Raiders vs. Broncos Prediction Tonight: Thursday Night Football Betting Preview
The Denver Broncos can build on their perfect home record and keep breaking away in the AFC West when they host the Las Vegas Raiders tonight. My Raiders vs. Broncos prediction expects the home team to roll when the action gets underway from Empower Field at Mile High, starting with kickoff at 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video).
The Broncos are a 9.5-point betting favorite. My Week 10 NFL predictions expect wideout Courtland Sutton to help them cover that line.
✅ Raiders vs. Broncos prediction & expert picks
See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 10.
💵 Best Raiders vs. Broncos bets
- Game prediction: Broncos -9 (-105 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Under 42.5 (-106 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
- Best prop bet: Courtland Sutton Over 53.5 receiving yards (-113 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
📊 Raiders vs. Broncos odds
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🏈 Thursday Night Football preview & score prediction
The Raiders have been the worst road team over their last three games while losing by an average margin of 27.3 points and allowing 384 yards of total offense.
Geno Smith, who's consistently near the bottom of our Clutch Factor power rankings, deals with pressure poorly. Only five QBs with at least five starts are worse under pressure, which is reflected in his 42.1 ranking at PFF.
That's a gloomy situation considering the Broncos' propensity to pressure the opposing QB. Vance Joseph's defense blitzes the seventh-most (27.4%) and has registered the third-highest pressure rate (28.2%). The unit has tallied 40 sacks, which is a remarkable 12 more than the second-place Detroit Lions.
The Raiders' lack of a ground game is a primary contributing factor to Smith's inability to cope with pressure. They field the worst run unit, according to DVOA and EPA per play. That should represent a perfect storm for Denver's defense, which should resemble a group of sharks detecting plenty of chum to go around.
Caesars and BetMGM are the only remaining best sports betting sites offering Broncos at -9, with Caesars' -108 odds providing the best value. A winning $10 bet will profit $9.26.
Esten McLaren offers his anytime touchdown scorer predictions for tonight's matchup.
Score prediction: Broncos 27, Raiders 14
💡 More Week 10 predictions
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game in Week 10.
🆚 Key matchup to watch on TNF
Courtland Sutton vs. Raiders' secondary
The Raiders allow the fifth-most yards per game (165.12) to opposing wide receivers and they've given up 245 passing yards per contest on the road.
Sutton is much more productive at Mile High Stadium, where he averages 74 receiving yards, and he's hit the Over on this total in all four home games.
Bo Nix has also been more formidable through the air at home, averaging 284 passing yards in the previous three. Only DraftKings and FanDuel offer the lower 53.5-yard total, with the former (-113) providing the best value. The -113 odds imply a 53.05% win probability, and a winning $10 bet will profit $8.85.
Looking for another Sutton prop? Well, you're in luck, as we have one in our Raiders vs. Broncos player props. Meanwhile, Dustin Saracini offers his Ashton Jeanty player props for tonight's star rookie.
Best prop bet: Courtland Sutton Over 53.5 receiving yards (-113 via DraftKings)
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✅ More Thursday Night Football picks
📈 Raiders vs. Broncos betting trends
| Raiders | Statistic | Broncos |
|---|---|---|
| 2-6 | W-L record | 7-2 |
| 3-5 | ATS record | 4-4-1 |
| 3-5 | O/U record | 3-6 |
| 5.0 | Yards per play | 5.4 |
| 5.2 | Yards allowed per play | 4.5 |
| -0.6 | Turnover margin | -0.3 |
| 1-4 | Last 5 games | 5-0 |
| L, 30-29 vs. Jaguars | Previous result | W, 18-15 vs. Texans |
🚑 Raiders vs. Broncos injury report
🌤️ Raiders vs. Broncos weather
It will be cool, clear, and mostly calm for TNF in the Mile High City. The temperature is expected to drop to approximately 43 degrees, with clear skies and no chance of precipitation. The wind will average 7 mph, with gusts reaching 19 mph.
Check our NFL weather report for the latest forecasts and betting impacts for every game this week.
📈 Raiders vs. Broncos betting insights
Here are some betting insights in the hours before kickoff, via BetMGM.
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
| Open -10 Broncos -> -9 (77% of the bets and 82% of the handle are on Denver) | Open 42.5 -> 43 (53% of the bets and 62% of the handle are on the Over) | Open -575 Broncos -> -475 (52% of the bets and 90% of the handle on Denver) |
📺 How to watch Thursday Night Football: Raiders vs. Broncos
- Date: Thursday, Nov. 6
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver)
- TV: Prime Video
💡Thursday Night Football expert picks
- Raiders vs. Broncos prediction
- Raiders vs. Broncos player props
- Raiders vs. Broncos same-game parlay
- Raiders vs. Broncos anytime touchdown scorer predictions
- Raiders vs. Broncos first touchdown scorer predictions
- Ashton Jeanty player prop bets
- Raiders vs. Broncos best bets
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