Josh Allen Player Prop Picks and Odds for Thursday Night Football: TNF Picks vs Dolphins

Last Updated: September 18, 2025 12:28 PM EDT • 4 minute read X Social Google News Link

The Buffalo Bills (2-0) have a chance to stay undefeated against the lowly Miami Dolphins (0-2) on Thursday Night Football, and I'm dropping my best Josh Allen player props as a result.
When I look at the Thursday Night Football odds, three plays for the Bills' signal-caller have caught my attention as I continue to get set for the 8:15 p.m. ET kickoff at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, N.Y. (Prime Video). Let's build our collective bankroll and watch No. 17 run wild against a division rival in prime time.
💰 Best Josh Allen player prop picks: Thursday Night Football
NFL picks made Thursday; odds subject to change. Our NFL player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!
- Josh Allen anytime touchdown (-150 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Josh Allen Over 28.5 rushing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Josh Allen longest pass completion Over 35.5 yards (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
6️⃣ Josh Allen anytime touchdown (-150) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
This is one of my favorite, pure volume plays when it comes to my best Josh Allen player props on Thursday Night Football.
First of all, you can expect the Bills to score, and score often. The Dolphins allowed seven straight scoring drives to begin the season and have also allowed quarterbacks to score at will with their legs.
In Week 1, Daniel Jones scored two rushing touchdowns before Drake Maye walked one in against this Dolphins unit in Week 2. Not only will there be touchdowns tonight, but you can bank on the NFL MVP odds favorite scoring his third rushing TD of the season as well. Don't overthink this as one of my best Dolphins vs. Bills predictions.
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🏃 Josh Allen Over 28.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Now this number for one of the most popular Dolphins vs. Bills player props is a little odd to me.
Allen has gone over 28.5 rushing yards in both games this season, and this Dolphins front seven is giving up 139 rushing yards per game. Something doesn't add up, and we're going to take advantage.
Let it be known, this entire defense is a disaster, but they do have playmakers who can get to the quarterback and rush Allen out of the pocket. Jaelan Phillips, Zach Sieler, and Bradley Chubb can and should create enough havoc in front of a strong offensive line to get Allen moving and running the ball downfield. No. 17 is already averaging 10 carries per game, which should be more than enough volume to help us sail over this number.
🤾♂️ Josh Allen longest pass completion Over 35.5 yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Dolphins are prone to big plays this year, and Allen is prone to making them.
Allen has accounted for 4,089 passing yards and 45 total touchdowns in 15 games against the Dolphins in his career, and he has won six straight against Miami. Buffalo is ninth in football in yards per pass attempt; meanwhile, the Dolphins' defense is the third-worst in the NFL in the same category.
The loss of Jalen Ramsey is looming large for this Dolphins defense, who'll have no answer for the Allen-Keon Coleman connection tonight. It doesn't help that the Miami secondary is decimated with injuries, with starting safety Ifeatu Melifonwu and starting corner Storm Duck ruled out for tonight. This may cash in the first half.
📊 Josh Allen player prop odds
❓Thursday Night Football FAQs
What are the best Josh Allen player prop picks for Thursday Night Football?
The top Josh Allen player props for Thursday Night Football include his anytime touchdown scorer, over on his rushing yards, and longest pass completion, giving bettors a mix of both ground and air wagers to target.
What is Josh Allen's record against the Miami Dolphins?
Allen is 12-2 through 14 career games against the Dolphins. He has completed 66.25% of his passes for 3,737 yards and 37 touchdowns against eight interceptions in this matchup. He's added 647 rushing yards and five touchdowns on the ground.
Who plays on Thursday Night Football?
The Miami Dolphins travel to New York to take on the Buffalo Bills on Thursday Night Football. Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET.
How do I bet on Thursday Night Football?
To bet on Thursday Night Football, sign up with a legal sportsbook, fund your account, and choose from markets like moneyline, point spread, totals, or player props. Research TNF odds, injuries, and short-week trends to find value before placing your wager.
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Dustin Saracini X social