Michael Penix vs. J.J. McCarthy Player Prop Bet Picks: Sunday Night Football

Our best Michael Penix Jr. vs. J.J. McCarthy player prop bets include Penix passing yards and McCarthy to score on Sunday Night Football.

Dustin Saracini

Last Updated: September 14, 2025 11:51 AM EDT • 4 minute read

Best Michael Penix vs. J.J. McCarthy Player Prop Bet Picks for Sunday Night Football — Pictured: Atlanta Falcons quarterback Michael Penix Jr. (9) directs teammates before a play. Photo by: Brett Davis-Imagn Images.

It's a rematch from two years ago, when both of these quarterbacks faced off in the college football national championship - and we're dropping our best Michael Penix vs. J.J. McCarthy player props ahead of their first NFL showdown on Sunday Night Football. Can Penix make the most of his shot at redemption?

Be sure to dive into all of our NFL picks and Falcons vs. Vikings prediction prior to the 8:20 p.m. ET kickoff on NBC.

🏈 Best Michael Penix vs. J.J. McCarthy player prop picks: Sunday Night Football

NFL odds subject to change.

Michael Penix Over 225.5 passing yards (-115 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
J.J. McCarthy anytime touchdown (+450 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
Michael Penix Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+135 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

💰 Michael Penix vs. J.J. McCarthy prop bets: Falcons vs. Vikings

Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

⬆️ Michael Penix Over 225.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Well, Michael Penix may not be high on Gary Pearson's QB clutch factor power rankings, but he is at the helm of the Falcons' new-look West Coast offense.

Yes, Penix dropped back 42 times in Week 1, and if that start is any indication, he should be able to cruise past this number on Sunday Night Football. Raheem Morris evidently trusts his young starting quarterback and is willing to put the game in his hands. With a full complement of weapons now healthy with Darnell Mooney - who's a part of our Falcons vs. Vikings anytime touchdown scorer predicitions - returning, expect another big night from Penix and Co.

With Penix's passing odds priced at -115 (53.5%) at FanDuel, a $10 bet will earn you a nice profit of $8.70. I'd play this bet all the way up to 230.5 passing yards.

💰 J.J. McCarthy anytime touchdown (+450)

He may not be a part of our best Falcons vs. Vikings player props, but we aren't going to pass up this type of value for a player who likes to use his legs if given the opportunity, especially in the red zone.

McCarthy scampered home from 14 yards in the Vikings' Week 1 comeback win against the Chicago Bears on a designed quarterback boot, and we may see that return on Sunday Night Football. With all eyes on Aaron Jones Sr. in the backfield when Minnesota is within the 5-yard line, we might just see Minnesota pull the McCarthy card again to help us cash this +400 play.

For what it's worth, the young signal-caller carried the ball four times for 31 yards in the national championship between Michigan and Washington - Penix might have to watch him run wild one more time from the sidelines.

Head on over to DraftKings for this play, which will net you $40 in profit on a $10 wager at +400 (20%) betting odds.

⬆️ Michael Penix Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+135) ⭐⭐⭐

I locked this play in as part of my Penix vs. McCarthy player prop bets early - it was a no-brainer to me after watching some Falcons tape from Week 1. Penix looked poised against one of the better secondaries in the NFL, completing 64% of his passes for 298 yards and a touchdown. If we see that type of volume again, there's a good chance this cashes before halftime.

FanDuel has the best number on this play, which will net you $13.50 in profit on a $10 wager at +135 (42.6%) betting odds.

📊 Falcons vs. Vikings odds: Sunday Night Football

📺 How to watch Falcons vs. Vikings

When: Sunday, Sept. 14
Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
Where: U.S. Bank Stadium
How to watch: DAZN, NBC

💡 More Falcons vs. Vikings expert picks

❓ Sunday Night Football player props FAQs

What are the best Michael Penix player props?

My best player prop is Michael Penix Over 225.5 passing yards against the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday Night Football. Play this at FanDuel for the best odds.

What are the best J.J. McCarthy player props?

My best player prop is J.J. McCarthy anytime touchdown against the Atlanta Falcons on Sunday Night Football. Play this at DraftKings for the best odds.

How do NFL player props work?

Player props are wagers on individual performances rather than the outcome of the game. Common props include passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, and touchdown scorers. For example, if a QB’s passing yards line is set at 250.5, you can bet the Over (251-plus yards) or Under (250 or fewer yards). You can also bet on if a specific player will score a touchdown in the entire game, the first or last touchdown, and more markets.

You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.

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Written by:
Dustin Saracini

Dustin Saracini is a Senior Analyst for Sportsbook Review. Dustin has been in the industry for 11-plus years, making various stops across Canada while gaining tremendous experience within the sports and betting landscape. Dustin has hosted multiple shows during his time in the sports betting industry, discussing NBA, NFL, PGA, and MLB betting markets with top handicappers from around the country, and has appeared on CNN as a betting consultant. Dustin wagers every single day and line shops at all of the top sportsbooks (FanDuel, DraftKings, BetMGM, and Caesars). He firmly believes that discipline is the only way you can become a profitable bettor, even with a wealth of NFL experience. Dustin graduated from Western University with a broadcast journalism degree/diploma in 2014. If you want to see more of his plays, make sure to follow his Twitter @DustinSaracini. Follow for picks, strategies, and more.