Texans vs. Colts Odds, Picks, Predictions Week 18: Colts Favored in Season Finale

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Back in Week 1, the Indianapolis Colts and Houston Texas played to a tie. Will they finish to a draw a second time? Read on for our top Texans vs. Colts pick.

The Texans and Colts have been two of the worst NFL franchises all season long. While many expected the Texans to compete for 2023 NFL Draft's first overall pick, very few thought the Colts would be as bad as they've been especially after signing quarterback Matt Ryan.

Yet, the Colts lost six games in a row and nine of their last 10 overall. They'll start QB Sam Ehlinger after Nick Foles was injured in Week 17. In Ehlinger’s two starts this season, the Colts were outscored 43-19.

Here is our best Texans vs. Colts Week 18 NFL pick (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our NFL best bets for Week 18, picks roundup, and against the spread power rankings.

Texans vs. Colts Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Jan. 8, 1 p.m. 
  • TV: CBS
  • Location: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
  • Weather: Indoors

Texans vs. Colts Odds

Texans vs. Colts Odds Analysis

There's been almost no line movement for this game. The total opened at 38.5 and it currently sits at 37.5. The majority of bettors on Pregame.com back the Under.

As for the spread, the Colts opened as 2.5-point favorites, and they have since been bet up to 3-point favorites. Most bettors on Pregame favor the Colts, but it hasn't been enough to move this spread to the key number.

Texans vs. Colts Pick

Texans +2.5 ⭐⭐⭐

This is a hard game to pick, as neither team has anything to play for, and the Texans could actually keep themselves from getting the number one overall pick if they win. Yet, it’s difficult to imagine Houston not putting up a fight in this one, especially against a division rival. 

The Jacksonville Jaguars decimated the Texans last week. However, before that loss, Houston hadn't dropped a contest by more than 6 points since Week 13. On the other hand, the Colts lost three of their last four games by 17 or more. Their only defeat by less came when they blew the biggest lead in NFL history against the Minnesota Vikings. 

With Ehlinger under center, the Colts have been really bad offensively. Yet, it's tough to take the Under in this game, as both teams give up a lot of points even against really poor offenses. The Colts allowed 38 to the New York Giants in Week 17, a team that hadn’t scored 30 all season.

The Texans are the more complete unit, and they've played much harder over the season's second half than the Colts have. That hasn’t moved to the key number, despite support for the Colts, which proves oddsmakers are trying to bait bettors.

Texans vs. Colts Best Odds

FanDuel (+100)

DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars PointsBet
+2.5 +2.5 +2.5 +2.5 +2.5
-105 +100 -105 -105 -105

All five major sportsbooks list the Texans as 2.5-point underdogs, but FanDuel offers the best price at +100. The prices across the board signal that this number may move to the key of 3, but oddsmakers could offer the cheaper price to get bettors to come in on the Texans’ side without having to move the number.

There's no guarantee the line goes to 3, though you can wait to see if it does, as it's incredibly unlikely it ever drops to 2.

Texans vs. Colts pick made 01/06/2023 at 1:00 p.m. ET.

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