The USA needs to win on Tuesday to advance to the knockout stage. Iran could advance by simply drawing. Read on for our Iran vs. USA picks and predictions.
The United States men’s national soccer team played an impressive 0-0 draw against England in their last match, and they are now positioned to advance to the last 16 with a win on Tuesday.
Iran pulled one of the many surprises of this World Cup, defeating Wales 2-0 to earn three points. If Iran draws, then they will likely advance, barring Wales defeating England by a significant margin. But with a victory, the Iranians could win Group B outright, which would be a huge upset in its own right.
Iran vs. USA Game Info
Date: Tuesday, Nov. 29, 2 p.m. ET
TV: Fox, Telemundo
Location: Al Thumama Stadium, Doha, Qatar
Weather: 86 degrees, 10% chance of precipitation, 9-mph winds
Iran vs. USA Picks
- Moneyline: USA (+105 via DraftKings Sportsbook) ★★★★
- Over/Under: Over 2.5 (+126 via FanDuel Sportsbook) ★★★
- Prop: USA wins and both teams score (+370 via FanDuel Sportsbook) ★★★
Iran vs. USA ML Pick
USA (+105) ★★★★
This is not a homer pick. The USMNT is simply the better side in this match. The Iranians were destroyed by the English, and they only scored a second goal because of a meaningless penalty in extra time.
The USMNT looked like the better side for nearly the entirety of their match against Wales. The same cannot be said for Iran. They looked destined to play for a draw against the Welsh until Wayne Hennessey received a red card in the 86th minute. From there it was all Iran.
These two teams have had trouble finishing at this tournament. Yet the Americans know that a draw will not be enough this time. That will change their approach and lead to more opportunities than they’ve had in the first two games. Opportunities against Iran generally lead to good results.
Iran vs. USA O/U Pick
Over 2.5 (+126) ★★★
The USMNT has scored just one goal at this World Cup, but the Iranian defense will produce plenty of opportunities against an attacking side in desperate need of a win. Additionally, Iran has plenty to play for in this game. A draw would move them on to the next stage, but a win would put them in a position to potentially win the group outright.
Against Wales, the Iranians had 21 shots, six of which were on target. That’s a good sign for this Over. The USMNT has produced 16 shots this tournament, but just two of them have been on target. Their approach will be different in this one, however, which will lead to more opportunities. If they can score early, this game will open up considerably as Iran tries to fight back.
Yet, even if Iran scores first, this total is going Over. The US will have nothing to lose as they try to even things up and then find a go-ahead goal.
Iran vs. USA Prop Pick
USA wins and both teams score (+370) ★★★
A 0-0 draw seems highly unlikely considering the style in which both of these teams play. The Americans were happy to escape England with a draw, and the Iranians would have been more than content with a 0-0 draw against Wales as well.
While a 0-0 draw would be good for Iran in this game, it is unlikely they will play so defensively that they put themselves in a position where a late goal eliminates them. Defensively, the United States has been great this World Cup, with their only goal allowed coming from a penalty kick.
As stated earlier, we’re expecting the US to win. So, this will just come down to whether or not the Iranians are able to find the back of the net. With such a favorable price, this is a must-play.
Where to Bet on Iran vs. USA
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Iran vs. USA picks made 11/28/2022 at 9:22 a.m. ET