⚽ Liverpool vs. PSG Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tuesday's Champions League Match
The stage is set for another big European night at Anfield in Liverpool, England, as my Liverpool vs. PSG prediction analyzes Tuesday's Champions League quarterfinal second leg.
We're backing home betting favourite Liverpool (+140) to come out on top in a must-win game at home against a PSG side (+150) that won the first leg 2-0 in Paris last week.
My Champions League best bets highlight one PSG player to target for goals when the action starts at 3 p.m. ET on Peacock+.
⚽ Liverpool vs. PSG predictions
See our experts' soccer picks based on the latest Champions League odds:
| Predictions | Best odds | Bet size | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool ML | +140 via bet365 | 0.5 units -> 0.7 units | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over 2.5 | -235 via DraftKings | 0.5 units -> 0.2 units | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Florian Wirtz 1+ shot on target | -163 via bet365 | 2 units -> 1.2 units | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia anytime goal-scorer | +160 via bet365 | 0.5 -> 0.8 units | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: x.xx units | Max profit: x.xx units
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💰 Liverpool vs. PSG best bet
Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.
Liverpool moneyline (+140)
Six-time Champions League winners Liverpool have their work cut out for them at home. After losing the first leg 2-0 in Paris, Liverpool need to win by at least a three-goal margin to book a place in the Champions League semifinals.
Beating PSG's star-studded squad by three goals is a tall order, but it's not out of the realm of possibility. Especially at Anfield, where Liverpool have historically proved that they can't be counted out in the second-leg of a knockout tie.
We expect the Reds to open the match with high pressure and set the tone with the game's opening goal. But the damage done by PSG in the first leg will mean that Liverpool come up agonizingly short trying to overturn the first-leg deficit.
Score prediction: Liverpool 2, PSG 1 (PSG wins 3-2 on aggregate)
🔥 Best Liverpool vs. PSG prop bet
Florian Wirtz, 1+ shot on target (-163)
After registering three shots on target in his last two Champions League appearances, Florian Wirtz should be in a position to add another when Liverpool press up the pitch to try to cut into PSG's aggregate lead.
Wirtz will be relied on heavily to help dig Liverpool out of the mess created during last week's defeat to PSG. He's expected to be played centrally when coach Arne Slot experiments with Dominik Szoboszlai at right-back.
The German playmaker leads all Champions League players with the most open-play chances created (28) this season, but we're expecting Wirtz be more selfish and take matters into his own hands by testing PSG's goalkeeper at least once.
🙌 Best Liverpool vs. PSG goal-scorer prediction
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, PSG (+160)
Liverpool's advances into enemy territory could lead to disastrous results for the home side.
As Liverpool probes for cracks in PSG's defense, one of the world's most lethal finishers, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, will be ready to pounce on the first mistake.
Kvaratskhelia has scored the second-most Champions League knockout stage goals (11) since the start of last season.
Kvaratskhelia scored in the first leg, and is a great candidate to score again to become the first PSG player to score in five consecutive Champions Leagues contests. If there's any space left behind when Liverpool ventures up the field in search of a goal, expect Kvaratskhelia to take advantage and score his fifth Champions League goal of the season.
🚀 Liverpool vs. PSG same-game parlay
Liverpool's eagerness to score gives credence that Florian Wirtz can help the Red secure a second-leg victory at Anfield. However, we've included a Khvicha Kvaratskhelia anytime goal-scorer bet as cover for when Liverpool get caught committing too many players into the PSG end of the pitch.
💵 Liverpool vs. PSG SGP picks
- Liverpool ML (+140)
- Florian Wirtz, Over 0.5 shots on target (-163)
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, anytime goal-scorer (+160)
Best odds: +1400 via bet365 (1 unit -> 7 units)
⚖️ How I'm handicapping Liverpool vs. PSG
The Anfield factor tips the odds in Liverpool's favor to win over the course of 90 minutes, but it might not be enough to help Arne Slot's side overcome PSG and the 2-0 deficit from the first leg. Given that PSG can afford to lose by a single goal, Tuesday's visitors could employ a reserved approach to limit damage in hostile territory.
Meanwhile, Liverpool's odds could be boosted if they return to a standard defensive scheme, with four at the back, after their failed experiment with three defenders resulted in a loss last week.
Liverpool vs. PSG key stats
| Liverpool | PSG | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 24 | 36 |
| Goals against | 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target | 82 | 96 |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 |
📊 Liverpool vs. PSG odds
The odds suggest that Liverpool won't be able to mount a comeback and keep their Champions League campaign alive despite being the favorite to win at Anfield. Liverpool's odds to win have shifted from +180 to +140, suggesting that bettors are wary of betting against the Reds at home. However, the odds are drastically different when it comes to who bettors think will advance, with PSG at -700 compared to Liverpool's +450 odds.
🆚 Liverpool vs. PSG projected lineups
Here are Tuesday's projected lineups for Liverpool vs. PSG; lineups subject to change:
| HOST | VISITOR |
|---|---|
| Mamardashvili | Safonov |
| Szoboszlai | Hakimi |
| Konate | Marquinhos |
| Van Dijk | Pacho |
| Kerkez | Mendes |
| Gravenberch | Neves |
| Mac Allister | Vitinha |
| Salah | Zaire-Emery |
| Ngumoha | Doue |
| Wirtz | Dembele |
| Ekitike | Kvaratskhelia |
📈 Liverpool vs. PSG betting trends
| Liverpool | Statistic | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| 7-0-4 | Season record | 8-3-2 |
| 4-0-3 | H2H record | 3-0-4 |
| W-W-W-W-W | Last 5 games | W-L-L-L-W |
| Won 2-0 vs. Fulham | Previous result | Won 2-0 vs. Liverpool |
| PSG are aiming to become the first French team to advance to the Champions League semifinals three years in a row. | Key stat | Liverpool have lost nine of their 10 previous UEFA competition two-legged ties after losing the first leg by two goals. |
PSG enter this contest fresh after getting the weekend off, while Liverpool secured a confidence-boosting win over Fulham. Despite sustaining their hunt for a Champions League spot for next season, the game Saturday could potentially hurt the team's chances to stay in the competition this season when they host a more rested opponent.
Tactically, Liverpool are expected to deploy Dominik Szoboszlai at right-back in an effort to slow down Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, who regular right-back Jeremie Frimpong struggled to containlast week .
Rio Ngumoha could start on the left for Liverpool after a dazzling display against Fulham led to calls for the 17-year-old to play regularly.
🌤️ Liverpool vs. PSG weather
The weather could play a significant role at Anfield. The temperature will drop to the low 40s and light rain is expected throughout the contest. The slick surface could pose a challenge for defenders and goalkeepers, as the ball will be wet and difficult to grip.
📺 How to watch Liverpool vs. PSG
- Date: Tuesday, April 14
- Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
- Location: Anfield (Liverpool, England)
- TV: Paramount+
❓ Liverpool vs. PSG FAQ
Who is favored to win Liverpool vs. PSG?
Liverpool are a +140 betting favorite against PSG on Tuesday.
Who is the best Liverpool vs. PSG bet?
The best bets for Liverpool vs. PSG include Florian Wirtz Over 0.5 shots on target (+160) and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to score (+130).
Where to watch Liverpool vs. PSG in the US and Canada?
You can watch Liverpool vs. PSG on Paramount+ in the United States, or stream the game on DAZN in Canada.
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