Lions vs. Commanders Player Props Today: Best Bets & TD Picks for NFL Week 10

Amon-Ra St. Brown has an excellent matchup this Sunday against a Commanders secondary that allows 12.4 yards per completion, the most in the NFL.
Detroit Lions tight end Sam LaPorta (87) makes a catch as part of our Lions vs. Commanders player props.
Pictured: Detroit Lions tight end Sam LaPorta (87) makes a catch as part of our Lions vs. Commanders player props. Photo by Junfu Han via Imagn Images

My Lions vs. Commanders player props look for Detroit to dominate this rematch of last year’s NFC Divisional Round thriller. Our NFL Week 10 predictions understand that the Lions are looking not only to avenge their playoff ouster, but they’re also looking to bounce back from a disappointing NFC North loss to the Vikings in Week 9. 

That should mean ample production for star players like Amon-Ra St. Brown and a long day for the Washington offense. The action for Lions vs. Commanders kicks off from Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md., today at 4:25 p.m. ET (FOX). The Lions are 8.5-point betting favorites.


✅ Lions vs. Commanders player prop bets

See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 10.

💵 Best Lions vs. Commanders player prop bets

  • Amon-Ra St. Brown receiving yards: Over 79.5 (-114 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Jacory Croskey-Merritt rushing yards: Under 35.5 (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Sam LaPorta TD pick: anytime TD scorer (+150 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

💰 Best Lions vs. Commanders player props

⬆️ Amon-Ra St. Brown receiving yards: Over 79.5 (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Amon-Ra St. Brown has an excellent matchup this Sunday against a Commanders secondary that allows 12.4 yards per completion, the most in the NFL. St. Brown ranks third in the NFL behind Ja’Marr Chase and Puka Nacua in receptions per game (7.38).

The Commanders have allowed 1542 receiving yards to the wide receiver position on the year, second-most in the NFL to this point. ARSB has cleared a 79.5-yard receiving line in consecutive games and three of his last four contests.

DraftKings and FanDuel both list this line at 79.5 yards with -114 odds on Over. The implied probability at those odds is 53.27%. The profit on a $10 bet would be $8.77.

⬇️ Jacory Croskey-Merritt rushing yards: Under 35.5 (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Though Aaron Jones exposed the Lions for a whopping 8.7 YPC last week, I’m looking for a response from Detroit against Washington’s inefficient rookie rusher in Week 10.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt has produced a YPC below 4.0 in four straight games and faces a top-10 Detroit run defense on Sunday. The Lions have allowed just 94.5 rushing yards per game.

JCM has failed to reach a 35.5-yard rushing line in two of his past three games. FanDuel lists this line at 35.5 yards with -114 odds on Under. The implied probability at those odds is 53.27% and the profit on a $10 bet would be $8.77.

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6️⃣ Best Lions vs. Commanders touchdown scorer bet

🔥 Sam LaPorta TD pick: anytime TD scorer (+150) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Sam LaPorta has found the end zone in three of his past four games and has a favorable matchup against a Washington defense that has allowed six touchdowns to tight ends across nine games this season (66%). Only the Bengals have allowed more TD receptions to tight ends.

LaPorta has +150 anytime TD scorer odds from BetMGM which equates to a 40.00% implied probability at those odds. A winning $10 wager on this prop would profit $15.00.

💡 More Week 10 predictions

Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game in Week 10.


📊 Lions vs. Commanders anytime touchdown scorer odds

See live NFL odds for every game in Week 10.

🔍️ Find the best odds for every bet

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📺 How to watch Lions vs. Commanders

  • Date: Sunday, Nov. 9
  • Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • Location: Northwest Stadium (Landover, Md.)
  • TV: FOX

💡 NFL expert picks for Week 10

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