Best NFL Long Shot Parlay Today: Week 11 Moneyline Picks for Every Game

Let's dive straight into my best NFL long shot parlays for Week 11, which feature three plays. 

The analysis below is part of the Week 11 NFL predictions, with the featured parlay offering the chance to earn over $7,337 if each moneyline pick hits. The seven-leg parlay is an extension of the five-leg play, providing an additional $483 if successful. 

💰 My best NFL parlay picks for Week 11

Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best NFL odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

Let's start in Madrid, Spain, with the prospect of the Miami Dolphins beating the Washington Commanders. Our Dustin Saracini backed Miami to win by at least three points in his Commanders vs. Dolphins prediction.  The Commanders are one of the worst defenses recently, and they're also without their star quarterback.

I've also backed the Los Angeles Chargers, who have won three in a row and are playing some inspired football. The Jacksonville Jaguars, meanwhile, imploded in Houston against a Houston Texans team without C.J. Stroud. 

I'm also confident in the San Francisco 49ers bouncing back after a tough loss to the rampant Los Angeles Chargers.

The Cardinals, who have been hit by the injury bug, have lost six of their previous seven games. Josh Allen's passing yards total is low, really low. He's thrown for at least 206 passing yards in three of the last five games and all five home games.

Finally, Justin Herbert has been effective in using his feet to keep drives alive. He's hit the Over on this number in seven of 10 games, including three of the previous four. If all five legs hit, you'll earn just over $177 on a $10 bet. 

🎯 My best NFL long-shot parlay for Week 11

I've added two legs to the first parlay, providing the chance to earn $640 on a $10 bet if every leg hits. Christian McCaffrey popped up on the 49ers' injury report, but was listed as a full participant. It seems the workhorse required a break from practice to recharge his batteries. 

He hit the Over on this total in nine of 10 games. I don't expect him to slow down in Arizona. The final leg expects Bijan Robinson to accrue at least 31 receiving yards. The Falcons have gone away from Robinson too much in recent weeks, and I expect a correction in Week 11. 

He had at least 31 receiving yards in five of the first six games, but just one of the previous three. He hit the Over in three of four home games. 

🚀 My best NFL moneyline parlay picks for every game

I've taken two underdogs in Week 11, the Detroit Lions and Seattle Seahawks. How often do you see those teams listed as the betting underdog? 

The Lions took a massive scalp on the road when they upended the Baltimore Ravens in Week 3 before the worst of the Ravens' injuries hit. I expect a similar performance in Philly against the defending champs. 

Our Mike Spector also believes in the Lions' chances to upset the Philadelphia Eagles, which he covered in his NFL upset picks for Week 11.

I'm also backing the Seahawks to walk into SoFi Stadium and silence the surging Rams. Seattle's defense is unlike anything Matthew Stafford, who sits atop our Clutch Factor QB power rankings, and his team have faced since opening week against Houston. And the Seahawks' attack is markedly more formidable than Houston's. 

If every leg hits, you'll earn over $7,337 on a $10 bet.