🏒 USA vs. Canada Prediction & Best Bets: Olympic Women's Hockey Gold Medal Game
Oddsmakers aren't giving Canada much of a chance in the gold medal game against the USA, and I tend to agree with their assessment heading into the 1:10 p.m. ET puck drop on Thursday. I'm backing the absolute juggernaut to not only win, but to cover the puck line in my USA vs. Canada prediction. But who's my favorite prop play of the day? Let's get into who's helping her team win gold.
π USA vs. Canada prediction: Olympic women's hockey gold medal game
Our expert Olympic hockey picks are based on the latest betting odds at the best sports betting sites.
| Bet type | Prediction | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Game prediction | USA -2.5 (+100) | 1u to win 1u | ββββ |
| Over/Under total | Over 5.5 (+108) | 0.5u to win 1.4u | ββββ |
| Player prop bet | Hilary Knight anytime goal scorer (+115) | 0.5u to win 1.75u | βββ |
Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: 4.15 units
🤑 Best bets for the Sweden vs. Switzerland
Are you looking for plays for the bronze medal game? Our Gary Pearson gets you set with his Sweden vs. Switzerland predictions.
π° USA vs. Canada best bet: USA -2.5 (+100)
Team USA has won seven consecutive games against Canada heading into this final, which includes a dominant four-game sweep in the 2025-26 Rivalry Series and a convincing 5-0 shutout in the Olympic preliminary round just last week.
American goaltender Aerin Frankel has been a brick wall, posting three shutouts in this tournament and helping the U.S. set an Olympic record for the longest shutout streak at over 330 minutes. While Canada will likely end this streak, don't expect them to keep up with Hilary Knight and the USA offense.
Score prediction: USA 5, Canada 2
π₯ Best USA vs. Canada prop bet: Hilary Knight anytime goal scorer (+115)
Scoring in the final wouldn't just give the U.S. a lead, it would officially move Hilary Knight past legends Jenny Potter, Natalie Darwitz, and Katie King to stand alone as the greatest Olympic scorer in American history.
Knight only has one goal so far in these Olympics, but she does get quality time on the power play, and in a game that looks like USA might score at least five or six (which has been the norm for them), Ill take Knight to pot one.
π‘ How I'm betting USA vs. Canada
Our biggest one-unit play is following the biggest trend in this rivalry - the USA is a juggernaut, and cannot be stopped. They've scored 31 goals in this tournament and have allowed just one, which makes me believe this puck line should be closer to -120 than the +100 we're getting. Let's play this type of value and take it to the bank.
π USA vs. Canada rivalry
The rivalry between Canada and the United States is the undisputed gold standard of womenβs hockey. Since the sport's Olympic debut in 1998, these two nations have faced off in seven of the eight possible gold medal games. Here's a snapshot of results in the Team USA vs. Canada rivalry.
| Year | Host city | Winner | Score | Key note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | Nagano | USA | 3-1 | First-ever women's hockey gold medal. |
| 2002 | Salt Lake City | Canada | 3-2 | Canada wins on U.S. home ice. |
| 2010 | Vancouver | Canada | 2-0 | Canada defends home ice in Vancouver. |
| 2014 | Sochi | Canada | 3-2 (OT) | Marie-Philip Poulin ties it late and wins in OT. |
| 2018 | PyeongChang | USA | 3-2 (SO) | Jocelyne Lamoureux-Davidson's "Oops I Did It Again" goal. |
| 2022 | Beijing | Canada | 3-2 | Canada reclaims gold; Poulin scores twice. |
| 2026 | Milano Cortina | TBD | N/A | Gold Medal Game: Feb 19, 2026. |
πΊ How to watch USA vs. Canada
- Date: Thursday, Feb. 19
- Puck drop: 1:10 p.m. ET
- Location: Milano Santagiulia Arena (Milan, Italy)
- TV: USA Network, CBC
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