🏈 How the Ravens' Super Bowl Odds Moved After Maxx Crosby Trade

Baltimore made the biggest move in franchise history on Friday night. We break down the Ravens' Super Bowl odds after trading for Maxx Crosby.
Enjoying SBR content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

The Baltimore Ravens pulled off the biggest move in franchise history on Friday night, trading two first-round picks to the Las Vegas Raiders for All-Pro defensive end Maxx Crosby on the eve of NFL free agency, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter.

Even after the trade moved their Super Bowl odds across the market, the Ravens are still fourth by the latest Super Bowl odds behind the Seattle Seahawks, Los Angeles Rams, and Buffalo Bills. Below, we break down the Ravens' Super Bowl odds and how the Crosby trade impacts their chances to hoist the Lombardi Trophy in 2027.


⚖️ Maxx Crosby trade details

Ravens receive Raiders receive
Maxx Crosby (DE) 2026 1st-round pick (No. 14 overall)
2027 1st-round pick

The Ravens paid the biggest price in a trade in franchise history: two first-round picks for Crosby after having never spent a first on a veteran in franchise history, according to The Athletic's Jeff Zrebiec. It comes a year after the Green Bay Packers sent two firsts (and Kenny Clark) for Micah Parsons, though he's two years younger than Crosby.

A trade of some kind has been brewing for months after Crosby ended the year on the sidelines when the team shut down the five-time Pro Bowler with a knee injury, a move that frustrated the franchise star. While Crosby reportedly never requested a trade, it felt like the end was near - especially if a contender offered a juicy enough trade package.

The Dallas Cowboys reportedly offered a first- and second-round picks, but the Ravens' front office responded with the boldest move in franchise history ahead of Jesse Minter's first season as head coach. And the betting market has responded ... even if only tepidly.

📜 Biggest trades in Ravens history

  • Roquan Smith (2022): The Ravens traded a 2nd-round pick, 5th-round pick, and linebacker A.J. Klein to the Bears in a midseason deal for Smith, who has made two All-Pro teams in three full seasons in Baltimore.
  • Marcus Peters (2019): The Ravens traded linebacker Kenny Young and a 5th-round pick to the Rams in a blockbuster deal for Peters, who had a pick-six in his debut and helped spark a 14-2 season.
  • Anquan Boldin (2010): The Ravens traded 3rd- and 4th-round picks to the Cardinals for Boldin in what is arguably the best trade in franchise history. Boldin played a key role in Baltimore's Super Bowl run in 2012-13.
  • Steve McNair (2006): The Ravens traded a 4th-round pick to the Titans for the veteran quarterback McNair, who earned a Pro Bowl nod in his only full season as a starter in Baltimore.

📊 Ravens' Super Bowl odds after Crosby trade

The Ravens were already among the favorites to win the Super Bowl next year before the Crosby trade, and I highlighted them in my 2027 Super Bowl predictions as the best bet to hoist the Lombardi Trophy when they were priced at +1300.

That price is now gone with the best odds in the hours after the draft sitting at +1100, which is still a heck of a price for a team with a two-time NFL MVP winner in Lamar Jackson, who currently ranks second by the NFL MVP odds for next season. That feels like a potential value, too, with Crosby raising the floor and ceiling for this roster.

Here's a look at the Ravens' Super Bowl odds across all of our best NFL betting sites on Friday night immediately after the blockbuster trade for Crosby:

Ravens' Super Bowl odds

Sportsbook Odds Probability
DraftKings +1000 9.09%
FanDuel +1000 9.09%
BetMGM +1000 9.09%
Caesars +1100 8.33%
bet365 +1100 8.33%

📈 How does Crosby trade change Ravens' outlook in 2026?

The Ravens' biggest weakness last year - aside from health and potentially coaching - was obvious: the pass rush needed a serious overhaul this offseason.

Baltimore's pass-rushing unit was historically bad last year, recording just 30 sacks for their fewest mark since 2010 and the third-worst mark by any team in 2025. The Ravens' 4.6% sack rate ranked second-worst in franchise history, and it was the first season since the team's inaugural 1996 campaign where no single player reached six sacks.

