Texans vs. Steelers Prediction, Picks & Best Bets: Wild Card Weekend
After a dramatic Week 18 win, Pittsburgh will host Houston for Wild Card Weekend, and I'm dropping my best Texans vs. Steelers prediction to get you set for the 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff from Acrisure Stadium (ESPN) as part of our NFL playoff predictions.
The Texans come into Monday Night as 3-point favorites, but I believe the number should be even higher. Will Houston's defense do enough to keep Aaron Rodgers at bay? Let's dive in.
🏈 Texans vs. Steelers prediction: NFL Wild Card Weekend
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this postseason.
| Predictions | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Texans -3 | -105 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Under 38.5 | -115 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Woody Marks anytime touchdown | +195 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐ |
💰 Texans vs. Steelers best bet: Texans -3 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Follow all of our NFL analysis and betting advice for the 2026 NFL playoffs.
This Texans defense is just outright incredible. I have no idea how these Steelers are going to move the ball against the top-rated unit. Aaron Rodgers will have to get it out early in almost every pass play, as this pass rush is ranked No. 1 in football. Expect Will Anderson and Danielle Hunter to have a huge game here, and for C.J. Stroud to do enough on offense to cover.
Score prediction: Texans 21, Steelers 10
🙌 Best Texans vs. Steelers touchdown scorer prediction: Woody Marks (+195) ⭐⭐⭐
Woody hasn't scored in seven weeks, but the volume is absolutely there for the running back, who's averaging 15 carries over his last two games. When you see that type of volume, coupled with close to +200 betting odds, I'll absolutely sprinkle a .5u on this play. In a game where the Texans will be fighting for points, expect Houston to take the sure thing if they find themselves inside the 5-yard line.
📊 Texans vs. Steelers odds: NFL Wild Card Weekend
Our live Texans vs. Steelers odds update in real time.
📈 Texans vs. Steelers betting trends: NFL Wild Card Round
| Texans | Statistic | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| 12-5 | W-L record | 10-7 |
| 9-8 | ATS record | 9-8 |
| 6-10-1 | O/U record | 9-7-1 |
| 5.1 | Yards per play | 5.3 |
| 4.8 | Yards allowed per play | 5.55 |
| +1.0 | Turnover margin | +0.7 |
| 5-0 | Last 5 games | 4-1 |
🚑 Texans vs. Steelers latest injuries
🌤️ Texans vs. Steelers weather: Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET
Follow our NFL weather report for the latest forecasts for every playoff game.
It's expected to be warm by January standards in Philadelphia on Sunday, according to nflweather.com, with a very slim chance of rain. These two teams have combined to win the last three NFC Championships and five of the last eight conference titles.
The spread has moved to Eagles -4.5 after opening at -3.5, per the NFL Wild Card Round betting odds, but San Francisco boasts a 7-2 road record against the spread, one of the best marks in the league. Meanwhile, the Eagles are just 4-4 ATS as a home favorite.
📺 How to watch Texans vs. Steelers: NFL Wild Card Weekend
- Date: Monday, Jan. 11, 2026
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: EverBank Stadium
- TV: ESPN
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