NFL Moneyline Picks for Week 11: Best Bets to Win Every Game

I'm making my NFL moneyline picks for all 14 remaining games this weekend, featuring three underdogs, including one who has already beaten its opponent this season.

Additionally, I highlight three of the most valuable picks of the weekend, including a pick for the Sunday Night Football matchup between the Lions and Eagles as part of our NFL Week 11 predictions.

🏈 NFL moneyline picks: Week 11

See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 11 based on the latest NFL odds.

💰 My best NFL Week 11 moneyline bets

🐾 Panthers (+155) vs. Falcons ⭐⭐⭐

The Panthers defeated the Falcons 30-0 in Week 3 despite being outgained by 108 yards. A lot of their success came from forcing three Falcons turnovers. That's unlikely to happen this week, as the Falcons have just eight turnovers all season, while the Panthers have only forced 10.

The Falcons have the top-ranked pass defense in the league, but that won’t matter in this game, as the Panthers rank 27th in pass offense. The Panthers are a run-first team ranking eighth in the league with 133.1 rushing yards per game. The Falcons rank 29th in rush defense, allowing 146.4 per contest.

Though the Panthers lost an ugly game to the Saints last week, the Falcons have lost four consecutive. With the one-two punch of Rico Dowdle and Chuba Hubbard, the Panthers will run their way to the upset.

🟣 Vikings (-150) vs. Bears ⭐⭐⭐

The Bears have the third-best total offense in the league and the 11th-best passing attack. However, I anticipate Caleb Williams struggling against a pass defense allowing just 191.7 yards per game, eighth-best in the league. After all, four of his last five games were against bottom-10 pass defenses.

With the far better defense in this matchup, the key to the Vikings’ win will ultimately come down to how well J.J. McCarthy can take care of the ball. He has at least one interception in all four of his games this season, totaling six thus far.

The Bears have forced a league-best 20 turnovers, so I expect at least one turnover from McCarthy. But the Bears also rank 27th in total defense, 26th in pass defense, and 25th in rush defense, so McCarthy will have plenty of drives where he moves the ball easily against the league’s 28th-ranked scoring defense.

🦁 Lions (+130) vs. Eagles ⭐⭐⭐

The Lions are averaging more total yards, pass yards, rush yards, and points than the Eagles, while the Detroit defense is allowing fewer total yards, pass yards, and rush yards. The only stat where the Eagles have the edge is in points allowed, as they’re giving up 21.3 per game, compared to the Lions' 22.2.

The Eagles lead the league in red-zone conversions, turning 80.95% of their trips into touchdowns. However, the Eagles get inside the 20 so infrequently that this success rate becomes a moot point. The Eagles are averaging just 2.3 red-zone attempts per game, which is tied for the second-fewest in the league.

Meanwhile, the Lions rank third in red-zone attempts (4.2 per game). Detroit's No. 6-ranked rushing attack will get the Lions inside the 20 plenty against a rush defense allowing 118.6 yards per game (19th).