Best Steelers vs. Patriots Player Prop Bets Today: NFL Week 3 Odds & Expert Picks
I'm offering my best Steelers vs. Patriots player props for today's 1 p.m. ET (CBS) game at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass. The Steelers are favored by 1.5 or 2 points, but my best NFL picks for this game include a lot of success for the Patriots’ passing attack.
In addition to high expectations for Hunter Henry and Drake Maye, I anticipate Jaylen Warren struggling for the third time this season. Be sure to check out all of our NFL predictions for Week 3.
🏈 Best Steelers vs. Patriots player props: Week 3
NFL player prop bets for Sunday; odds subject to change.
- Hunter Henry Over 3.5 receptions (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Jaylen Warren Under 54.5 rushing yards (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Drake Maye Over 221.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
💰 Best Steelers vs. Patriots player prop bets
Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬆️ Hunter Henry Over 3.5 receptions (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Henry had just one catch for nine yards last week, but he had four for 66 in Week 1. This week, he faces a Steelers’ defense that has allowed 12 receptions on 15 targets to tight ends this season.
While Henry is just fifth on the Patriots in receptions, he does have the second-most targets on the team. With 11, he’s just one behind Stefon Diggs. I anticipate more meaningful targets this week against a defense that has given up nearly one-third of its 38 allowed completions to tight ends this season.
The price of -110 at BetMGM suggests a 52.38% that Henry catches at least four passes. It’s easy to see the value in this play when you compare the price to the -136 (57.63% chance) that DraftKings is offering for the Over. A $10 bet at BetMGM would pay $9.09.
⬇️ Jaylen Warren Under 54.5 rushing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Though he’s averaging 4.7 yards per carry throughout his career, Warren is only averaging 3.4 yards per carry this season. Through two games, he’s yet to have a run longer than nine yards, and his season-high is just 48 yards.
The Patriots have allowed just 117 rush yards and 3.0 yards per carry through two games. And it’s not like they’ve shut down lesser running backs. They held Ashton Jeanty to just 2.0 yards per carry and De’Von Achane to 2.7.
Though the highest total available is 55.5 yards at DraftKings, the price is -115 for the Under. This is the most confident I am in any Patriots vs. Steelers player props, so I’ll take Under 54.5 for -110 at BetMGM. The price implies a 52.38% chance Warren rushes for less than this total. A $10 bet would pay $9.09.
⬆️ Drake Maye Over 221.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐
Maye has thrown for at least 230 yards in both games this season, and now he gets to face a defense that has allowed 513 passing yards through two games. Last week, the Steelers allowed 295 yards to Sam Darnold, but more alarming is the fact that they allowed 218 on 16 completions to Justin Fields in Week 1. Fields was just 3-of-11 for 27 yards against the Bills before suffering an injury in Week 2.
I anticipate a high-scoring game, as the Steelers are allowing the fourth-most points per contest, and the Patriots are allowing 23.5. That should mean opportunities for Maye, who hasn’t needed many to succeed. Last week, he only attempted 23 passes, but he completed 19 of them, averaging 10 yards per attempt.
The price of -114 at FanDuel implies a 53..27% chance this Over hits. A $10 bet would pay $8.77.
📺 Steelers vs. Patriots game info
- When: Sunday, Sept. 21
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- Where: Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, Mass.)
- How to watch: CBS
Most popular NFL bets today
Here are the most popular NFL predictions today, based on ticket count at BetMGM as of Sunday morning:
| Most bet games (tickets) | Most bet spreads (tickets) | Most bet spreads (handle) | Most bet totals (tickets) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Packers at Browns | Packers -7.5 | Texans +1.5 | Cowboys at Bears Over 50.5 |
| Saints at Seahawks | Cowboys -1 | Browns +7.5 | Bengals at Vikings Over 41.5 |
| Rams at Eagles | Colts -4.5 | Jets +6.5 | Rams at Eagles Over 44.5 |
| Cowboys at Bears | Chargers -3 | Panthers +5.5 | Lions at Ravens Over 53.5 |
| Steelers at Patriots | Saints +7 | Saints +7 | Texans at Jaguars Under 43.5 |
❓ Steelers vs. Patriots FAQs
What are the best Steelers vs. Patriots player props?
The best Steelers vs. Patriots player props are Hunter Henry Over 3.5 receptions, Drake Maye Over 221.5 passing yards, and Jaylen Warren Under 54.5 rushing yards.
When is the Steelers vs. Patriots game?
The Steelers vs. Patriots game at Gillette Stadium will air live on CBS on Sunday at 1 p.m. ET.
How do NFL player props work?
Player props are wagers on individual performances rather than the outcome of the game. Common props include passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, and touchdown scorers. For example, if a QB’s passing yards line is set at 250.5, you can bet the Over (251-plus yards) or Under (250 or fewer yards). You can also bet on if a specific player will score a touchdown in the entire game, the first or last touchdown, and more NFL odds markets.
You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
Not intended for use in MA.
Each betting site featured on SBR has been meticulously researched and selected by our team of experts. If you sign up through our links, we may get a commission.
Related Articles
