Giants vs. Commanders Odds, Picks, Predictions Week 15: Will New York Continue Underdog Success?
For the second time in two weeks, the New York Giants and Washington Commanders meet in a game with major implications for the NFC playoffs. Read on for our top Giants-Commanders picks.
The Giants (7-5-1) and Commanders (7-5-1) played to a 20-20 tie in Week 13. While Washington enjoyed a bye last week, New York fell to 1-4-1 in its previous six games (after starting 6-1) with a 48-22 blowout home loss to the Philadelphia Eagles.
How much does this matchup mean for each team’s postseason hopes? Per ESPN Analytics, the Giants have an 89% chance to make the playoffs with a win but only a 33% chance with a loss. Similarly, Washington’s playoff chances improve to 90% with a victory and 36% with a defeat.
Here is our best Giants vs. Commanders Week 15 NFL pick (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
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Giants vs. Commanders Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Dec. 18, 8:20 p.m. ET
- TV: NBC
- Location: FedEx Field, Landover, MD
- Weather: 39 degrees, 3% chance of precipitation, 12-mph WNW wind
Giants vs. Commanders Odds
Giants vs. Commanders Odds Analysis
Sportsbooks haven't moved off Washington -4.5 all week, as they've taken good constant two-way action. The Giants received 53% of the tickets and the Commanders attracted 51% of the bets.
The O/U of 40.5 held firm at most sportsbooks all week, as 48% of the cash and 61% of the handle backed the Under.
Giants vs. Commanders Pick
Giants +4.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐
New York is winless in its last seven division games, including an 0-3-1 record this year. However, we love the Giants in this spot, as it's too many points to give a team that just played its opponent to a tie two weeks ago.
The Eagles began their rout of the Giants early last week, scoring touchdowns on their first three drives. However, while Commanders quarterback Taylor Heinicke has a 63.4% completion percentage, 206.5 yards per game average, and a 4-1 TD-INT ratio over his previous two contests, he's no Jalen Hurts.
Giants QB Daniel Jones is 15-7 ATS (32.0% ROI) on the road. He's also 24-15 (18.4% ROI) as an underdog and excels most as a road underdog, covering 14 of the 19 starts for a 42.6% ROI. And while the Commanders are 5-2 (71.4%) SU in primetime games under head coach Ron Rivera, the NFC's best in that span, expect the Giants to cover this big number even if Washington wins.
Giants vs. Commanders Best Odds
| DraftKings | +4.5 | -4.5 -115, +4.5 -105 |
| FanDuel | +4.5 | -4.5 -108, +4.5 -112 |
| BetMGM | +4.5 | -4.5 -110, +4.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +4.5 | -4.5 -110, +4.5 -110 |
| PointsBet | +4.5 | -4.5 -107, +4.5 -107 |
Though the number hasn't moved all week, jump at the lower juice at DraftKings to back the underdogs at -105 odds. DraftKings and FanDuel are on opposite ends of which side they're charging more in juice to back. Have your eye on DraftKings before kickoff, as it's the sportsbook most likely to go to +5 if the spread does budge at all.
Giants-Commanders pick made 12/17/2022 at 7:56 a.m. ET.
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