2026 Super Bowl Betting Report: Bettors Love Seahawks, Patriots Massive Betting Underdogs
Wagers continue to fly in on the Super Bowl, with the majority of bets pouring in on the Seattle Seahawks, who now own a resounding 68% of the handle at -4.5. The opening line of -3.5 was quickly bet up to -5 before money began coming in on the Patriots, which settled the spread at the number we're now seeing.
My Super Bowl betting report tracks line movements and the most-bet tickets, explains where sharp action is landing, and forecasts where the number will move closer to game time - all before locking in our favorite bets for the Big Game.
📊 Super Bowl odds, line movement, handle today: Patriots vs. Seahawks
Super Bowl betting lines courtesy of BetMGM - Updated as of Feb. 2, 2026
Point spread betting
| Team | Opening Spread | Current Spread | % Bets | % Handle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks | -4 | -4.5 | 65% | 68% |
| New England Patriots | +4 | +4.5 | 35% | 32% |
Bettors are continuing to have faith in Seattle here, owning the majority of the bets and handle. This suggests the books would love to see the Patriots cover, and we might see the spread touch 5 - or extend to 6.5 - before kickoff on Sunday.
Total (Over/Under)
| Bet Type | Opening Total | Current Total | % Bets | % Handle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over | 46 | 45.5 | 55% | 31% |
| Under | 46 | 45.5 | 45% | 69% |
Early heavy money poured in on the Under before the line moved from 46 to 45.5. With 69% of money on the Under but more tickets on the Over, this suggests that sharp money is looking for a low-scoring affair, while the public is looking for points. I'm leaning toward the Under myself, as I'm expecting both defenses to dominate. This weekend will be the biggest test of Drake Maye's young career, will he be up to the task?
Moneyline
| Team | Opening ML | Current ML | % Bets | % Handle |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Seahawks | -235 | -235 | 33% | 52% |
| New England Patriots | +195 | +195 | 67% | 48% |
With 67% of bets on New England, bettors are hoping for a long shot cash. It's not surprising to see just 33% of bets on Seattle, seeing as they're trading at -235 and are likely being added to parlays as an anchor wager.
💸 Most bet Super Bowl player props
| Player | Prop market | odds | Implied probability | Profit on $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Kenneth Walker III | Over 20.5 Receiving Yards | -175 | 63.64% | $5.71 |
| 2. Kenneth Walker III | Under 73.5 Rushing Yards | -115 | 53.49% | $8.70 |
| 3. Hunter Henry | Over 36.5 Receiving Yards | -140 | 58.33% | $7.14 |
| 4. Drake Maye | Over 36.5 Rushing Yards | -115 | 53.49% | $8.70 |
| 5. TreVeyon Henderson | Over 0.5 Receptions | -175 | 63.64% | $5.71 |
My favorite play on this board is Drake Maye's Over 36.5 rushing yards. He's soared over this number in two of three playoff contests while averaging close to eight carries per game. Against the vaunted Seahawks defense, he's going to be forced to move the pocket and tuck-and-run more than ever. I'll be adding this to my Super Bowl wagers as a full-unit bet.
💰 Most bet anytime touchdown props
| Player | Anytime TD odds | Implied probability | Profit on $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba | -110 | 52.38% | $9.09 |
| 2. Drake Maye | +270 | 27.03% | $27.00 |
| 3. Kenneth Walker | -190 | 65.52% | $5.26 |
| 4. SEA D/ST | +390 | 20.41% | $39.00 |
| 5. Stefon Diggs | +240 | 29.41% | $24.00 |
The most interesting play here is taking the Seattle defense/special teams to score a touchdown - and it's not that bad of a bet in my eyes. I've stated before, this will be Maye's biggest test of his career, and he's notoriously struggled against strong defenses, recording six fumbles and two interceptions across these playoffs alone. Add dynamic kick and punt returner Rashid Shaheed into the fold, and you have a strong case to cash this long shot +390 bet.
6️⃣ Most bet first touchdown props
| Player / Team | First TD Odds | Implied probability | Profit on $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba | +600 | 14.29% | $60.00 |
| 2. Kenneth Walker III | +375 | 21.05% | $37.50 |
| 3. Cooper Kupp | +1400 | 6.67% | $140.00 |
| 4. SEA Defense/Special Teams | +3000 | 3.23% | $300.00 |
| 5. Drake Maye | +1700 | 5.56% | $170.00 |
No surprise here - you're getting arguably the best receiver in the game at +600 betting odds. It's easy to see why the public is Jaxon Smith-Njigba here, but where else can we find value? I'd also sprinkle on Seattle's defense at +3000 betting odds with Maye's turnover issues and Shaheed being one of the more dynamic returners in the game. Remember to protect that bankroll and bet responsibly, especially on long shot plays like first touchdown scorer.
🤔 Where are the Super Bowl lines moving?
