Best QB Prop Bets for Week 8 Based on Our NFL Clutch Factor Power Rankings
A new quarterback has his name etched atop the NFL Clutch Factor power rankings entering Week 8. The question is, how long will Daniel Jones remain the league's most clutch QB?
With Dak Prescott, Baker Mayfield, Matthew Stafford, Sam Darnold, Patrick Mahomes, and Drake Maye among those chasing him, Jones must maintain his elite level when the Indianapolis Colts take on the lowly Tennessee Titans. With Week 8 on the near horizon, I've brought to light some NFL picks, part of the NFL predictions for Week 8, for a couple of the most clutch QBs.
π NFL Clutch Factor power rankings 2025
The Clutch Factor power rankings below are graded out of 100 and are based on each quarterback's cumulative performances throughout the season. My Clutch Factor power rankings can help you stay ahead of movement in the NFL MVP odds.
| Rank | Quarterback | Overall Clutch Factor |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Jones (Colts) | 85 |
| 2 | Dak Prescott (Cowboys) | 84 |
| 3 | Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers) | 82 |
| T4 | Matthew Stafford (Rams) | 81 |
| T4 | Sam Darnold (Seahawks) | 81 |
| 6 | Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) | 79 |
| 7 | Drake Maye (Patriots) | 77 |
| 8 | Josh Allen (Bills) | 76 |
| T9 | Jalen Hurts (Eagles) | 75 |
| T9 | Bo Nix (Broncos) | 75 |
| T9 | Jordan Love (Packers) | 75 |
| 12 | Jared Goff (Lions) | 74 |
| 13 | Aaron Rodgers (Steelers) | 73 |
| 14 | Caleb Williams (Bears) | 72 |
| 15 | Jayden Daniels (Commanders) | 71 |
| T16 | Lamar Jackson (Ravens) | 70 |
| T16 | Justin Herbert (Chargers) | 70 |
| 18 | Jacoby Brissett (Cardinals) | 69 |
| 19 | Bryce Young (Panthers) | 68 |
| T20 | Carson Wentz (Vikings) | 67 |
| T20 | Mac Jones (49ers) | 67 |
| 22 | Kyler Murray (Cardinals) | 66 |
| 23 | Spencer Rattler (Saints) | 61 |
| 24 | Joe Flacco (Bengals) | 59 |
| T25 | C.J. Stroud (Texans) | 57 |
| T25 | Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons) | 57 |
| T27 | Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins) | 56 |
| T27 | Dillon Gabriel (Browns) | 56 |
| 29 | Justin Fields (Jets) | 53 |
| 30 | Geno Smith (Raiders) | 52 |
| 31 | Cam Ward (Titans) | 50 |
Injured QBs do not get penalized for being on the treatment table and are graded based on their time on the field. However, they must play 50% of the games and a minimum of three starts to qualify.
For last year's rankings and clutch ratings methodology, see our initial NFL clutch ratings.
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π° Best clutch QB prop bets for Week 8
Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area
β¬οΈ Dak Prescott Over 1.5 TD passes (-130) ββββ
Prescott has gotten better with every game, tossing 10 TD passes in the previous three. He threw four against the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium three weeks ago, his most prolific output of the season. Prescott will face his sternest challenge of the season in the Mile High City against a Denver Broncos defense that has allowed only seven passing TDs, tied for the second fewest.
I'm siding with Prescott, though, as he has proven why he belongs as the second-most clutch QB through seven weeks. Of the best sports betting sites, FanDuel offers the best odds (-130), where a winning $10 bet will profit $7.69.
β¬οΈ Bo Nix Over 232.5 passing yards (-114) ββββ
I'd like to take credit for this recommendation, but the plaudits - if Bo Nix hits, of course - go to our Sean Tomlinson. Here's what he had to say from our expert picks piece:
"An imposing Broncos rushing offense ranks fifth leaguewide, and Denver often leans on that strength combined with its stellar defense.
But like most games involving the Cowboys recently, this contest comes with strong shootout potential, and itβs getting a total of 50.5 from some of the best sports betting apps. That will require Bo Nix continuing to pass to keep up with the smoldering-hot Prescott, and heβll be doing it against a Cowboys defense that sits dead last while giving up 260.3 passing yards per game."
π‘ NFL expert picks today
Follow all of our NFL expert picks for Week 8 throughout the week.
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π Best clutch performances
Track all of the latest NFL scores for full box scores and betting info.
π Stafford ties career high in rout of Jaguars
Matthew Stafford tied a career high with five TD passes as the Los Angeles Rams sauntered to a 35-7 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars in London. Without the injured Puka Nacua at his disposal, Stafford spread the ball around expertly.
The 37-year-old, whose back is holding up better than London Bridge, connected with 10 different receivers.
Four of his TD passes came in the red zone, all of which were within five yards of the end zone. Only four QBs handle pressure better than him through seven weeks (Sam Darnold, Drake Maye, Jalen Hurts, and Dak Prescott), which he displayed at Wembley Stadium, tossing all five TDs against the blitz.
NFL MVP odds favorite Mahomes and Mayfield are the only other QBs to throw five TD passes against a blitz in any game since 2016. Stafford was blitzed on a season-high 55.9% of his dropbacks.
π¦ Hurts soared against Vikings
Jalen Hurts flew up the clutch QB power rankings, moving from a share of 14th to a share of ninth, thanks to his best game of the season.
The Super Bowl MVP took the impetus and tossed the Philadelphia Eagles on his back, amassing 326 passing yards and three TD passes.
It wasn't just the impressive stats, but he also dashed any hopes of a Minnesota Vikings comeback countless times. Arguably, the most critical play of the game came on third-and-long late in the fourth quarter, where he came up, well, clutch.
The Eagles were able to ice the game after the 45-yard connection with A.J. Brown.
Not only did he deliver his best performance of the season, but it came at a time when his team needed it most. It ensured the Eagles avoided a three-game losing streak for the first time since 2023.
π Nix mounted improbable comeback win over Giants
Bo Nix became the first quarterback to score two rushing and two passing TDs in a fourth quarter. That unprecedented accomplishment helped the Denver Broncos overturn a 19-0 deficit entering the fourth quarter. While the Broncos' defense had a massive part to play, Nix was influential in spearheading a remarkable 33-point fourth quarter.
Nix already has three fourth-quarter comebacks and game-winning drives through seven weeks, equaling his output from his rookie season.
When trailing, he has 11 TDs, no interceptions, and a 101.6 passer rating. With that historic comeback, Nix infiltrated the top 10 in the power rankings, moving up from 14th last week.
ποΈ More Week 7 takeaways
- Daniel Jones leapfrogged Mayfield into first place
- Patrick Mahomes has ascended the leaderboard, moving from 12th to sixth
- Jordan Love mounted his first fourth-quarter comeback of the season against the Arizona Cardinals
- Nix, Love, and Joe Flacco were the only QBs to orchestrate Week 7 fourth-quarter comebacks
- Flacco moved from 30th to 24th after finding a way to beat the Pittsburgh Steelers in Cincinnati
- Drake Maye improved from 10th to seventh, correlating to a rise in Maye's MVP odds stock
- Josh Allen has dropped from the top spot to eighth overall in the last three weeks
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