🏒 USA vs. Canada Prediction: Today's Olympic Women's Hockey Gold Medal Game Best Bets
We're just hours away from the ultimate rivalry returning as the United States faces Canada for Olympic gold at the Milano Santagiulia Ice Hockey Arena for the Olympic women's hockey gold medal. Puck drop is at 1:10 p.m. ET, with live coverage on USA Network and Peacock.
Team USA enters as heavy -360 favorites after a dominant 5-0 preliminary win over Canada and is riding a historic 331-minute shutout streak led by Aerin Frankel. However, Canada’s Marie-Philip Poulin is back from injury after missing that game, and she's fresh off breaking the all-time Olympic goal record in the semifinals. Will the youth of the Americans or the experience of the Canadians prevail?
🏒 USA vs. Canada prediction: Olympic women's hockey gold medal game
Our expert Olympic hockey picks are based on the latest betting odds at the best sports betting sites.
| Bet type | Prediction | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Game prediction | USA -2.5 (+100) | 1u to win 1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over/Under total | Over 5.5 (+108) | 0.5u to win 1.4u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Player prop bet | Hilary Knight anytime goal scorer (+115) | 0.5u to win 1.75u | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: 4.15 units
🤑 Best bets for Sweden vs. Switzerland
Are you looking for plays for the bronze medal game? Our Gary Pearson gets you set with his Sweden vs. Switzerland predictions and has more bets for this game in his USA vs. Canada player props.
💰 USA vs. Canada best bet: USA -2.5 (+100)
Team USA has won seven consecutive games against Canada heading into this final, which includes a dominant four-game sweep in the 2025-26 Rivalry Series and a convincing 5-0 shutout in the Olympic preliminary round just last week.
American goaltender Aerin Frankel has been a brick wall, posting three shutouts in this tournament and helping the U.S. set an Olympic record for the longest shutout streak at over 330 minutes. While Canada will likely end this streak, don't expect them to keep up with Hilary Knight and the USA offense.
Score prediction: USA 5, Canada 2
🚀 The speed gap
John Wroblewski has his team playing a modern, high-paced game, and the defensive speed gap has been a large part of that. With the Wroblewski system in action, the defense are consistently joining the rush, creating advantages have have brought havoc to the opposition. Caroline Harvey (nine points) - the team leader - and the Boston Fleet's Megan Keller (seven points) particularly benefiting.
🔥 Best USA vs. Canada prop bet: Hilary Knight anytime goal scorer (+115)
Scoring in the final wouldn't just give the U.S. a lead, it would officially move Hilary Knight past legends Jenny Potter, Natalie Darwitz, and Katie King to stand alone as the greatest Olympic scorer in American history.
Knight only has one goal so far in these Olympics, but she does get quality time on the power play, and in a game that looks like USA might score at least five or six (which has been the norm for them), I'll take Knight to pot one.
If you're looking for more goal-scorer props, our Liam Fox dropped his best USA vs. Canada gold medal game goal scorers.
🥅 Between the pipes
Canada's Ann-Renée Desbiens, of the Montreal Victoire in the PWHL, was in net against the USA in the 5-0 preliminary-round loss. She's 3-1 with a .901 SV% and 1.81 GAA through four games (232 mins)
Emerance Maschmeyer, of the Vancouver Goldeneyes in the PWHL, has played in three games (128 minutes), posting a .957 SV% and a .047 GAA.
💡 How I'm betting USA vs. Canada
Our biggest one-unit play is following the biggest trend in this rivalry - the USA is a juggernaut, and cannot be stopped. They've scored 31 goals in this tournament and have allowed just one, which makes me believe this puck line should be closer to -120 than the +100 we're getting. Let's play this type of value and take it to the bank.
🆚 USA vs. Canada rivalry
The rivalry between Canada and the United States is the undisputed gold standard of women’s hockey. Since the sport's Olympic debut in 1998, these two nations have faced off in seven of the eight possible gold medal games. Here's a snapshot of results in the Team USA vs. Canada rivalry.
| Year | Host city | Winner | Score | Key note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | Nagano | USA | 3-1 | First-ever women's hockey gold medal. |
| 2002 | Salt Lake City | Canada | 3-2 | Canada wins on U.S. home ice. |
| 2010 | Vancouver | Canada | 2-0 | Canada defends home ice in Vancouver. |
| 2014 | Sochi | Canada | 3-2 (OT) | Marie-Philip Poulin ties it late and wins in OT. |
| 2018 | PyeongChang | USA | 3-2 (SO) | Jocelyne Lamoureux-Davidson's "Oops I Did It Again" goal. |
| 2022 | Beijing | Canada | 3-2 | Canada reclaims gold; Poulin scores twice. |
| 2026 | Milano Cortina | TBD | N/A | Gold Medal Game: Feb 19, 2026. |
📺 How to watch USA vs. Canada
- Date: Thursday, Feb. 19
- Puck drop: 1:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Milano Santagiulia Arena (Milan, Italy)
- TV: USA Network, CBC
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