Let’s take a look at how the moneyline, spread, and total are shifting - and where bettors are putting their money - as Super Bowl 60 approaches.
| Market | Opening line | Current line | Movement |
|---|---|---|---|
| Point spread | Seahawks -3.5 (-110) | Seahawks -4.5 (-112) | 📈 Seahawks |
| Moneyline | SEA -180 / NE +155 | SEA -235 / NE +194 | 📈 Seahawks |
| Point total (O/U) | 46.5 (-110) | 45.5 (-110) | 📉 Under |
What do the sportsbooks need?
“In the biggest event of the year, bettors are pulling for the Seahawks while the book hopes for a low-scoring affair with minimal touchdowns. Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Seattle’s Defense/Special Teams finding pay dirt have become bad results for the book right now. While there’s still some time before the game, it looks like the game and futures market will be rewarding to bettors if the Seahawks cover the game and win outright.” - Christian Cipollini, Trading Manager, BetMGM
Moneyline movement
We've seen some big early movement here in Seattle's favor with sportsbooks likely needing bettors to start wagering on New England before kickoff.
Seattle moneyline bettors weren’t deterred by the initial -180 price tag, and that number has since surged to -235. The Seahawks have continued to attract steady support, driving New England’s odds near +200 before settling around +194. If you’re eyeing the Patriots, it may pay to wait - there’s a chance this price stretches closer to +220 at its peak.
Point spread movement
Immediately after this matchup was set, there was early and heavy money on the Seahawks, which quickly moved the Super Bowl opening line from -3.5 to -4.5. The point spread eventually touched -5.0 before returning to -4.5 early Sunday night. The industry consensus now sits with Seattle at -4.5, with a few books still offering Seahawks -5.0. Now, there is a chance that this spread balloons to -6.5 and potentially passes the key number of -7.5, as 65% of bets have come in on Seattle, so keep an eye out for continued movement here.
The final 48 hours before kickoff will see a bigger push from the public. If you're a Seattle bettor, you might want to hop on this line now, and if you like the Patriots, I'd suggest remaining patient. In my prediction to win Super Bowl 60, I'm backing Seattle to roll over the Pats.
Total movement
Early action poured in on the Over right when markets opened, pushing the total from 46.5 up to 47.5 before drifting back to 46.5. About 55% of tickets are currently on the Over, but sharper money has since shown up on the Under, dropping the total as low as 45.5 at certain books. Even so, the Over remains a major liability for sportsbooks - as it has been in recent Super Bowls, cashing in two of the last three. Add in the fact that this game will be played in San Francisco, where conditions are often favorable for scoring, and points could be very much on the table.
We'll be updating this section as we inch closer to the Super Bowl - accurate as of Feb. 1.
📈 Key Super Bowl betting trends: Patriots vs. Seahawks
- Against the spread record: Seattle is 14-5-0 ATS this season, New England is 13-6-1 ATS - both records include the playoffs; both are the best marks in the NFL this year.
- Rematch history: This is the ninth Super Bowl rematch in history - the Pats are 4-0 historically in these matchups. The last time these two played in the Big Game, Malcolm Butler intercepted Russell Wilson at the goal line to win Super Bowl XLIX.
- The underdog edge: Underdogs have covered in five straight Super Bowls. The last favorite to win was the Kansas City Chiefs in 2019, beating the San Francisco 49ers, 31-20.
🏆 Super Bowl prediction: Where will the betting lines close?
I expect the spread to keep trending toward Seattle. Frankly, I’m a bit shocked oddsmakers are showing New England this level of respect after facing a historically soft slate - their regular-season opponents combined for just a .391 winning percentage - and enjoying a relatively smooth road to the Super Bowl. Their path has clearly been the less demanding one, and with public money likely piling in on the Seahawks, it wouldn’t surprise me to see this number climb to 6.5 by the time Sunday arrives.
If you’re riding with Seattle, the time to strike at -4.5 is right now. This number will likely creep toward 6.5 by kickoff as the bandwagon fills up behind the NFC's best team. On the other side, Pats backers should be patient and circle Friday or Saturday of Super Bowl week to snag the best possible price.
🥇 Odds and line movement: Super Bowl MVP odds and more
The Super Bowl MVP odds have been released and, of course, Sam Darnold (+120) is the heavy favorite to take home the award. The winning quarterback on the Super Bowl-winning team has won the MVP in five of the last six Super Bowls. There has been one defensive player and two wide receivers to win the award in the past 10 seasons outside of the position.
Let's take a look at how the Super Bowl MVP lines have moved since the beginning of the playoffs:
If you're looking for player prop bets to make, our 10 best Super Bowl bets to make right now will push you in the right direction, as will our Super Bowl anytime touchdown scorer odds. As always, if you love a play right now, you likely won't be seeing better odds prior to kick off. Act fast, and protect that bankroll.
❓ Super Bowl 2026 FAQs
What is the spread for Super Bowl 60?
The Seattle Seahawks are 4.5-point betting favorites against the New England Patriots for Super Bowl 60.
Where is Super Bowl 60 being played?
Super Bowl 60 between the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots is being played at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif.
Who's playing the Super Bowl 60 halftime show?
Bad Bunny is headlining the Super Bowl 60 halftime show.
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