Crosby immediately changes that math. Since entering the NFL in 2019, he's generated 360 quarterback pressures - 29 more than the next closest player, per ESPN Research - while reaching double-digit sacks in four of seven seasons. He does it while playing nearly every snap, too, and serving as a dominant run defender on the edge.

He's a perfect fit for Minter's new defensive scheme in Baltimore, which thrives on generating consistent pressure from four-man looks while mixing up coverages on the back end. While Crosby alone won't fix this team's previously toothless pass rush, he should help transform that unit on the field while adding an edge in the locker room that this entire defense clearly lacked amid an uninspiring 2025 season.


💰 Should you bet the Ravens to win Super Bowl 2027?

I was high on the Ravens entering this offseason after the hired Minter, whom I felt was the best coaching candidate on the market and the closest thing to a Mike Macdonald clone that Baltimore could find after letting the reigning Super Bowl coach walk in 2024.

Minter should have little issue running his scheme to the fullest extent now with All-Pro talent at all three levels in Crosby, linebacker Roquan Smith, and safety Kyle Hamilton, while the Ravens' offense is still a dangerous unit with Jackson, running back Derrick Henry, and a likely new addition to the pass-catching corps alongside wide receiver Zay Flowers and tight end Mark Andrews.

Even after adding one of the NFL's best players at a glaring position of need, the Ravens' Super Bowl odds barely moved. Their current odds of +1100 imply an 8.3% chance they win the title. If you hadn't already invested some offseason capital in this team's chances of finally winning a ring in the Jackson era, there's never been a better time to do so.


🔢 Maxx Crosby stats 2025

Stat 2025
Games 15
Tackles (solo) 73 (45)
Tackles for loss 28
Sacks 10
QB hits 20
Pressures (PFF) 53
Pass deflections 6
Interceptions 1
Forced fumbles 2
PFF overall grade 79.7

Crosby posted another double-digit sack season in 2025 despite playing through a knee injury he suffered in Week 4 against the Bears. He was second among all edge defenders in solo tackles (45) and tied for fourth in assists (19), per PFF. His 28 tackles for loss ranked second among all defenders, trailing only Myles Garrett (33).

Those numbers were down slightly from his monster 2023 season when he was named second-team All-Pro and finished fourth in Defensive Player of the Year voting, but he played on a three-win Raiders team that was frequently trailing and faced pass-heavy game scripts with little help around him. Even so, he still ranked among the league leaders in most pass-rushing stats while shutting down the run to his side, too.

He did miss five games in 2024 and the final two games of last season, but he's expected to be fully healthy for training camp. He's among the league leaders in snap counts when he's off the injury report, though, so availability shouldn't be a concern aside from the general risk of any aging star approaching 30.


💵 What is Maxx Crosby's contract?

Crosby signed a three-year, $106.5 million extension with the Raiders last March, making him the highest-paid non-quarterback in the NFL at the time. The deal (which kicks in this summer) includes $91.5 million in total guarantees and carries an average annual value of $35.5 million, and it's all inherited by the Ravens in this blockbuster deal.

Here's a look at the contract details according to Spotrac:

Year Base salary Cap hit Dead cap
2026 $30,000,000 $30,690,000 $30,000,000
2027 $29,000,000 $29,782,000 --
2028 $26,500,000 $27,282,000 --
2029 $27,430,000 $28,212,000 --

One key contract detail to note: Crosby's $29M salary in 2027 becomes fully guaranteed on the third day of the 2026 league year (March 13), meaning the Ravens are effectively locked into a two-year, $59M commitment the moment this trade processes. Obviously, given the cost to acquire him, he'll be on the roster later this month and through 2027.

After that, the Ravens could opt to part ways with the five-time Pro Bowl pass rusher, though it's far more likely Baltimore opts to extend the defensive star at some point after this season - possibly to reduce his cap hit for '27 and use that extra space add more talent around him. If he struggles, though, general manager Eric DeCosta still retains flexibility to get out of the deal entering the 2028 offseason.


📃 Affiliate disclosure

Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)