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Patriots vs. Broncos Expert Picks for AFC Championship Game: NFL Predictions, Best Bets & Odds

Our Patriots vs. Broncos expert picks break down the AFC Championship Game from every angle ahead of kickoff at 3 p.m. ET.
Andrew Reid
Andrew Reid

Last Updated: January 25, 2026 3:29 PM EST • 4 minute read

New England Patriots running back Rhamondre Stevenson runs with the ball as we make our best Patriots vs. Broncos expert picks.
Pictured: New England Patriots running back Rhamondre Stevenson runs with the ball as we make our best Patriots vs. Broncos expert picks. Photo by Brian Fluharty-Imagn Images
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A ticket to Super Bowl 60 is on the line tonight as the New England Patriots and Denver Broncos clash in the AFC Championship Game. Our Patriots vs. Broncos expect picks cover the game from all angles ahead of kickoff from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver at 3 p.m. ET (CBS); New England is a 3.5-point betting favorite.

This is just a taste of our Conference Championship predictions to give you a touch of all of the coverage we have lined up.

🏈 Patriots vs. Broncos expert picks: AFC Championship Game

See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.

Betting expert Best bet Best odds Confidence
Dustin Saracini Broncos +4.5 -112 via FanDuel ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Dustin Saracini Drake Maye Under 223.5 passing yards -114 via FanDuel ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Esten McLaren TreVeyon Henderson anytime touchdown +240 via DraftKings ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Sean Tomlinson Under 42.5  -104 via FanDuel ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Gary Pearson Drake Maye Over 0.5 interceptions +100 via FanDuel ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Andrew Reid Jarrett Stidham Over 15.5 rushing touchdowns -107 via DraftKings ⭐⭐⭐
Sean Tomlinson Hunter Henry first touchdown scorer +950 via Caesars ⭐⭐⭐⭐

🔮 Patriots vs. Broncos prediction

Broncos +4.5 (-112) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Dustin Saracini: Don't underestimate this Broncos team. The first time Drake Maye and the Patriots faced a real defense was last week against the Houston Texans, and he promptly turned the ball over three times, fumbling four times  

See Dustin Saracini's full analysis in his Patriots vs. Broncos prediction, including his favorite player prop bet and the best AFC Championship Game betting trends, injury report, and more.

🔥 Best Patriots vs. Broncos player prop pick

Drake Maye Under 223.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Dustin Saracini: Denver’s defense is absolutely stacked, and with Bo Nix on the shelf, it’s realistically the Broncos’ only path to a Super Bowl berth. They boast the NFL’s fourth-best scoring defense, and if New England finds itself protecting a second-half lead, expect a heavy helping of Rhamondre Stevenson to bleed the clock  

See Dustin Saracini's full analysis in his Patriots vs. Broncos player props, including his best bets for Maye, Jarrett Stidham and Courtland Sutton.

And if Dustin doesn't have enough Stidham for you, our Andrew Reid has a full slate of Jarrett Stidham player props.

🙌 Best Patriots vs. Broncos anytime touchdown scorer pick

TreVeyon Henderson, RB, Patriots (+240) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Esten McLaren: TreVeyon Henderson (and Rhamondre Stevenson, +127 TD odds) should feast in what will be a cold and potentially snowy afternoon in Denver. Give me the longer odds for the rookie.

See Esten McLarens's full analysis in his Patriots vs. Broncos anytime touchdown scorer picks the AFC Championship Game, including another running back.

1️⃣ Best Patriots vs. Broncos first touchdown scorer pick

Hunter Henry, TE, Patriots (+950) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Sean Tomlinson:  The Broncos are vulnerable against tight ends and have given up the ninth-most receiving yards to the position. That makes this the ideal matchup for Hunter Henry since he's also a red-zone target magnet.  

See Sean Tomlinson's full analysis in his Patriots vs. Broncos first touchdown scorer predictions, including a pair of Broncos wideouts.

🚀 Patriots vs. Broncos same-game parlay

Here's a look at what our NFL expert Sean Tomlinson is betting tonight with his best AFC Championship Game SGP paying out at +623 odds:

💵 AFC Championship Game SGP bets

  • Under 42.5 (-104) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Jarrett Stidham Under 200.5 passing yards ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Rhamondre Stevenson to score a touchdown (+125) ⭐⭐⭐

Best SGP odds: +623 via FanDuel ($10 to win $62.30)

See Sean Tomlinson's full analysis in his Patriots vs. Broncos same-game parlay, including his analysis for all three AFC Championship Game plays. 

📊 Patriots vs. Broncos odds: AFC Championship Game

Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game.

🔮 Patriots vs. Broncos predictions 

Follow all of our NFL analysis and betting advice for the 2026 NFL playoffs.

💡NFL expert picks for Sunday

📺 How to watch Patriots vs. Broncos: AFC Championship Game

  • Date: Sunday, Jan. 25
  • Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
  • Location: Empower Field at Mile High (Denver)
  • TV: CBS

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Written by:
Andrew Reid
Andrew is a Publishing Editor at Sportsbook Review. He graduated from Acadia University with a degree in Kinesiology, working as a personal trainer and in injury rehab, and then attended the College of Sports Media in Toronto to attain a diploma in Radio and Television Sports Broadcasting. Andrew has been involved in the sports betting and fantasy sports space since joining the FNTSY Sports Network and starting to build his NFL experience in 2014, where he worked as a producer, director, and occasional on-air talent on various shows focusing on sports betting and DFS content. Prior to joining SBR, he spent multiple years with the USA Today Network as an editor and writer. Living in Newfoundland, Andrew frequents grey market sportsbooks, but in the past, when he's lived in regulated areas, he's become well-versed with all of our best sportsbooks. As strictly a casual bettor, he enjoys making touchdown parlays with friends (bro-lays), sweating out golf cut parlays during majors, playing same-game parlays for fun, and chasing long-shot bets. He also enjoys using sportsbooks that have solid iGaming and casino platforms. As the old guy on staff, he has an affinity for industry news, which confuses some, but shh ... quiet ... the news is on.

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