Super Bowl Exact Score Predictions: What Will Be the Final Score of Seahawks vs. Patriots?
Last Updated: February 6, 2026 7:00 AM EST • 7 minute read X Social Google News Link
We're testing the prognostication powers of our betting experts and NFL fans across the company with our 2026 Super Bowl exact score predictions for the Big Game between the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif., on Sunday.
With the Seahawks favored by as many as 5 points and an Over/Under of 45.5 points across our best Super Bowl betting sites, we get an implied final score of 25-20 in favor of Seattle. But, when do things ever go according to the exact script with Super Bowl predictions?
🏈 Summary of Super Bowl exact score prediction poll results
We asked 59 people for their Super Bowl score predictions of Seahawks vs. Patriots. Respondents wrote predicted exact final scores with a winning team attached.
🗣️ The ask
"Hey all, doing an article this week for SBR where I'll be assembling Super Bowl exact score predictions from as many people as I can. Zero football knowledge is required.
Please reply in thread with your exact score prediction, and the winner. The Seattle Seahawks are the 5-point favorite against the New England Patriots."
Based on 59 predictions, the average score points toward a one-score game with the Seahawks holding a slight edge in efficiency.
| Metric | Prediction Data |
|---|---|
| Projected final score | Seahawks 25, Patriots 20 |
| Average point total | 44.93 |
| Average margin of victory | 7.50 points |
| Most predicted score | 27-17 Seahawks (3 times) |
| Win probability (poll) | Seahawks 73.3% | Patriots 26.7% |
🔢 What Super Bowl odds tell us about the exact score
Here are the live Super Bowl odds from our best NFL betting sites, with the best odds shown for each side of the betting line for the spread, moneyline, and Over/Under; NFL odds will update in real time:
The spread has stayed pretty stagnant, with BetMGM the first major book to move off the 4.5-point line. Using BetMGM's 5-point spread and the 45.5 consensus Over/Under, we get an implied final score of 25-20 in favor of the Seahawks, who are the official road team at Levi's Stadium.
A bet on that exact final score at BetMGM would return a profit of $2,000 win a winning $10 bet at +20000 odds. The shortest odds for a final score - meaning it's the most likely exact outcome according to oddsmakers - is a final score of 20-17, Seattle. That score has odds of +8000 ($10 bet returns $800 profit).
We ran our Super Bowl AI simulation to get an exact score of Seahawks 20, Patriots 19. That score has odds of +22500 at BetMGM, good for a profit of $2,250 on a winning $10 bet.
💡 What our analysts are thinking for the exact score
Here are the answers from SBR's NFL betting experts for their Super Bowl exact score predictions:
Dustin Saracini - Seahawks 28, Patriots 10: Unfortunately for Patriots fans, their Cinderella run ends here. While New England's defense might be able to keep the potent Seattle offense at bay for a half, this deep roster filled with playmakers won't be stopped for four quarters.
C Jackson Cowart - Seahawks 20, Patriots 19: I'm riding with my robot friends and predicting the same final score that resulted from our Super Bowl AI prediction, which saw the 'Hawks win a classic in our play-by-play simulation. Seattle's defense will leave room between the 20s but should prove too tough for Drake Maye and Co. in the moments that count.
James Bisson - Seahawks 24, Patriots 21: I don't have any robot friends. This one's all JB. And as much as I loathe the Seahawks as a true-blue 49ers fan, I can't deny that they are the better team in this matchup. I also think Drake Maye is a gigantic fraud. Go Hawks. Ugh.
Andrew Reid - Patriots 28, Seahawks 24: It's all just a little bit of history repeating. Sophomore superstar Drake Maye will stun his haters and lead his Patriots to their first post-Tom Brady Super Bowl, and he'll do it by the same score as the last time these teams met in the big game. Sam Darnold, time to see ghosts.
🪞 Super Bowl XLIX repeat
The Patriots beat the Seahawks 28-24 in Super Bowl XLIX.
Matt Burke - Patriots 27, Seahawks 24: No one is happier than North Carolina-bred Drake Maye to be playing in balmy Santa Clara this week. When Maye has had idyllic conditions this season, the Pats are damn-near unstoppable.
Corey Scott - Patriots 23, Seahawks 21: The Super Bowl total is one of the most efficient markets you'll find, and 44 is the closest key number to the current Over/Under of 45. I'm expecting the Patriots to win a close one, as their edge at starting quarterback should be enough to outweigh Seattle's deeper roster.
Rob Paul - Seahawks 24, Patriots 17: The Seahawks have one of the best defenses in recent memory, with a genius calling plays (Mike Macdonald). Drake Maye has struggled in the playoffs against injury-ravaged postseason foes, and New England has survived by playing the weakest schedule in the NFL.
Sean Tomlinson - Seahawks 20, Patriots 14: There will be a slugfest element to this game, an environment in which the defensively daunting Seahawks thrive. They can grind the Patriots down after getting ahead, especially if Robert Spillane either can't go or is limited.
