Texans vs. Chiefs Player Props for Sunday Night Football: NFL Week 14

My Texans vs. Chiefs player props focus on Travis Kelce, Isiah Pacheco, and Nick Chubb ahead of the 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC/Peacock) Sunday Night Football game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo. The Chiefs are favored by 3.5.

The Texans have the best total and scoring defense, while the Chiefs rank seventh in points allowed. Below, I highlight why these defensive numbers have me anticipating many players struggling in this contest.  For more coverage of this game, check out our NFL predictions for Week 14.

Texans vs. Chiefs player prop bets

See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 14 based on the latest NFL odds.

Best Sunday Night Football player props

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Travis Kelce player prop: Under 48.5 receiving yards (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Kelce has recorded back-to-back games with 45 or fewer yards. The Texans are allowing just 174.0 passing yards per game, and they’ve allowed just 473 yards to tight ends, which is the fifth-fewest in the NFL. Through 12 games, that’s an average of just 39.4 yards per game.

Kelce obviously isn’t an average tight end, but he’s had five games with fewer than 48.5 receiving yards this season. But perhaps the most important reason why this is one of the best Texans vs. Chiefs player props is that since the return of Rashee Rice, Kelce has been targeted six or fewer times in four of six games. Rice has been targeted at least nine times in five contests during that same span.

DraftKings’ price of -112 implies a 52.83% chance that Kelce hits this Under. A $10 bet would profit $8.93.

Isiah Pacheco player prop: Under 28.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Last week, Pacheco took the field for the first time since Week 8, but he managed just 16 yards on three carries. Meanwhile, Kareem Hunt had 14 carries for 58 yards.

Pacheco has three games with fewer than 28.5 rushing yards, and he’s yet to top 15 carries in a single game. In fact, he has 10 or fewer carries in six of his nine games. The Texans are allowing just 91.7 rushing yards per game and 4.0 yards per carry. With Hunt taking way too many carries from Pacheco in an offense that is in the bottom half of the league in total rushing attempts, the Under is the right play, even at such a low number.

FanDuel’s price of -114 implies a 53.27% chance that the Under hits. A $10 bet would profit $8.77.

Nick Chubb player prop: Score a touchdown (+425) ⭐⭐

With both these teams allowing fewer than 20 points per game, value is of the utmost importance when picking a touchdown scorer. That’s why I’m backing Chubb at +425 at DraftKings. The price implies a 19.05% chance that he scores, and a $10 bet would profit $42.50.

The Chiefs have lost three of their last four games, and in those losses, five of the eight touchdowns they’ve allowed have been on the ground.  The Chiefs rank sixth in passing touchdowns allowed, but tied for 15th in rushing scores given up.

Chubb has scored three rushing touchdowns this season, while Woody Marks has just two. Yet, Marks’ price provides little value at just +150. Chubb scored last week against the Colts, and he’s had at least five carries in all but one game this season, despite Marks getting the lion's share of the opportunities.

 How to watch Sunday Night Football: Texans vs. Chiefs

• Date: Sunday, Dec. 7
• Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
• Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Mo.)
• TV: NBC/Peacock