17 |
| xG (domestic) | 9.65 | 18.46 |
| Goals against (domestic) | 6 | 6 |
| xGA (domestic) | 7.00 | 5.48 |
| Average possession (domestic) | 56.5% | 54.8% |
📊 Atlético Madrid vs. Real Madrid live odds
🆚 Atlético Madrid vs. Real Madrid projected lineups
Here are the projected lineups for Atlético Madrid vs. Real Madrid; subject to change:
| Atlético Madrid (4-4-2) | Real Madrid (4-2-3-1) |
|---|---|
| Oblak (GK) | Courtois (GK) |
| Llorente (D) | Dumfries (D) |
| Romero (D) | Konaté (D) |
| Le Normand (D) | Huijsen (D) |
| Grimaldo (D) | Cucurella (D) |
| Lee Kang-in (M) | Valverde (M) |
| Koke (M) | Tchouaméni (M) |
| Johnny Cardoso (M) | Güler (M) |
| Baena (M) | Bellingham (M) |
| Lookman (F) | Vinícius Jr. (F) |
| Jonathan David (F) | Mbappé (F) |
📺 How to watch Atlético Madrid vs. Real Madrid
- Date: Sunday, September 20
- Kickoff: 10:15 a.m. ET
- Location: Riyadh Air Metropolitano (Madrid)
- TV/Streaming: ESPN2
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