Texans vs. Chiefs Player Props Tonight: Sunday Night Football Week 14

I break down the best way to bet a crucial Sunday Night Football matchup with my Texans vs. Chiefs player props tonight.

I'm adding my plays on Travis Kelce, Isiah Pacheco, and Nick Chubb to our NFL predictions for Week 14. Kickoff is at 8:20 p.m. ET from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo. (NBC/Peacock), with the Chiefs favored by 3.5.

Texans vs. Chiefs player prop bets tonight

See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 14 based on the latest NFL odds.

Best Sunday Night Football player props

Search the best NFL player prop odds for any team or player across every market from legal sportsbooks in your area.

Travis Kelce player prop: Under 48.5 receiving yards (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Kelce has recorded back-to-back games with 45 or fewer yards. The Texans are allowing just 174.0 passing yards per game, and they’ve allowed just 473 yards to tight ends, which is the fifth-fewest in the NFL. Through 12 games, that’s an average of just 39.4 yards per game.

Kelce obviously isn’t an average tight end, but he’s had five games with fewer than 48.5 receiving yards this season. But perhaps the most important reason why this is one of the best Texans vs. Chiefs player props is that since the return of Rashee Rice, Kelce has been targeted six or fewer times in four of six games. Rice has been targeted at least nine times in five contests during that same span.

DraftKings’ price of -112 implies a 52.83% chance that Kelce hits this Under. A $10 bet would profit $8.93.

Meanwhile, Corey Scott expects a big night from Kelce in his Texans vs. Chiefs first TD scorer predictions.

Isiah Pacheco player prop: Under 28.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Last week, Pacheco took the field for the first time since Week 8, but he managed just 16 yards on three carries. Meanwhile, Kareem Hunt had 14 carries for 58 yards.

Pacheco has three games with fewer than 28.5 rushing yards, and he’s yet to top 15 carries in a single game. In fact, he has 10 or fewer carries in six of his nine games. The Texans are allowing just 91.7 rushing yards per game and 4.0 yards per carry. With Hunt taking way too many carries from Pacheco in an offense that is in the bottom half of the league in total rushing attempts, the Under is the right play, even at such a low number.

FanDuel’s price of -114 implies a 53.27% chance that the Under hits. A $10 bet would profit $8.77.

Our Brenden Schaeffer's Texans vs. Chiefs same-game parlay is built on the expectation that Houston will dominate defensively, while Mike Spector has QB Patrick Mahomes making an impact on the ground via his Texans vs. Chiefs prediction.

Nick Chubb player prop: Score a touchdown (+425) ⭐⭐

With both these teams allowing fewer than 20 points per game, value is of the utmost importance when picking a touchdown scorer. That’s why I’m backing Chubb at +425 at DraftKings. The price implies a 19.05% chance that he scores, and a $10 bet would profit $42.50.

The Chiefs have lost three of their last four games, and in those losses, five of the eight touchdowns they’ve allowed have been on the ground.  The Chiefs rank sixth in passing touchdowns allowed, but tied for 15th in rushing scores given up.

Chubb has scored three rushing touchdowns this season, while Woody Marks has just two. Yet, Marks’ price provides little value at just +150. Chubb scored last week against the Colts, and he’s had at least five carries in all but one game this season, despite Marks getting the lion's share of the opportunities.

Our Esten McLaren has three more TD picks with his Texans vs. Chiefs anytime touchdown scorer predictions.

 How to watch Sunday Night Football: Texans vs. Chiefs

• Date: Sunday, Dec. 7
• Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
• Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Mo.)
• TV: NBC/Peacock

Texans vs. Chiefs expert picks tonight

• Texans vs. Chiefs prediction
• Texans vs. Chiefs player props
• Texans vs. Chiefs same-game parlay
• Texans vs. Chiefs anytime touchdown scorer predictions
• Texans vs. Chiefs first touchdown scorer predictions