Liam Fox - Seahawks 27, Patriots 17: Seattle has proven it can win a game in any way it needs to. It will be the Seahawks' defense that gets the shine this time around, dominating a struggling Patriots offensive line and making life miserable for Drake Maye.
LJ Blut - Seahawks 28, Patriots 14: The Seahawks’ offense has scored at least 31 points in both playoff games this postseason. They will continue to score at will against a Patriots defense that can be exploited. The Patriots will struggle to score against the Seahawks’ defense, and with Drake Maye’s limited big-game experience, he is likely to force a few turnovers.
Andrew Brennan - Patriots 28, Seahawks 10: Fun fact: the last time Sam Darnold played the Patriots in a game that didn't start at 1 p.m. ET, he was caught on a hot mic telling his bench that he was "seeing ghosts" in a 33-0 loss. The last time he played them in general, he went 16-for-33 and threw three picks in a 24-6 loss to Mac Jones.
🗝️ Key findings: Defensive grids and scoring floors
The data reveals that while the public is high on Seattle, they aren't expecting a blowout.
- The Seattle Scoring Ceiling: The most optimistic Seahawks fans see a ceiling of 34 points, while the floor sits firmly at 15. The "sweet spot" for Seattle resides between 24 and 27 points
- The Patriots' Path to Victory: For the 16 voters who picked New England, the path to a Lombardi Trophy involves a high-scoring shootout. The highest score in the poll (38-31) favored the Patriots, suggesting that if this game goes "Over" the total, the advantage may shift to New England
- The Margin of Error: Despite the Seahawks' high win percentage in the poll, the average margin of victory is just 7.5 points. This suggests that while Seattle is the favorite, the "Patriots +7" or "Patriots +7.5" spread is a high-value target for bettors
🙌 Scorigami Watch: History in the making?
One of the most exciting aspects of Super Bowl betting is the potential for a Scorigami—a final score that has never occurred in the 60-year history of the big game.
Our poll identified 29 potential Scorigami scores. If you are looking for a "lottery ticket" bet with massive odds, these scores represent the most popular unique outcomes:
- The "Sharp" Scorigamis: 30-16, 28-10, and 27-21
- The Low-Probability Longshots: 15-13 and 38-31
- Historical Repeats: If the game ends 27-17 (the most frequent prediction), it would be the third time in history that score decided the Super Bowl
🧠 Expert Analysis: How to use this data
When betting the Exact Score market, "key numbers" are everything. The data from our poll heavily emphasizes the numbers 24, 27, and 20.
If you believe the Seahawks' defense will stifle New England's run game, the 24-17 or 27-17 scores offer the most "expert consensus" value. However, if you're looking to hedge, the Patriots' most frequent winning path in our data was a tight 20-17 or a higher-scoring 28-24 result.
SBR Verdict: The crowd is backing the Seahawks to win their second title in franchise history, with a projected final of Seattle 25, New England 20.
📖 Betting Guide: Seahawks 27, Patriots 17
As the clear favorite in our poll (and a 4.5-point favorite at our best sports betting sites), the 27-17 Seahawks victory is the consensus "smart money" pick for Super Bowl 60. This scoreline perfectly encapsulates a game where Seattle’s top-ranked defense contains the Patriots while their offense does just enough to cover the spread.
This specific outcome is popular because it hits several "Key Numbers" in football betting: 27 (three touchdowns and two field goals) and 17 (two touchdowns and a field goal).
1. Current exact score odds
Because exact score bets are high-risk/high-reward, the payouts are massive even for the most likely outcomes.
- DraftKings: +9000 ($10 bet wins $900)
- FanDuel: +8000 ($10 bet wins $800)
- BetMGM: +12500 ($10 bet wins $1,250)
2. Statistical alignment
- The Spread (-4.5): A 27-17 win (10-point margin) easily covers the Seattle spread
- The Total (45.5): This score results in 44 total points, meaning bettors would win on the Under. This aligns with the "sharp" money, which has pushed the total down from 46.5 to 45.5 this week
- Historical Frequency: 27-17 is the 12th most common score in NFL history (occurring over 120 times). More importantly, it has happened twice in Super Bowl history:
- Super Bowl XVII: Washington 27, Dolphins 17
- Super Bowl XXX:Cowboys 27, Steelers 17
How to play the 27-17 scoreline
If you are following the poll consensus, don’t put your entire bankroll on a single exact score. Instead, use a "Ladder Strategy":
- The Anchor: Bet the Seahawks -4.5 or Seahawks moneyline to cover your primary position
- The Total: Take the Under 45.5, as the 27-17 score relies on a controlled, defensive tempo
- The Long shot: Place a "half-unit" or small "fun bet" on the Exact Score: 27-17
💡 Pro tip:
In 2026, many sportsbooks offer "Correct Score Groups." Look for a group that includes Seahawks by 10-13 points; it offers a lower payout than the exact score but a much higher probability of hitting.
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