NFL Touchdown Scorer Prop Picks For Week 18: Will Jerick McKinnon Strike Again?

NFL Touchdown Scorer Prop Picks for Week 18 based on the top odds.

Last updated: January 6, 2023 8:05 AM EST • 3 min read

There are still touchdowns to be scored even in the last week of the NFL regular season. Here are our NFL picks for three players who should find paydirt this week and their best odds.

The NFL regular season comes to a close with several playoff opportunities still up for grabs. This means that teams still have reason to play starters and it's important for those starters to score touchdowns.

The following three players have excelled in crossing the goal line as of late. Their teams will need them to continue their hot streak as each has postseason positioning on the line this week.

Here are our best NFL touchdown scorer prop picks for Week 18 (odds via Caesars Sportsbook, DraftKings Sportsbook, and FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

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Week 18 Touchdown Scorer Picks

Jerick McKinnon anytime TD (+145 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Derrick Henry anytime 1st-half TD (+175 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Dawson Knox anytime TD (+220 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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Jerick McKinnon anytime TD (+145) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

No one has scored more touchdowns over the last five weeks than Jerick McKinnon. The Kansas City Chiefs' versatile running back has seven receiving touchdowns and one rushing since Week 13. He has split carries evenly with Isiah Pacheco in that span. He has also been a top three target for Patrick Mahomes.

He'll face a Las Vegas Raiders defense that has allowed opposing running backs to cross the goal line four times in the last four games. Last week, both Christian McCaffrey and Jordan Mason of the San Francisco 49ers scored against the Raiders. Las Vegas is allowing just shy of three touchdowns per game at home this season.

DraftKings and BetMGM have this line heavily juiced at -145 for McKinnon to snag a score this week. FanDuel (+125) and Barstool (+107) are at least plus money, but Caesars offers the most value here.

Derrick Henry anytime 1st-half TD (+175) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Derrick Henry has rushed for six touchdowns in his last three matchups against the Jacksonville Jaguars. He's scored multiple touchdowns twice in that span, including three in the 2021 season and a pair in the 2020 season. In all three, the Tennessee Titans’ star running back crossed the goal line before halftime. In every game in which he has scored a touchdown this year, at least one has come in the first 30 minutes.

Jacksonville has allowed at least one rushing touchdown in nine games this season. In the last three games in which this happened, that touchdown occurred in the first half. This includes their Dec. 11 matchup with the Titans.

Dawson Knox anytime TD (+220) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Buffalo Bills tight end Dawson Knox has found the end zone in each of his last three games. This accounts for more than half of his five touchdowns on the season. He has one career six-point reception in his six career games against the New England Patriots.

However, he draws a favorable matchup against a Patriots defense that is tied with the Arizona Cardinals and the Miami Dolphins for the second most touchdowns to the tight end position. New England has surrendered 10 tight end touchdowns this year, including two in the last three games.

NFL touchdown scorer prop picks for Week 18 made 1/5/2023 at 12 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Rodrigo Villagomez

Rod has been a contributing author at Sportsbook Review for the last two years specializing in NASCAR and NFL prop betting. He has been writing and podcasting professionally for almost 20 years, spending the last four years in the sports gambling space. Rod has made several appearances on the SiriusXM Fantasy Sports channel. He’s appeared multiple times on the Fantasy Alarm Show with Howard Bender as well as several times over the last two years during the FSGA Draft Week. He is a published author in the academic world with an article on steroids in baseball featured in the Bedford Reader textbook. Rod loves to find non-traditional bets which has led him to dive into the world of defensive and kicking props in football among others. His love of motorsports has translated into several winning weeks of both NASCAR and Formula 1 bets. Rod is a fan first and aims to provide betting picks that are not only profitable but will provide the maximum entertainment value during the sweat. Ultimately, he tries to remember that watching sports should still be fun and anything else is icing on the cake.