🏒 NHL Player Props Today: Best Bets & Prop Picks for Saturday, March 21
I'm happier to see Sidney Crosby back in action than a penguin belly sliding down a perfectly smooth ice valley, and Pittsburgh's captain is one of the headliners of my NHL player props today.
He joins Alex DeBrincat, Brady Tkachuk, and the man with more points in the last two games than 10 players' season total on the Calgary Flames. It's Saturday night, time to get all four picks right.
🏒 Best NHL player props today: March 21
See all of our experts' NHL picks based on the latest NHL odds.; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Player | Prop bet | Units | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex DeBrincat, RW, Red Wings | Over 0.5 assists (+110 via BetMGM) | 1u -> 1.1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Sidney Crosby, C, Penguins | Over 0.5 assists (+110 via BetMGM) | 1u -> 1.1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Brady Tkachuk, C, Senators | Over 3.5 shots (-128 via FanDuel) | 1u -> 0.78u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Nikita Kucherov, RW, Lightning | Over 1.5 points (+100 via bet365) | 1u -> 1u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 4 units | Max profit: 3.98 units
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💰 Best NHL player prop bet today
Alex DeBrincat Over 0.5 assists (+110) vs. Bruins
DeBrincat is riding a hot streak, and while he isn't usually an assist machine, the Red Wings forward has eight helpers in the previous five games. With five assists, his last two home games have been even more impressive.
He also had an expected goals percentage of 78 against the Canadiens and had three primary assists against the Calgary Flames on March 16.
DeBrincat will play with increased desperation, given that the Red Wings are just one point ahead of Columbus for the final wild-card spot.
🔥 More NHL player prop picks
Sidney Crosby Over 0.5 assists (+110) vs. Jets
Crosby's back, baby. And if the performance in his first game back is anything to go by, which I believe it is, he'll be poised for another big outing against the down-and-out Winnipeg Jets.
Crosby had a goal and an assist against the Carolina Hurricanes after a month on the sidelines.
Admittedly, his underlying stats weren't that good, with an expected goals percentage of 45.5. I'm not worried about that, though, as he was playing one of the Stanley Cup odds contenders and still posted a multi-point outing.
He should be able to ascend without as much resistance against the grounded Jets.
Brady Tkachuk Over 3.5 shots (-128) vs. Maple Leafs
Tonight's game against the Maple Leafs is the true embodiment of a must-win situation for the Senators, the sort of occasion tailor-made for Tkachuk.
He fired seven shots on goal at home against the New York Islanders on Thursday and tested the Maple Leafs tandem six times the last time the Ontario rivals played. While those stats are promising, the occasion offers the biggest appeal. Hockey Night in Canada against their biggest rivals in a must-win game.
Yes, please.
And while FanDuel's -128 odds don't seem like good value, it's markedly better than the price offered at the other best sports betting sites.
Nikita Kucherov Over 1.5 points (+100) at Oilers
It's a win anytime you see Kucherov's multi-point player prop at even-money odds or better, especially against one of the league's worst defenses. The Edmonton Oilers' defense is worse than a castle with no guards, moat, drawbridge, or towers.
Yeah, it's that penetrable.
Kucherov, meanwhile, is the deadliest assassin, registering eight points in the previous two games. And he has 10 points against the Oilers in the last five meetings.
🚀 Best NHL parlay picks today
💵 Best NHL parlay bet today
- Alex DeBrincat Over 0.5 assists (+110)
- Sidney Crosby Over 0.5 assists (+110)
- Brady Tkachuk Over 3.5 shots (-140)
- Nikita Kucherov Over 1.5 points (+100)
Best odds: +1412 via BetMGM (.1u -> 1.41u)
💵 My betting record for NHL picks
All NHL picks have been tracked since March 1.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37-51-2 | +4.8 units ✅ | 6.1% ✅ |
| Player props | 20-38 | -10.42 units ❌ | -19.6% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting NHL player props today
Follow all of our NHL analysis and expert predictions this season.
I pivoted my strategies for my previous NHL player props piece, focusing less on goal-scorer picks and more on higher-probability bets with lower risk.
Sure, the potential profit margin also decreases, but I was 2-for-4 on Friday, making a profit and a positive ROI.
That's the formula I've had success with throughout my time as an NHL handicapper, and I'll maintain that course going forward. I'm confident about all four player props today, so I've devoted 1 unit ($10) to each.
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