Patriots vs. Broncos Player Props & Best Bets: AFC Championship Game Prop Bets

Denver welcomes New England for the Conference Championship, and I’m rolling out my top Patriots vs. Broncos player props to get you ready for Sunday’s 3 p.m. ET kickoff at Empower Field at Mile High on CBS.

The Patriots open as 4.5-point favorites, but with Bo Nix sidelined, the big question is whether Denver has enough firepower to keep pace in the freezing temperatures. Let’s dive into the plays as part of our full Conference Championship predictions.

🏈 Patriots vs. Broncos player props: AFC Championship Game

See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.

💰 Patriots vs. Broncos best prop bet: Stidham to play game manager, go Under 200.5 passing yards (-114)⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

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For as much as I like the Broncos to cover here, they're going to take a conservative approach in a do-or-die AFC Championship Game. I'd be surprised if Stidham drops back more than 20 times in this game. Expect a heavy dose of R.J. Harvey and J.K. Dobbins if he suits up (he's trending that way). Denver wins this game if Stidham limits his mistake and a heavy ground game will do just that.

🔥 More Patriots vs. Broncos prop picks

Fade Maye, take him to go Under 223.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

This script has treated us well all season, so there’s no need to reinvent the wheel now. Denver’s defense is absolutely stacked, and with Bo Nix on the shelf, it’s realistically the Broncos’ only path to a Super Bowl berth. They boast the NFL’s fourth-best scoring defense, and if New England finds itself protecting a second-half lead, expect a heavy helping of Rhamondre Stevenson to bleed the clock. Maye stayed under this number last week, and I’m betting we see a repeat performance here.

Sutton shines, scores a touchdown (+270) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

When a backup QB gets thrown into the deep end, he almost always leans on his safety blanket - and Sutton checks every box. He drew nine targets last week, and even though Bo Nix was the one pulling the trigger, Sean Payton’s trust in Jarrett Stidham is a big deal here, especially against a Patriots red-zone defense that sits 23rd in the league. Given that matchup, I’m more than OK tossing a half-unit sprinkle on this juiced line.

🚀 Patriots vs. Broncos same-game parlay

See all of our NFL same-game parlays for the AFC Championship Game, and our best NFL parlay betting sites.

• Jarrett Stidham Under 200.5 passing yards
• Drake Maye Under 223.5 passing yards
• Courtland Sutton anytime touchdown scorer

Best SGP odds: +1204 via FanDuel

📺 How to watch Patriots vs. Broncos: AFC Championship Game

• Date: Sunday, Jan. 25
• Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
• Location: Empower Field at Mile High
• TV: CBS