Giants vs. Vikings Odds, Picks, Predictions for Wild Card Weekend: Can Jones Win First Playoff Start?

Check our best Giants vs. Vikings picks based on the top odds.

Mike Spector

Last Updated: January 15, 2023 8:34 AM EST • 4 minute read

After a 27-24 win over the New York Giants in Week 16, the Minnesota Vikings are three-point favorites in the rematch on Sunday of Wild Card Weekend. Read on for our Giants vs. Vikings NFL picks based on the top NFL odds.

The Giants (9-7-1) finished the season 3-6-1 after winning six of their first seven games. New York ended the regular season with their ninth consecutive road loss against the Philadelphia Eagles, though the team rested most of its starters after clinching its first playoff berth since 2016.

Minnesota (13-4) was the only team to finish more than two games over .500 with a negative point differential (-3).

Here is our best Giants vs. Vikings NFL pick for Wild Card Weekend (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

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Giants vs. Vikings Game Info

Date: Sunday, Jan. 15, 4:30 p.m. ET
TV: FOX
Location: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Weather: Indoors

Giants vs. Vikings Odds

Giants vs. Vikings Odds Analysis

Minnesota opened as a 3-point home favorite and is still -3 across most sportsbooks. However, the line has seen time on each side of the key number this week. New York went as high as +3.5 at FanDuel, Caesars, and Wynn earlier this week and is now as low as +2.5 at BetMGM. Currently, 51% of the point-spread bets are on the Vikings.

The Over/Under opened at 47.5, and most sportsbooks are currently at 48. PointsBet is at 48.5, while FanDuel has come back down to 47.5. There is solid two-way action on the total, with 50% of the action on the Under and 50% on the Over.

Giants vs. Vikings Pick

Giants +3.5 vs. Vikings (-128 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

This is a matchup of the league’s best against the spread team (Giants are 13-4 ATS) against the team that cashes Overs at the highest rate (Vikings 13-4 O/U). Thus, it's only fitting that we decided between one of these bets, but we decided to buy the hook and back New York while laying a little extra juice.

The fact that the Giants were competitive in their first matchup despite allowing Vikings pass-catchers Justin Jefferson and T.J. Hockenson to combine for a 25/242/3 stat line is encouraging, especially since they are healthier on defense now. After missing the first meeting, Giants safety Xavier McKinney (hand) and corner Adoree’ Jackson (knee) are both expected to play. That allows the Giants to throw different looks at Minnesota’s top two pass catchers that they would not have seen in the first matchup.

Giants quarterback Daniel Jones has had three games this season with two-plus passing touchdowns and zero interceptions after having zero such games in the previous two seasons. His 334-yard effort against Minnesota was one of two games where he threw for more than 300 yards this year. His resurgence under head coach Brian Daboll is a big reason the Giants had a top-10 offense by EPA/play in games he started. Conversely, Minnesota ranks 19th in that metric and the bottom five in Rush EPA.

One has to respect that the Vikings’ last loss as a favorite came back on Dec. 5 of last season. However, this is a three-star play despite Minnesota’s 11-0 record in one-score games (an NFL record), as that historic feat is mitigated by the fact that New York had the second-best record in such games (8-4-1).

Giants vs. Vikings Best Odds

FanDuel (-128)

DraftKings	FanDuel	BetMGM	Caesars	PointsBet
+3	+3	+2.5	+3	+3
-3 -105, +3 -115	-3 -106, +3 -114	-3 -105, +3 -115	-3 -100, +3 -120	-3 -105, +3 -115

FanDuel is the best sportsbook for Giants backers, as it's charging -114 to back the underdogs. Buying the extra half-point increases that juice to -136, but it's still cheaper than the price one would pay elsewhere. In addition, the half-point could mean the difference between a push and a win, as the Vikings won four games by three or fewer points.

Giants-Vikings pick made 1/13/2023 at 6:21 a.m. ET.

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Written by:
Mike Spector

Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”