Survivor Pool Picks Today: Safest Pick & Best Week 15 NFL Survivor Strategies
It's time to see whether my NFL survivor picks for Week 15 will pan out, with today's action getting underway.
I include my safest and best predictions for the survivor pool contestants, along with a strategic play and a team to avoid. The picks below are part of our NFL Week 15 predictions.
Best NFL survivor pool picks: Week 15
See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 15 based on the latest NFL odds.
| Team | Opponent | Moneyline | Win probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars | vs. Jets | -901 | 90.0% |
| Eagles | vs. Raiders | -1099 | 91.7% |
| 49ers | vs. Titans | -1149 | 92.0% |
| Seahawks | vs. Colts | -699 | 87.5% |
| Bears | vs. Browns | -400 | 80.0% |
| Texans | vs. Cardinals | -592 | 85.6% |
| Buccaneers | vs. Falcons | -250 | 71.4% |
| Cowboys | vs. Vikings | -319 | 76.1% |
| Buccaneers | vs. Falcons | -250 | 71.4% |
| Steelers | vs. Dolphins | -190 | 65.5% |
Safest NFL survivor pick: 49ers (92%) over Titans
Tennessee snapped a seven-game losing streak with a 31-29 road win at Cleveland last week.
Sure, there were some good signs from the Titans' offense, like Cam Ward throwing multiple touchdown passes for the first time in his career and Tony Pollard becoming just the second running back to run for 100-plus yards against the Browns this season.
But San Francisco will be well-rested off a bye, and it enters on a three-game winning streak with a plus-48 scoring differential in that span. That all has the Niners as the biggest favorite by the NFL Week 15 odds.
Our Gary Pearson also backs the 49ers to cruise to a comfortable victory with his NFL picks against the spread.
Best NFL survivor pick: Jaguars (90%) over Jets
Jacksonville is 5-1 since its bye in Week 8 and now needs to avoid a letdown after taking over first place in the AFC South.
The Jaguars have won four straight games and are amid their best 13-game start since 2017, a season in which they reached the AFC Championship Game. They face a Jets team that is so down on QB Justin Fields that they could have Brady Cook as their starting quarterback after Tyrod Taylor exited last week’s loss with a groin injury.
Jacksonville still has a Week 18 home game against Tennessee left on its schedule, but survivor pool contestants should not wait until then to use the Jaguars in case they already have the division clinched by the regular-season finale. I offered my best Jets vs. Jaguars player props.
💡 More Week 15 predictions
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game in Week 15.
NFL survivor strategy pick: Steelers (66%) over Dolphins
If you still have teams like the Bears or Texans available to use in survivor pools, they are the smarter plays this week. But it is much more likely one’s survivor pool decisions come down to backing the Giants off a bye at home against a Commanders team that is going back to Marcus Mariota at quarterback, or fading a Dolphins team amid a season-best four-game winning streak.
I am backing Pittsburgh as my NFL survivor strategy pick after the Steelers improved to 9-3 against the division rival Ravens in their last 12 meetings.
I am still not sold on Miami being able to win in cold weather against a good football team this late in the season. And the Dolphins could be without their best offensive weapon this week after running back De’Von Achane left last week’s win over the Jets with a rib injury.
Our Phil Wood is taking the Under as his early Steelers vs. Dolphins prediction.
NFL survivor pick to avoid: Panthers (58%) over Saints
Carolina finds itself tied atop the NFC South with Tampa Bay after the Buccaneers lost as 7.5-point home favorites to New Orleans last week. That sets up a big trap spot for the Panthers off a bye this week with a home game against Tampa Bay looming next week.
New Orleans beat Carolina 17-7 in Week 10, which was rookie quarterback Tyler Shough’s first NFL win. That was also the Panthers’ 11th straight loss as a favorite, which is the longest straight-up losing streak for any team as favorites since the 1970 merger.
Circa Survivor contest update entering Week 15
Picks are in for Week 15 for the Circa Sports Survivor contest. Just 10 live entries remain as of Sunday, with the Jacksonville Jaguars representing five selections this week. The San Francisco 49ers (3) and Philadelphia Eagles (2) are the only other teams selected.
NFL expert picks for Week 15
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game.
- NFL picks against the spread Week 15
- NFL survivor picks Week 15
- NFL AI predictions Week 15
- NFL weather report Week 15
- NFL upset picks Week 15
- NFL player props Week 15
- NFL best bets Week 15
- NFL anytime touchdown scorer predictions Week 15
- NFL first touchdown scorer predictions Week 15
- NFL 2+ touchdown scorer predictions Week 15
- NFL anytime touchdown scorer parlay Week 15
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