Patriots vs. Buccaneers Player Props Today: Best Bets & TD Picks for NFL Week 10

My Patriots vs. Buccaneers player props today break down this matchup of surprising MVP candidates in Drake Maye and Baker Mayfield. The Buccaneers are the 2.5-point betting favorite for the clash of division leaders, getting underway at 1 p.m. from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla., airing on CBS.

My NFL predictions for Week 10 include my top player prop for each team’s quarterback, and takes an anytime touchdown scorer at +250 odds.

✅ Patriots vs. Buccaneers player prop bets

See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 10.

💰 Best Patriots vs. Buccaneers player props

⬇️  Drake Maye player prop: Under 245.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐

Drake Maye has an NFL-best 87 Total QBR while going 4-0 in road starts. In that span he has also averaged 9.7 yards per attempt and totaled a 7-0 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

But Maye has not faced the stiffest competition in opposing defenses in road starts (Miami Dolphins, Buffalo Bills, New Orleans Saints, and Tennessee Titans). And it is also concerning that his left tackle, Will Campbell, ranks 56th among qualifying tackles in pass block win rate.

This is a three-star best Patriots vs. Buccaneers player prop, as Maye will face his stiffest road challenge yet from a defense that ranks in the top five in Defensive Efficiency and Pass Rush Win Rate.

BetMGM offers the best number and price for Under backers, as Maye’s O/U is as low as 241.5 on the opposite end of the market. The -115 price at 53.49% implied odds would net $8.70 on a winning $10 wager.

⬇️  Baker Mayfield player prop: Under 0.5 interceptions (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Baker Mayfield’s 13-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio is the fourth-best in the league. 

He is 0-2 in his career against New England. And while the Patriots are tied for ninth with seven interceptions on the season, I expect Mayfield to utilize the short passing game as an extension of the running game, as the Patriots have not allowed a running back to run for 50-plus yards this year.

The Under is juiced as high as -121 at some of our best sports betting sites, carrying a 54.75% implied probability. Thus, the best return is at BetMGM, whose -115 odds would pay out $8.70 in profits on a $10 wager if Mayfield does not throw a pick.

6️⃣ Best Patriots vs. Buccaneers touchdown scorer bet

🔥 Cade Otton TD pick: Anytime touchdown scorer (+250) ⭐⭐

Cade Otton leads the Buccaneers in receptions since Week 5. He has seen 6.3 targets per game in the last four games, and faces a Patriots defense that allows the seventh-most yards to tight ends.

There is certainly value in this wager, as the next-longest odds after bet365’s +250 are the +185 odds at a 35.09% implied probability at Caesars. 

If Otton scores, my $10 wager would net $25 in profits.

📊 Patriots vs. Buccaneers anytime touchdown scorer odds

See live NFL odds for every game in Week 10.

📺 How to watch Patriots vs. Buccaneers

• Date: Sunday, Nov. 9
• Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
• Location: Raymond James Stadium (Tampa, Fla.)
• TV: CBS

💡 NFL expert picks for Week 10

Follow all of our NFL analysis for Week 10 throughout the week.

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