Seahawks, Rams Sizable Favorites in Super Bowl Look-Ahead Odds & Betting Lines

The Super Bowl look-ahead odds and lines are showing the NFC champion will enter as a sizable favorite.

If either the Los Angeles Rams or Seattle Seahawks face the New England Patriots, we should get a much closer contest. However, if the Denver Broncos upset New England this Sunday with Jarrett Stidham under center, the Seahawks or Patriots will be massive favorites by the Super Bowl odds come Sunday night.

The Super Bowl takes place Sunday, Feb. 8 at 6:30 p.m. ET. Let's break down the look-ahead lines. All bets void if the matchup you wagered on doesn't end up taking place.

🏈 Super Bowl look-ahead lines

Super Bowl look-ahead lines via FanDuel.

🐎 Why the Broncos can make history

An upset this weekend with a backup quarterback starting would mean the Broncos could make history before the Super Bowl is even played. There are only 15 spreads higher in Super Bowl history than the -8.5 each possible Broncos matchup is getting, according to SportsOddsHistory.

That total is useful for the full historical context, but many of those larger spreads came during the early days of The Big Game, with the first four Super Bowls receiving spreads of -12 or greater. There was also a cluster of blowouts in the late 80s and early 90s, many of which featured the glory days of the Joe Montana/Steve Young and Jerry Rice 49ers, or the Buffalo Bills and their misery.

Now the Super Bowl look-ahead lines show that any matchup involving the Broncos is heavily slanted against them, mostly due to the presence of Stidman. A spread that large is some blue moon stuff in the more recent history of the Super Bowl.

Super Bowl lines since 2000

All lines via Sportsoddshistory

Looking back, 11 of the past 16 Super Bowls received a closing line of a field goal or shorter. If we zoom a little further out to the start of the new millennium, just four Super Bowl matchups have been given a spread of a touchdown or more.

If the current lookahead lines for any game featuring the Broncos don't move, Denver versus either the Rams or Seahawks would feature the largest spread since the 2008 Super Bowl. That's when the New York Giants entered as +12.5 underdogs before famously upsetting the undefeated New England Patriots.

But that's an outlier, as was the -14 spread The Greatest Show on Turf team from St. Louis was given ahead of clashing with the Patriots during the beginning of the Tom Brady era in the 2002 Super Bowl. There hasn't been a spread greater than even -5 since the 2009 game, which the favored Pittsburgh Steelers won over the Arizona Cardinals but didn't cover, taking it 27-23.

Let's dive into the potential matchups a little more. But if you're leaning even slightly toward the Broncos and Stidham shocking the world and taking the Super Bowl, put that bet down now.

Denver upsetting New England this weekend is understandably not the favored pick in our conference championship predictions. But if that happens and Stidham looks even somewhat competent, it's highly likely the best NFL betting sites adjust fast and move the spread down, perhaps lower than a touchdown.

🏆 Super Bowl look-ahead matchups and odds

Seahawks (-8.5) vs. Broncos

Sure, if the Broncos advance this weekend it's possible they do it with Stidham trying his best late-career Peyton Manning impression. He could be the definition of a caretaker, while perhaps making a key throw or two as the team rides its stellar defense and running game.

This number may not move much in that scenario, though you should still act now since such a colossal spread by Super Bowl standards is worth at least a sprinkle. The Seahawks and Broncos feature two of the top three defenses in terms of points allowed during the regular season, making staying within a large number more feasible during a slugfest.

Early pick: Broncos +8.5

Seahawks (-3.5) vs. Patriots

Sam Darnold wasn't asked to do a whole lot during the Seahawks' blowout 41-6 Divisional Round win. He still looked effective and in strong form when needed, but this line could wiggle a little more toward Seattle if Darnold thrives amid heavier lifting against the Rams this weekend, putting his oblique injury even further behind him.

Early pick: Seahawks -3.5

Rams (-8.5) vs. Broncos

Much of the same thinking regarding Stidham and the Broncos applies here. Though if you're picking just one potential Broncos matchup for a lottery-ticket play before the line potentially moves, it's best to lean toward the Seahawks-Broncos tilt due to the defensive strength on the field, resulting in a churning clock and lower-scoring affair. That hypothetical matchup is also getting the lowest total of the four at 40.5.

Capitalizing on the mammoth number here is still the right move early, but the Broncos could struggle more to keep up with the league's top-ranked offense that averaged 30.5 points per game.

Early pick: Broncos +8.5

Rams (-3.5) vs. Patriots

This matchup is getting easily the highest total of the four hypothetical clashes while resting at 51.5, a full five points clear of the others.

Matthew Stafford and the Rams' offense looked out of sync at times against the Chicago Bears during the Divisional Round. This line could inch more toward Los Angeles if the high-octane unit we've come to know fully returns against the Seahawks on the road.

Early pick: Rams -3.5

📊 Super Bowl odds

See the latest Super Bowl odds as The Big Game gets closer.

🤔 Is it worth betting on Super Bowl look-ahead odds?

See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.

No matter how sharp the market seems, overreaction is often baked into betting odds. That's true throughout the playoffs, and especially just prior to the Super Bowl, when significantly more eyes are on one game and the developing matchup.

That's why betting early can prove advantageous, especially if you expect an outlier result during the conference championships that could sway the actual odds significantly. If that happens, you're already sitting on a far more appealing line.

But the best aspect is that risk is mitigated somewhat because all bets are voided if the matchup you're betting on doesn't occur, and your money is refunded.

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