NFL Playoff Odds 2025: Which Teams Offer Best Value to Make Postseason?

The NFL playoff odds offer some appealing value on several teams beyond the Super Bowl favorites, but which should you put your faith and hard-earned money behind?

Gary Pearson

Last Updated: July 29, 2025 7:28 AM EDT • 5 minute read

NFL Playoff Odds 2025: Best Bets to Make Playoffs — Pictured: Jayden Daniels and Sam Hartman at a Washington Commanders practice as we offer our NFL Playoff Odds 2025, Best Bets to Make Playoffs. Photo by Geoff Burke via Imagn Images

You don't have to be an NFL expert to know which teams have the shortest NFL playoff odds.

The usual suspects - Kansas City Chiefs, Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, and Philadelphia Eagles - lead the way, but which teams offer the best value to make the postseason?

We answer that question in our best bets to make the playoffs.

🔢 NFL playoff odds 2025

📈 Which teams offer best value to make postseason?

Like a bucket of fresh prawns, consider the Super Bowl odds favorites too pricey for this market.

Even the Los Angeles Rams (-185), San Francisco 49ers (-180), and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-165) are too rich for my blood, none of which pass my risk-benefit analysis.

I've taken aim at the next tier, including the trio of teams below, to back as my best bets to make the postseason.

⚡ Best bets to make postseason: Chargers

NFL Playoff Odds 2025: Best Bets to Make Postseason — Pictured: Los Angeles Chargers' Najee Harris in training camp as we offer our Best Bets to Make Postseason. Photo by Kirby Lee via Imagn Images

Best odds: -132 via FanDuel
Implied probability: 56.71%

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The Chargers improved offensively, investing heavily in their pass catchers, an area that desperately needed upgrading.

While Mike Williams retired sooner than most Los Angeles Chargers fans would have liked, they drafted KeAndre Lambert-Smith and tight end Oronde Gasden II. Jim Harbaugh's team lost J.K. Dobbins to the rival Denver Broncos, but added Najee Harris, resulting in a net positive outcome. Harris is currently on the NFI list, but he isn't expected to stay there long-term.

At least in terms of big-name players, the Chargers took a step back defensively, losing Joey Bosa and Poona Ford to the Buffalo Bills and Rams.

While defensive coordinator Jesse Minter believes new arrivals Da'Shawn Hand and Naquan Jones will help offset Bosa and Ford's departures, I'm not so sure.

Either way, I'm calling it a wash, with their offensive improvements offsetting the defensive losses.

Harbaugh instilled a winning culture in his first year as head coach, and I expect his tight-knit unit to remain one of the most challenging teams to play against.

Under his stewardship, they should get back to the postseason despite being entrenched in one of the league's most competitive divisions.

🏛️ Best bets to make postseason: Commanders

Best odds: -138 via FanDuel
Implied probability: 57.98%

Even if Jayden Daniels endures a sophomore regression, a likely scenario considering the otherworldly level at which he played throughout his rookie campaign, the Washington Commanders should be heading back to the postseason.

They have a middle-range schedule in terms of difficulty, ranked 14th according to Sharp Football Analysis. While their fatigue-adjusted index is among the most arduous, the Commanders boast a stacked offense.

They bolstered their attack by reinforcing the offensive line, trading for Laremy Tunsil and drafting rookie first-rounder Josh Conerly Jr., while acquiring Deebo Samuel to strengthen the receiving core.

Samuel, whose arrival garnered raised eyebrows for the perceived notion that he showed up more out of shape than the featured subject at the end of Super Size Me, scoffed at the notion, putting together this IG clip for his naysayers.

He will invariably add another level of dynamism.

Their defense won't scare anyone, but the Commanders have more than enough offensive talent to return to the playoffs, especially as they get to play the New York Giants twice. They must, however, ante up to re-sign Terry McLaurin, Daniels' primary target.

FanDuel is the place to lock it in, as their -138 odds are marginally better than the rest of our best sportsbooks. DraftKings' -160 odds represents the least value.

🐎 Best bets to make postseason: Broncos

Best odds: -114 via FanDuel
Implied probability: 53.27%

Unless QB Bo Nix endures a palpable sophomore slump, the Broncos should have a clear path to the playoffs. Denver's already top-notch defense, which had the fourth-best DVOA last season, has become even more elite.

Sean Payton added assets in linebacker Dre Greenlaw and safety Talanoa Hufanga, who should be impactful as long as they stay off the treatment table.

That's in conjunction with selecting cornerback Jahdae Barron with the 20th pick in the 2025 draft and boasting reigning Defensive Player of the Year, Patrick Surtain.

Offensively, Payton brought in tight end Evan Engram and running back J.K. Dobbins. They also have a middling 14th-easiest schedule to look forward to. Like Nix in his rookie season, FanDuel is the standout among our best sports betting apps for this pick, offering the best odds.

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Written by:
Gary Pearson

Gary Pearson has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn't a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor's degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete's psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team's dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.